Data Driven: Thursday’s key statistics make into an 87-1 accumulator

Willie Mullins after a six-timer at Punchestown

Tomorrow’s racing is five-fold, with afternoon meetings from Stratford, Lingfield, Clonmel and Ffos Las. Chelmsford takes over for an evening on the All-Weather, and we’ll have horse racing tips for all five, including a NAP of the Day and Lucky 15 tips.

Statistics and trends are a key weapon in the war against the bookmakers. They are a significant help in finding winners, as our daily statistics pieces have shown in recent months. In a new series for the site, Data Driven will give you three of the days key statistics, with Thursday’s statistics making into an 87-1 accumulator. See all the analysis below!

Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
New customers only. T&Cs apply. 18+. begambleaware.org
mrplay
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £20 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. begambleaware.org. T&Cs Apply.

1.10 Clonmel – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle

Perhaps unsurprisingly, Willie Mullins has a quite remarkable record at Clonmel in the last five years. From 95 runners, he’s enjoyed 43 winners, and that 45% strike-rate equates to a level stakes profit of £41.68. He has two on Thursday and perhaps the most interesting is Mary Meehan.

She steadily progressed in bumpers, posting her best effort when second at Downpatrick over 2m 2f. Racing wide throughout, she made plenty of late ground and she shapes as though this new trip, especially over hurdles, will prompt plenty of improvement. The winner of that Downpatrick race won at Cheltenham last week and that bodes well too.


3.58 Lingfield – Watch Racing Free Online At Coral EBF Novice Stakes

Few are riding better than Tom Marquand at present. He’s won on 10 of his last 49 rides and he travels to Lingfield on Thursday, a venue he’s enjoyed plenty of success at in recent years. He’s won on 15% of his 454 rides, a very tidy profit of £64.12 to level stakes, and Alvediston looks to have above average claims for him.

A son of New Bay, he cost 135,000 as a foal and clearly has a good reputation, sent off at short prices for both his starts thus far. He’s failed to score on either occasion, but there has been plenty of promise and a gelding operation may help him deliver his true potential. The All-Weather will suit (on breeding) and he should be afforded maximum respect.


5.30 Chelmsford – tote Placepot Your First Bet Novice Stakes

Richard Hughes has enjoyed plenty of success at Chelmsford this year. He’s had 10 winners from 46 runners and that 22% strike-rate equates to a level stakes profit of £44.83. He sends just one runner to the venue on Thursday, with that being the daughter of Cable Bay, Brides Bay.

She’s a two-race maiden, running well on both occasions, latterly at Wolverhampton when perhaps delivered too soon. Taking over the lead powerfully off the turn, she idled in front and lost several places in the final furlong as a result. She’s likely to be given a different ride on this occasion and if delivered late, she has a real chance of upsetting the favourite.


If you back any of our selections you can watch them live on the free Racing Post app or racingpost.com. Simply log in to one of your bookmaker accounts and click ‘Watch live’ on the racecards.

Let's talk about Safer Gambling
1st - 7th November 2021
National Gambling HelpLine: Call FREE 0800 020 1009