ASCOT
5 October 2024
Saturday 5th October

ITV Racing Tips

13:30 13:50 14:05 14:25 14:40 15:00 15:20 15:35

Curragh Tips

13:05 13:40 14:15 14:50 15:25 16:00 16:35 17:10

Newmarket Tips

13:30 14:05 14:40 15:15 15:50 16:25 17:00

Redcar Tips

13:35 14:10 14:45 15:20 15:55 16:30 17:05 17:37

Ascot Tips

13:50 14:25 15:00 15:35 16:10 16:45

Gowran Park Tips

13:55 14:30 15:05 15:40 16:15 16:50 17:25

Southwell (AW) Tips

16:05 16:40 17:15 17:45 18:15 18:45 19:15 19:45 20:15

Wolverhampton (AW) Tips

16:20 16:55 17:30 18:00 18:30 19:00 19:30 20:00 20:30
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection

BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) Racecard

  • Channel: ITV
  • Distance: 1m 3f 211y
  • Going: Soft
Ascot
Runners
8

Type
Flat

Surface
Turf

Stalls
Inside

Weather
Showers

Selection

Selection Selected At
Al Qareem silk
Al Qareem
Selected at: 9/4

Front runner who won this last race last year and was a winner at Chester when last seen. Could get his own way out in front here and might not be for catching.

