Value Bets – Thursday November 21st

Writer Bio Image
James Boyle
Published: November 21, 2019
Having developed an interest in racing whilst in college some years ago, James has worked in many areas of the industry, including a stint hiding his face on radio! From 2008 until 2017, he ran a successful tipping service and has had shares in numerous horses including the wonderful Fast Shot. Unsurprisingly given some of the horses he has bought shares in, his punting passions lie in sprint handicaps on both the turf and All-Weather surfaces!

James Boyle had a 33/1 winner with Roller on Saturday. View today’s Value Bets below.

3:00 Newcastle – Madeeh – 1pt @ 40/1

At a big price, it could be worth keeping MADEEH on side following a second wind-op since last seen. The 3-year-old bombed out at Chester last time but the combination of running on soft ground (presumably with a breathing issue!) and tackling talented horses in a Class 3 didn’t help his case. There was more promise in August when debuting for Phil Kirby’s yard at Ripon, keeping on to the line despite finding the test on offer a tad sharp. Now 7lbs lower in the weights and returned to the All-Weather, on which he twice performed well when with Sir Michael Stoute, better could be forthcoming. At 40/1, it’s worth taking a chance to find out.

5:30 Chelmsford – Lazarus – 1pt @ 22/1

LAZARUS is not a horse to be certain of one way or the other, with wild fluctuations in form clear to see, but he has blinkers on for the first time and may go well on his return to the flat following a couple of outings over hurdles. He’s back to the same mark as when runner-up on the turf at Lingfield in August and 2lbs lower than an encouraging C&D fifth a few weeks before that. It’s also worth noting that his sole flat win came at this track and if the headgear livens him up, he has the ability to be heavily involved at this level.

6:00 Chelmsford – Rock On Baileys – 1pt @ 14/1

Running over a mile in Listed company patently didn’t suit ROCK ON BAILEYS on her most recent start but she still moved like a filly in form for some time and dropping back to a sprint distance in a handicap can help her to show more. The 4-year-old has taken in stakes race on her last five outings, acquitting herself well more often than not, and was only beaten a nose at Chester on her last handicap start. She’s higher in the weights now but boasts a fine 6-14 record on the All-Weather and likes it here. From a good draw with blinkers back in use, I’m surprised that she’s available at double-figured prices. They’re too big.

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