The Gold Cup trends suggest this horse will take all the beating on Thursday

Our last trends piece provided a verdict that Minnie Hauk would win the Oaks and Aidan O’Brien’s filly duly obliged. This time we’re going to take a look at the Gold Cup, the main event on Day 3 of Royal Ascot. The trends are strongly in support of two horses but one has already proven his stamina and therefore gets the nod here. Check out our free tips page, where you can find selections in every Royal Ascot race. We landed a 5/2 Nap winner on Day 1 so don’t miss out!

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Group race form

Eight of the last 10 winners had previously won a Group race, with six of them being Group 1s. Almost the entire field meets that criteria this year, only James Ferguson’s Wonder Legend fails to do so. He will be up against it with that in mind and is probably best watched.

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Official ratings

This trend is also a significant one, as eight of the last 10 winners had ratings in excess of 115. Andrew Balding’s Coltrane is a relatively consistent performer over this sort of trip but a rating of 112 makes him hard to fancy these days. Michael Bell’s Yashin is the lowest rated runner in the field and that wouldn’t fill you with confidence.

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Trainers to follow

Aidan O’Brien and John Gosden have won seven of the last 10 Gold Cups between them and both are represented with serious candidates. French raider Candelari is worth taking on at the prices and Dubai Future has something to prove at this level. Sweet William also represents John & Thady Gosden but he is the clear second string.

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Verdict

Trawlerman is the proven stayer over this trip, which means he narrowly gets the nod. He got within a length of Kyprios in this race last year and a similar performance could lead to victory. Nine of the last 10 winners had scored in their last two starts and this horse managed to do so at Sandown last time. Clearly there’s plenty in his favour and a huge run is anticipated with that in mind.

Trawlerman

Analysis

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