'Surely he's worth a play' - Three ITV Outsiders on Friday featuring a 50/1 shot
19 hours ago
PUNCHESTOWN
1 May 2024
Wednesday 1st May
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
Channor Real Estate Group Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 2m 7f 192y
- Going: Good To Yielding
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- Runners
- 7
- Type
- Hurdle
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Partly cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 14 in the last 14 days (0%)
Workmanlike winner of a point-to-point bumper at Cork a month ago; much bigger test here
1
Age: 5
Weight: 11-10
OR: -
Days: 30
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Apr 24 | Cor Cork | 19f Sft | NHF | 11-9 | 1/12 | Custom Taylor (3¾L) | 8/15F | - | 119 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Stayed on strongly to win the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham; this trip could suit very well
-F1421
Age: 6
Weight: 11-10
OR: 145
Days: 47
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 24 | Chl Cheltenham | 20.5f Hy | 2HcH | 11-7 t | 1/21 | Waterford Whispers (1½L) | 5/1 | 140 | 147 |
| 20 Jan 24 | Nav Navan | 16f Sft/Hy | NvH | 11-13 t | 2/5 | Asian Master (10L) | 3/1 | 134 | 138 |
| 9 Dec 23 | Nav Navan | 20f Hy | NvHG2 | 11-3 t | 4/5 | Slade Steel (5½L) | 5/1 | - | 136 |
| 24 Nov 23 | Fai Fairyhouse | 23.5f Sft/Hy | MdH | 11-12 t | 1/7 | Metalor (11L) | 2/9F | - | 121 |
| 10 Nov 23 | Dro Down Royal | 22.5f Sft | MdH | 11-12 t1 | F/15 | Zefiro Dodville () | 8/15F | - | 125 |
| 15 Mar 23 | Chl Cheltenham | 16.5f Sft | NHFG1 | 11-7 | 16/21 | A Dream To Share (24L) | 10/1 | 123 | 115 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Distance Specialist - 2 wins from 3 starts at this distance (67%)
Going Specialist - 2 wins from 3 starts on this ground (67%)
Similar track to Aintree will play to his strengths and good ground will not be an issue
-51131
Age: 7
Weight: 11-10
OR: 150
Days: 19
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 24 | Ain Aintree | 24.5f Sft | NvHG1 | 11-8 | 1/8 | The Jukebox Man (5½L) | 4/1 | 150 | 151 |
| 15 Mar 24 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Hy | NvHG1 | 11-7 | 3/13 | Stellar Story (7¼L) | 8/1 | 151 | 144 |
| 3 Feb 24 | Leo Leopardstown | 22.5f Sft | NvHG1 | 11-10 | 1/6 | Predators Gold (1¼L) | 16/1 | - | 151 |
| 17 Dec 23 | Nav Navan | 20f Sft/Hy | MdH | 11-12 | 1/10 | Nas Na Riogh (4½L) | 9/4 | - | 128 |
| 18 Nov 23 | Nav Navan | 20f Sft/Hy | MdH | 11-12 | 5/16 | Stellar Story (17½L) | 11/4 | - | 108 |
| 27 Apr 23 | Pun Punchestown | 16f Gd/Y | NHF | 12-0 | 2/9 | Ballyburn (6L) | 8/1 | - | 123 |
Going Specialist - 2 wins from 3 starts on this ground (67%)
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 22 in the last 14 days (0%)
Better ground here than at Cheltenham will be okay for him and better can be expected
11111P
Age: 7
Weight: 11-10
OR: 142
Days: 47
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 24 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Hy | NvHG1 | 11-7 | PU/13 | Stellar Story () | 10/1 | 145 | - |
| 21 Jan 24 | Thu Thurles | 22.5f Sft | NvH | 11-10 | 1/4 | Easy Fella (1¾L) | 2/7F | - | 139 |
| 21 Oct 23 | Lim Limerick | 21f Hy | NvHL | 11-2 | 1/4 | The Big Doyen (7L) | 8/15F | - | 147 |
| 23 Sep 23 | Lis Listowel | 20f Y/Sft | NvH | 11-5 | 1/6 | Sequestered (5½L) | 8/11F | - | 139 |
| 2 Aug 23 | Gal Galway | 21f Gd/Y | MdH | 11-12 | 1/16 | Tag Man (2¼L) | 4/5F | - | 132 |
