5 key Newcastle statistics you must know before betting on Monday

Union and Jack Mitchell scoring at Newcastle

Horseracing in Britain will return at Newcastle on Monday which will delight every racing fanatic up and down the country. Here are five key statistics you must know before you place those all-important bets.

John Gosden is the trainer to follow

If you have followed Johnny G at Newcastle in recent years, you will have been rewarded handsomely.  He saddled 14 winners from his 33 runners at the track in 2019 which is a super-impressive 42% strike-rate and he sends three horses to the north-east on Monday. He has served up a 36% strike-rate here since the start of the 2016 season. You can back his runners in one-click below.

Jim Crowley a good bet on favourites

Operating at 38% on favourites, this statistic will please the backers of Mutasaamy in race two on the card, the 1.35pm Newcastle. It’s not too often horses from the Roger Varian yard start life in handicaps so they must have found a great opportunity in this contest for this four-year-old. If he hadn’t trained on, he would have been sold so that is an indication that they think he will progress into a nice type.

Look for debutants sired by Invincible Spirit

Picking winners in maidens is hard work, especially so when the field is compromised of many horses who have yet to be seen on a racetrack. That is why data is so important when trying to figure out the puzzle. Invincible Spirit is a terrific sire and is father to many top-class horses like Kingman, Magna Grecia, Moonlight Cloud and more.

His progeny has had 74 winners on flat debut, and that might be 75 on Monday after Freedom Flyer runs in the 2.10pm Newcastle. It is very interesting that Silvestre De Sousa has been hired to get the leg up on this one for joint-trainers Simon and Ed Crisford.

20/1 winner lurking for Jane Chapple-Hyam?

To Be Wild is a very interesting runner in the 5.05pm at Newcastle as two significant statistics point at this runner. Jane Chapple-Hyam’s profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a flat meeting is £41.74 and her profit to a £1 level stake with horses running after a break is £51.75.

This is her sole runner on the card and the horse is running fresh off the back of a 170-day break. There might be quite a bit of value in this price below.

Jockey Daniel Tudhope has a love-affair with the track

All the talk has been about Ben Curtis of late and he is of course doing fantastically well but Daniel Tudhope had a better strike-rate than him here at this venue in 2019, operating at an extremely healthy 24%. Interestingly, he only has two rides on the card on Monday and ignore them at your peril. You can back them both below.


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