Saturday TV Stats – 600/1 Cracker Acca!

Top Notch wins at Kempton

It’s off to Warwick and Kempton for the ITV racing cameras this Saturday, with seven LIVE races across the two venues being beamed into your living rooms.

The Classic Chase (3.00) at Warwick is their feature contest – did you know, ALL of the last fourteen winners had raced in the last six weeks, while eleven of the last fourteen successful horses carried 11st 2lbs or less in weight?

Then, down at Kempton, the Listed Unibet Lanzarote Hurdle (2.40) is their showcase contest – sixteen of the last eighteen winners were aged seven or younger and had raced in the last seven weeks.

As always, we’ll be highlighting our TOP FOUR trends to look for from the ITV Racing and putting them in a big-priced ‘Cracker Acca’ – plus, giving you the ‘best of the rest’ trends from around the other tracks this Saturday.

Plus – don’t forget, you can also get more help finding the winner for all this Saturday’s races on our Free Horse Racing Tips page.


TV Stats ‘600/1 Cracker Acca’

(Pays £3,000 for a £5 stake)

1.50 Warwick: With a decent 33% record with his chasers at the track, then trainer Dan Skelton’s ARDLETHEN stands out here. This seven-year-old has run three solid races over fences this season, including a win at Chepstow back in October. The form of his second to the useful Sam Spinner two runs ago has been given a boast since, while he’s always been a horse that’s gone well fresh, so the six-week break also looks a plus.

2.05 Kempton: TOP NOTCH, who won this race twelve months ago, will be all the rage again this year. This versatile Nicky Henderson nine-year-old has returned to the track this season better than ever after wins over hurdles and fences. The last of those victories came in the Peterborough Chase and with his main rival – Frodon – having a few questions to answer at the moment, then Top Notch is taken to give trainer Nicky Henderson his fourth win in the race since 2016.

3.00 Warwick: Last year’s winner of the McCoy Contractors Civil Engineering Classic Handicap Chase – IMPULSIVE STAR – looks primed for another solid showing. This Neil Mulholland runner is only four pounds higher than last year when winning by 3 ¼ lengths and has regular pilot, Sam Waley-Cohen, who can claim three pounds, doing the steering again. The first-time blinkers are an interesting addition, while a recent run at Cheltenham after a long break would have blown the cobwebs away.

3.35 Warwick: Trainer Jonjo O’Neill has targeted this race with success twice since 2012, so his TEDHAM gets the nod here. This six-year-old was only three lengths behind Stoney Mountain last time at Haydock, but three pounds better off here, while after staying on well that day the slightly longer trip also looks a plus.



Saturday Trends – Best Of The Rest

Kempton Trends

12.20 Kempton: The Alan King yard have won three of the last seven runnings.

1.30 Kempton: Mercian Prince has won the last two runnings.

2.40 Kempton: Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track.

3.15 Kempton: The Philip Hobbs yard have won two of the last six runnings.

3.45 Kempton: The Pam Sly yard have a 50% (3-from-6) record with their hurdlers at the track.

Warwick Trends

12.40 Warwick: Trainer Alan King has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track.

1.15 Warwick: The Alex Hales yard have won two of the last four runnings.

2.25 Warwick: The Nicky Henderson yard have a 32% record with their hurdlers at the track.

Wetherby Trends

12.30 Wetherby: The Nicky Richards yard has a 32% record with their hurdlers at the track.

2.15 Wetherby: The Dr Richard Newland yard have a 64% record (7-from-11) with their chasers at the track.

2.50 Wetherby: The Nicky Richards yard have won two of the last four runnings.

3.25 Wetherby: The Nicky Richards yard have a 26% record with their chasers at the track.

Lingfield Trends

12.50 Lingfield: Trainer John Quinn has a 40% record with his four-year-olds or older at the track.

1.25 Lingfield: Trainer Richard Hannon has a 26% record with his four-year-olds or older at the track.

2.00 Lingfield: Trainer Richard Spencer has a 36% record with his four-year-olds or older at the track.

2.35 Lingfield: Lady Alavesa won this race in 2019.

3.10 Lingfield: Trainer Owen Burrows has a 31% record with his three-year-olds at the track.

Every LIVE Saturday race covered on ITV can be found on our ITV Racing Tips section, with runner-by-runner previews for each contest.

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