Bookmaker
Offer
Best Odds
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9/4
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
1
(4)
Al Aasy silk
CD
D
Al Aasy
J: Daniel Tudhope
T: William Haggas
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
5 x Distance Winner - Won 5 times before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 11 wins from 36 in the last 14 days (31%)
Won Last Time Out - Won on last start
Two Gr 3 wins on fast ground in August; his latest race on soft (a novice win) was in 2020
25-211
Age: 7
Weight: 9-9
OR: 113
Days: 49
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
17 Aug 24 Nby Newbury 13.5f GF G3 9-10 1/5 Al Qareem (2L) EvensF 112 118
3 Aug 24 Goo Goodwood 12f GF G3 9-3 1/5 Relentless Voyager (1L) 3/1 112 117
20 Jul 24 Nby Newbury 10f GF L 9-8 2/5 Phantom Flight (1L) 11/4 113 110
7 Oct 23 Asc Ascot 12f Gd G3 9-9 5/8 Al Qareem (13L) 11/10F 113 95
9 Sep 23 Leo Leopardstown 12f Gd G3 9-12 2/7 Adelaide River (½L) 9/4 113 113
12 Aug 23 Hay Haydock 10.5f GS G3 9-7 1/7 El Drama (nk) 6/5F 113 116
2
(6)
Hamish silk
CD
D
Hamish
J: Cieren Fallon
T: William Haggas
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
5 x Distance Winner - Won 5 times before at this distance
Last two starts saw his first disappointing displays in ages; big chance if back to form
1-1245
Age: 8
Weight: 9-9
OR: 115
Days: 28
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
7 Sep 24 Kem Kempton (AW) 12f St/Slw G3 9-10 5/7 Kalpana (9¾L) 7/2 117 103
11 Jul 24 Nmk Newmarket (July) 12f GS G2 9-8 4/6 Giavellotto (15½L) 11/10F 117 94
31 May 24 Eps Epsom 12f GS G1 9-2 2/5 Luxembourg (1L) 4/1 117 121
20 Apr 24 Nby Newbury 12f GS G3 9-5 1/10 Al Qareem (nk) 5/2F 117 116
3 Nov 23 Nmk Newmarket 12f Hy G3 9-9 1/6 Al Qareem (1¾L) 5/4F 117 118
4 Aug 23 Goo Goodwood 12f GS G3 9-6 1/7 Jack Darcy (4L) 5/6F 117 119
3
(7)
Al Qareem silk
CD
D
Al Qareem
J: Clifford Lee
T: K R Burke
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
4 x Distance Winner - Won 4 times before at this distance
Won Last Time Out - Won on last start
Long Traveller - Trained 150+ miles from racecourse
Won this race last year and is very reliable, including on soft and heavy going
452521
Age: 5
Weight: 9-6
OR: 109
Days: 21
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
14 Sep 24 Chs Chester 12.5f Sft L 9-5 1/6 Cristal Clere (2¾L) 4/5F 109 108
17 Aug 24 Nby Newbury 13.5f GF G3 9-7 2/5 Al Aasy (2L) 13/8 110 112
30 Jul 24 Goo Goodwood 16f Gd G1 9-12 5/6 Kyprios (9¼L) 16/1 110 110
13 Jul 24 Yor York 14f GS G3 9-0 2/8 Alsakib (1½L) 100/30 112 111
2 Jun 24 Cha Chantilly 12f Hy G2 9-0 5/7 Junko (4½L) 7/1 - 112
17 May 24 Yor York 14f Gd G2 9-3 4/6 Giavellotto (9½L) 17/2 112 105
4
(1)
Layfayette silk
D
Layfayette b
J: David Egan
T: Noel Meade
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Long Traveller - Trained 150+ miles from racecourse
Arguably has more to prove over this far on testing ground; may need a career best
1340-0
Age: 7
Weight: 9-6
OR: 107
Days: 21
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
14 Sep 24 Leo Leopardstown 12f Gd G3 9-9 10/10 Trustyourinstinct (7L) 22/1 108 100
17 Nov 23 Bhr Bahrain 10f Gd G2 9-2 13/14 Spirit Dancer (10½L) - 96
22 Oct 23 Leo Leopardstown 10f Hy L 9-12 4/8 Boogie Woogie (3½L) 5/2 111 103
9 Sep 23 Leo Leopardstown 12f Gd G3 9-12 3/7 Adelaide River (1L) 25/1 109 112
20 Aug 23 Cur Curragh 10f Gd G3 9-9 1/6 Unless (¾L) 7/2 107 109
7 Aug 23 Naa Naas 12f Sft G3 9-9 4/8 Vauban (7L) 10/1 109 103
5
(3)
Peking Opera silk
Peking Opera
J: Tom Queally
T: Gary & Josh Moore
Won hurdles debut in February but his three races since have not gone well; off since May
473-05
Age: 4
Weight: 9-6
OR: 99
Days: 147
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
11 May 24 Lin Lingfield 11.5f Gd 2Hc 9-10 b1 5/6 Aimeric (11L) 20/1 103 93
20 Apr 24 Nby Newbury 12f GS G3 9-2 10/10 Hamish (33L) 125/1 105 60
24 Feb 24 Kem Kempton 16f Sft 4yHG2 11-0 F/5 Kalif Du Berlais () 9/1 - 98
3 Feb 24 San Sandown 16f GS 3NvH 10-4 1/7 The Good Doctor (1¾L) 13/8J - 100
7 Aug 23 Naa Naas 12f Sft G3 8-13 3/8 Vauban (6L) 13/2 105 105
14 Jul 23 Lon Longchamp 12f GS 3yG1 9-3 7/8 Feed The Flame (6¾L) 26/1 - 106
6
(8)
Salt Bay silk
Salt Bay
J: Hector Crouch
T: Ralph Beckett
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 5 wins from 19 in the last 14 days (26%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 9 wins from 34 in the last 14 days (26%)
Possible ground excuse last time; seems to need ground softer than good, and acts on heavy
7-3624
Age: 4
Weight: 9-6
OR: 109
Days: 84
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
13 Jul 24 Yor York 14f GS G3 9-0 4/8 Alsakib (7L) 9/2 109 103
15 Jun 24 Yor York 14f GS L 9-2 2/5 Klondike (shd) 100/30 109 112
18 May 24 Nby Newbury 12f Gd G3 9-2 6/8 Middle Earth (9¼L) 7/1 109 101
20 Apr 24 Nby Newbury 12f GS G3 9-2 3/10 Hamish (nk) 33/1 105 112
13 Dec 23 Kem Kempton (AW) 12f St/Slw L 9-4 7/8 Rebel's Romance (16L) 8/1 105 89
23 Sep 23 Nby Newbury 13.5f Hy 2Hc 9-12 2/7 Not So Sleepy (2L) 9/2 105 111
7
(2)
Gather Ye Rosebuds silk
D
Gather Ye Rosebuds
J: Jamie Spencer
T: Jack Channon
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Going Specialist - 2 wins from 3 starts on this ground (67%)
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 12 in the last 14 days (0%)
Disappointing last two starts; return to softer may offer hope but she needs a new high
4-5178
Age: 4
Weight: 9-3
OR: 102
Days: 23
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
12 Sep 24 Don Doncaster 14.5f GS G2F 9-7 h1 8/9 Nakheel (17L) 12/1 102 85
25 May 24 Yor York 14f GS G3F 9-2 7/10 Term Of Endearment (9¼L) 5/1 102 95
4 May 24 Goo Goodwood 12f Sft LF 9-2 1/7 Queen Of The Pride (¾L) 9/4 95 107
7 Apr 24 Lon Longchamp 10.5f Hy LF 8-11 5/8 Ottery (6L) 63/10 - 96
15 Oct 23 Naa Naas 12f Sft LF 9-2 4/15 Dancing Tango (7¼L) 11/4J 98 92
25 Aug 23 Ham Hamilton 11f GS 2Nv 9-5 1/5 Kingfisher King (nk) 15/8 98 102
8
(5)
God's Window silk
God's Window p
J: Saffie Osborne
T: John & Thady Gosden
Running-on third in Group 3 at Kempton (1m4f, AW debut) latest; worth a second look
145023
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 105
Days: 28
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
7 Sep 24 Kem Kempton (AW) 12f St/Slw G3 8-13 p 3/7 Kalpana (5¼L) 12/1 102 107
19 Jul 24 Ham Hamilton 11f Gd 3yL 9-7 p1 2/5 Kalpana (4½L) 13/2 104 107
1 Jun 24 Eps Epsom 12f GS 3yG1 9-2 12/16 City Of Troy (29L) 33/1 107 78
16 May 24 Yor York 10.5f Gd 3yG2 9-2 5/7 Economics (10L) 14/1 111 99
9 May 24 Chs Chester 10.5f Gd 3yL 9-2 4/4 Capulet (6L) 100/30 111 99
20 Apr 24 Not Nottingham 8.5f Sft 53yNv 9-11 1/3 Washeek (8½L) 1/14F 111 97
Verdict

The most solid option on soft ground appears to be the dependable AL QAREEM. 3yo God's Window might just be the surprise package.

Verdict silk image
Al Qareem

Betting Forecast:

5/2 Al Qareem,

9/4 Al Aasy,

3/1 Hamish,

7/1 Salt Bay,

12/1 God's Window,

16/1 Gather Ye Rosebuds,

20/1 Layfayette,

66/1 Peking Opera

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Please Gamble Responsibly