Saturday TV Stats – 400/1 Cracker Acca!

Trends Analysis: Saturday 2nd Nov 2019

Despite having action on both the flat and over the sticks, the focus is now switching more to the jumps, with the Wetherby bet365 Charlie Hall Chase fixture the headline act this Saturday.

We’ve four LIVE ITV races from Wetherby to look forward to, while their cameras are also over at Down Royal in Ireland to take in the Grade One Ladbrokes Champion Chase – a prize the Noel Meade and Gordon Elliott yards have won five times between them in the last six years.

With more jumping from Ayr and Ascot, plus flat cards at Newmarket and Chelmsford, then it’s a typically busy Saturday.

We’ll be highlighting our TOP FOUR trends to look for from the ITV Racing and putting them in a big-priced ‘Cracker Acca’ – plus, giving you the ‘best of the rest’ trends from around the other tracks this Saturday.

Plus – don’t forget, you can also get more help finding the winner for all this Saturday’s races on our Free Horse Racing Tips page.

TV Stats ‘400/1 Cracker Acca’
(Pays £2,000 for a £5 stake)

1.55 Wetherby: Probably a slightly harder renewal than twelve months ago, but last year’s winner – LADY BUTTONS – still ticks a lot of boxes. This versatile Philip Kirby-trained runner won this prize on her return run last term and looks primed to go well again. She had a cracking campaign last season – improving with each race and now heads here as the top-rated runner in the race. Add in that she acts on any ground, plus clearly loves Wetherby with three wins at the track, they she looks a big player.

2.45 Ascot: This has been a good race for the Alan King yard – they’ve won it for the last two seasons and three times since 2012. They’ve another leading chance this year too with the five-year-old LISP. He returns from a 232-day break, but he’s a horse that won first time out last season, so goes well fresh. Carrying 11st-12lbs makes life hard, but he’s got that weight for a reason – he’s the top-rated horse in the race.

3.40 Wetherby: The Charlie Hall Chase is the day’s feature contest and last year’s winner – DEFINITLY RED – looks to have a big chance again. He’ll be looking to become the first horse since See More Business (1999 & 2000) to win the race in ‘back-to-back’ years and is a staying chaser that loves Wetherby – his form figures at the venue read 2-1-3-1. He also took this prize first time out last season, so the 185-day absence isn’t a worry and the Brian Ellison yard hit the target in last weekend’s big chase – the Old Roan at Aintree – so their runners are in decent order.

6.30 Chelmsford: Trainer John Gosden has a decent 28% record with his three-year-olds at Chelmsford so his FIRST IN LINE is worth taking seriously in their valuable Listed race. His only blot this season came when bogged down in soft ground at Haydock back in September but has since bounced back to be runner-up in the competitive Old Rowley Cup at Newmarket. The ratings suggest he’s closely-matched with Western Australia, but connections have booked Cieren Fallon to claim a handy 3lbs and that could be the difference.

(Pays £2,000 for a £5 stake)

Saturday Trends – Best Of The Rest

Wetherby Trends

12.50 Wetherby: Trainer Charlie Longsdon has won this race twice in the last eight runnings.

1.20 Wetherby: The Philip Kirby yard has a 45% record with his chasers at the track.

1.55 Wetherby: Lady Buttons won this race in 2018.

3.05 Wetherby: Trainer Dan Skelton has a 31% record with his hurdlers at the course.

3.40 Wetherby: bet365 Charlie Hall Chase – Key Trends

Newmarket Trends

12.55 Newmarket: Jockey Adam Kirby has ridden two of the last five winners.

1.30 Newmarket: Villette won this race in 2018.

2.05 Newmarket: Godolphin have won four of the last nine runnings.

2.40 Newmarket: The horse from stall six has won three of the last five runnings.

Ascot Trends

1.00 Ascot: The Nicky Henderson yard have won this race four times in the last ten years.

2.45 Ascot: The Alan King yard have won three of the last seven, including the last two.

3.20Ascot: Go Conquer won this race in 2017 and was third in 2018.

Ayr Trends

2.15 Ayr: Takingrisks won this race in 2018.

3.25 Ayr: Trainer Dr Richard Newland is two-from-five (40%) with his hurdlers at the track.

Down Royal Trends

1.15 Down Royal: The Willie Mullins yard have a 37% record with their hurdlers at the track.

2.25 Down Royal: Road To Respect won this race in 2018.

4.05 Down Royal: Trainer Noel Meade has a 33% record with his NH Flat runners at the track.

Chelmsford Trends

5.30 Chelmsford: Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 30% record riding two-year-olds at the track.

6.30 Chelmsford: The John Gosden yard have a 28% record with their three-year-olds at the course.

Every LIVE Saturday race covered on ITV can be found on our ITV Racing Tips section, with runner-by-runner previews for each contest.

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