‘I think he is way overpriced’ – Owen’s 22-1, 16-1 & 12-1 Wednesday tips 🐎

Owen's Outsiders

For a fourth day running, it’s more ITV action for us to enjoy! The racing this Christmas has been scintillating and with three more Grade 1 races on Wednesday, the Christmas treats continue. Leopardstown‘s card hosts both the Neville Hotels Novice Chase and the Matheson Hurdle, while Newbury has the Challow Hurdle on the agenda.

We’ll have horse racing tips for all nine races live on ITV4, including a pair of races from Doncaster. After a 33-1 place in the Welsh Grand National, I’m hoping to end the festive period on a high. Wednesday’s selections are priced at 22-1, 16-1 and 12-1, and you can find all the analysis below.

2.00 Newbury – Bank A Winner With MansionBet Handicap Hurdle

Rated 91 on the level for Alan King, Coeur De Lion (22-1) should relish this test on softer ground and remains on a handy mark over hurdles if all goes to plan. He’s been lightly-raced in this sphere in recent years, last seen unseating at Kempton on Boxing Day in 2020 off a two-pound higher rating.

He’s winless since 2017, which isn’t the best statistic, but he’s run well on multiple occasions in better races. As previously mentioned, he loves softer ground, and has a pretty strong record coming off the back of breaks. If he can run to anything near his best form in either sphere, this mark will be no barrier to success, especially with a strong gallop to chase.

2.35 Newbury – Follow @mansionbetrace On Twitter Mandarin Handicap Chase

An impressive winner at Exeter to end last season, Run To Milan (16-1) is still unexposed over fences and should appreciate this drop in grade. He made his seasonal return back at Exeter, where he travelled ominously well into that three-mile event. He looked set to score readily before blundering at the final fence, losing all chance.

Ridden with more restraint when bidding for compensation at Chepstow last time, he ran well below his best, clearly not suited by those tactics. He’s now two pounds lower, back down in grade, and Alan Johns is likely to utilise his engine on this occasion with an aggressive ride. He’s won on softer ground in the past and I think he is way overpriced.

2.50 Doncaster – Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Chase

He’s not the biggest price in the world, but Glen Forsa (12-1) shouldn’t be a 12-1 shot and I’m not going to pass up the opportunity with three places on offer. He’s never been the easiest to catch right, but making his first start over three miles on return at Ascot, he ran far better than the margin of defeat suggests.

Gavin Sheehan made an early move on him to go well clear after the sixth, headed at the second-last after those exertions told. He kept on well, however, and to be only beaten ten lengths is a testament to his constitution. He couldn’t back that up at Newcastle last time, but his jumping fell to pieces from flag fall.

He’s now down markedly in grade and is certainly worth another chance off three pounds lower. Sam Twiston-Davies takes over and with a more prominent ride on this occasion, he can surely reach the frame.

If you back any of our selections you can watch them live on the free Racing Post app or racingpost.com. Simply log in to one of your bookmaker accounts and click ‘Watch live’ on the racecards.

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