| 5 Jun 23 | Lis Listowel | 20f Gd/Y | NHF | 11-7 | 1/11 | Kinbara (6½L) | 11/10F | - | 124 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Fifth in the Albert Bartlett; more needed here but can get into the shake-up
5-1235
Age: 6
Weight: 11-10
OR: 143
Days: 47
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 24 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Hy | NvHG1 | 11-7 h1 | 5/13 | Stellar Story (8L) | 16/1 | 144 | 142 |
| 12 Jan 24 | Naa Naas | 20f Sft | NvHG1 | 11-12 | 3/7 | Readin Tommy Wrong (7¾L) | 14/1 | - | 139 |
| 9 Dec 23 | Nav Navan | 20f Hy | NvHG2 | 11-3 | 2/5 | Slade Steel (½L) | 9/2 | - | 141 |
| 2 Nov 23 | Thu Thurles | 23f Sft | MdH | 11-4 | 1/9 | Rushmount (nk) | 4/7F | - | 119 |
| 28 Apr 23 | Pun Punchestown | 18f Y | NHF | 12-0 | 5/18 | Walk Away Harry (3¾L) | 6/4F | - | 116 |
| 15 Mar 23 | Chl Cheltenham | 16.5f Sft | NHFG1 | 11-7 | 4/21 | A Dream To Share (5½L) | 80/1 | 117 | 134 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Looks an out-and-out stayer and may not be as well suited by this test, but should go well
-13241
Age: 7
Weight: 11-10
OR: 149
Days: 47
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 24 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Hy | NvHG1 | 11-7 p | 1/13 | The Jukebox Man (hd) | 33/1 | 141 | 151 |
| 3 Feb 24 | Leo Leopardstown | 22.5f Sft | NvHG1 | 11-10 p1 | 4/6 | Dancing City (11L) | 12/1 | 137 | 139 |
| 26 Dec 23 | Lim Limerick | 23f Sft/Hy | NvHG2 | 11-3 | 2/7 | Loughglynn (1L) | 3/1 | - | 131 |
| 9 Dec 23 | Nav Navan | 20f Hy | NvHG2 | 11-3 | 3/5 | Slade Steel (5L) | 11/8F | - | 136 |
| 18 Nov 23 | Nav Navan | 20f Sft/Hy | MdH | 11-12 | 1/16 | Largy Hill (4¾L) | 4/7F | - | 128 |
| 26 Feb 23 | Naa Naas | 15.5f Y | NHF | 11-6 | 1/6 | Ile Atlantique (hd) | 100/30 | - | 123 |
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
Pulled up in a Grade 1 mares hurdle at Fairyhouse over Easter; can be ruled out
133-1P
Age: 7
Weight: 11-3
OR: -
Days: 31
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 24 | Fai Fairyhouse | 20f Hy | NvHG1M | 11-5 | PU/17 | Jade De Grugy () | 16/1 | - | - |
| 21 Feb 24 | Pun Punchestown | 22.5f Hy | MdHM | 11-7 | 1/8 | Tareze (4L) | 7/4 | - | 129 |
| 26 Apr 23 | Pun Punchestown | 16.5f Y | NHFG3M | 11-11 | 3/13 | Junta Marvel (9½L) | 10/1 | - | 106 |
| 8 Apr 23 | Fai Fairyhouse | 16.5f Y | NHFLM | 11-8 | 3/9 | Tiger Bay Queen (7¼L) | 9/1 | - | 111 |
| 17 Mar 23 | Dro Down Royal | 17f Sft/Hy | NHFM | 11-4 | 1/6 | Sunshine Girl (13L) | 8/13F | - | 115 |
1
An Tobar
T: Henry De Bromhead
1350
Age: 7
Weight: 11-10
OR: 138
Days: 87
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Feb 24 | Leo Leopardstown | 16f Sft | HcHL | 11-5 | 16/21 | Lord Erskine (70L) | 8/1 | 138 | 74 |
| 12 Jan 24 | Naa Naas | 20f Sft | NvHG1 | 11-12 | 5/7 | Readin Tommy Wrong (15L) | 8/1 | - | 132 |
| 3 Dec 23 | Fai Fairyhouse | 16f Sft | NvHG1 | 11-12 | 3/8 | Farren Glory (2¾L) | 5/2F | - | 135 |
| 7 Nov 23 | Fai Fairyhouse | 16f Hy | MdH | 11-4 | 1/14 | Champagne Admiral (4¼L) | 8/13F | - | 119 |
Verdict
Preference is for Eliott's BETTER DAYS AHEAD, who indicated in winning the Martin Pipe that he might relish the step up to this trip
Better Days Ahead
Betting Forecast:
2/1 Dancing City,
9/4 Stellar Story,
9/2 Better Days Ahead,
11/2 Lecky Watson,
10/1 High Class Hero,
20/1 Backmersackme,
33/1 Cuta Des As,
50/1 An Tobar
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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