Owen’s Outsiders! 80/1, 33/1 and 20/1 Selections! – 28th February 2020

With five meetings scheduled on Friday, it’s a blockbuster day of racing not to be missed. Doncaster, Newbury and Lingfield head up the afternoon action before Dundalk and Newcastle take over in the evening for an All-Weather flare.

For all our horse racing tips, check on site now, but I’ve gone through the cards looking for some bigger-priced fancies, which can hopefully help spruce up this dreary day!

Puppet Warrior (33/1)

Race: Newbury 4.20pm (Greenham Trust Handicap Hurdle)

Although he didn’t win for the Nick Gifford yard, PUPPET WARRIOR ended his tenure with that yard with a close fourth at Uttoxeter in May 2018 on his chasing debut. Absent for 621 days, he made his stable debut for Georgie Howell when a better than the bare result suggests seventh at Market Rasen in January.

He was in the process of making headway when falling at Plumpton subsequently in the same discipline, with both efforts promising in some way. He remains reasonably unexposed over timber and he sites on a dangerous mark if everything comes together. This race should be run to suit and it would be no surprise to see him pick up the pieces in the closing stages under seven-pound claimer Lorna Brooke.

Southfield Lily (20/1)

Race: Newbury 5.25pm (West Berkshire Racing Club Mares’ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race)

It would be an understatement to say that SOUTHFIELD LILY‘s pedigree didn’t catch the eye. She’s closely related to Southfield Theatre, a well-loved and talented chaser who also won a bumper. She’s also related to bumper winners Southfield Vic and a half-sister to Southfield Royale, who also won in this code before going on to win over hurdles and fences.

Mark Bradstock, her trainer, doesn’t send out many bumper horses and in the past five seasons, two have scored from a possible fourteen. That equates to a small £1.50 loss to £1 stakes, which means that both have been at fair prices. With a lack of any out of the ordinary rules form, she looks to have been found a great opportunity to show what she’s made of on rules debut.

Misstify (80/1)

Race: 5.45 Newcastle (Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Novice Stakes)

Outside of the favourite Lexington Force, there is a lack of any substantial, promising form in this field. That means we can look further afield in this contest and perhaps the market has it wrong with Nigel Tinkler’s MISSTIFY.

She has run on just one occasion, where she ran better than the bare result suggests finishing sixth over course and distance. She was prominent throughout until being outpaced two furlongs from home, where the lack of experience looked to have told. Conceding a huge amount of weight to the rest of the field will not have helped either.

She should come on a huge amount for that run and Faye McManoman gets the leg-up, taking five pounds off her back. She wouldn’t need to improve a great deal to be mixing it in this company and a place at these prohibitive odds perhaps isn’t as unlikely as the odds suggest.