Saturday TV Stats – 2070/1 Cracker Acca!

Eldorado Allen winning a Maiden Hurdle at Sandown

Trends Analysis: Saturday 4th Jan 2020

It’s the first Saturday of racing for 2020 and there’s plenty to look forward to with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Wincanton to take in seven races across the two venues.

The Grade One Unibet Tolworth Novices’ Hurdle (2.25) is the weekend’s feature as some of the stars of the future strut their stuff.

Did you know – fourteen of the last fifteen Tolworth Novices’ Hurdle winners had run in the last six weeks and also finished first or second last time out.

As always, we’ll be highlighting our TOP FOUR trends to look for from the ITV Racing and putting them in a big-priced ‘Cracker Acca’ – plus, giving you the ‘best of the rest’ trends from around the other tracks this Saturday.

Plus – don’t forget, you can also get more help finding the winner for all this Saturday’s races on our Free Horse Racing Tips page.


TV Stats ‘2070/1 Cracker Acca’
(Pays £4,140 for a £2 stake)

1.50 Sandown: The Gary Moore-trained DAREBIN landed this prize twelve months ago and might be worth sticking with. He seems to save his best for Sandown, with his overall chase record here reading 3-1-4-1-5-2-3-3, while he’s rated only two pounds higher than last year. Yes, he’s got 4 ¼ lengths to find with Johnbb based on their runs here last month, but there is a six-pound turnaround in Darebin’s favour this time to suggest there won’t be much between the pair this time.

2.25 Sandown: A decent renewal of the Unibet Tolworth Novices’ Hurdle with several chances. Hang In There and Fiddlerontheroof are respected, but with four wins in the race since 2011 then trainer Nicky Henderson’s SON OF CAMAS gets the nod. This five-year-old was a good winner on his hurdles debut at Newbury at the end of November and with the second coming out to win recently the form looks solid. Soft ground and the trip are fine, while with only three career runs in total should have more improvement still to come.

3.00 Sandown: Plenty of old faces on show in this veteran’s chase that is named in honour of last year’s winner – Houblon Des Obeaux. A case can be made for many, but the David Pipe yard have a decent 29% record with their chasers at the track and also landed this prize in 2016 – they run VIEUX LION ROUGE. This eleven-year-old showed he’s still got a taste for the game by winning back in October at Chepstow and despite failing to build on that in two runs since will be more at home back in this sort of company. Soft ground is fine, and he’s rated only a pound higher than his last success.

3.15 Wincanton: This has been a kind race to the Philip Hobbs yard in recent years – winning two of the last four runnings – and their GALA BALL will be hoping to add to that record. This ten-year-old flopped at Newbury last time out but you feel that run was too bad to be true and is worth giving another chance to. The stable is in good form at the moment, plus he’s the only proven course winner in the field. Prior to that last run, he’s also recorded seven top three finishes (two wins – both at Wincanton) from his eight runs over fences so back at his favoured track he commands plenty of respect.


Saturday Trends – Best Of The Rest

Sandown Trends

12.15 Sandown: Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track.

12.45: Sandown: The Fergal O’Brien yard have a 30% record with their hurdlers at the track.

3.35 Sandown: Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers a the track and has also won two of the last three runnings.

Wincanton Trends

1.05 Wincanton: The David Dennis yard has a 24% record with their chasers at the track.

1.35 Wincanton: The Paul Nicholls yard has a 37% record with their hurdlers at the track and have also won two of the last five runnings.

2.05 Wincanton: The Paul Nicholls yard has a 31% record with their chasers at the track.

3.50 Wincanton: Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% record with his hurdlers at the track.

Newcastle Trends

12.55 Newcastle: Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 38% record with his hurdlers at the track.

1.30 Newcastle: Trainer Sandy Thomson has a 29% record with her chasers at the track.

2.00 Newcastle: The Brian Ellison yard has a 24% record with their hurdlers at the track.

2.35 Newcastle: Jockey Brian Hughes has ridden the last three winners.

3.10 Newcastle: Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 38% record with his hurdlers at the track.

Lingfield Trends

1.45 Lingfield: Trainer David Evans has won three of the last seven runnings.

2.50 Lingfield: The Neil King yard have a 38% record with their runners at the track.

3.25 Lingfield: The John Gosden yard have a 25% record with their runners at the track.

Every LIVE Saturday race covered on ITV can be found on our ITV Racing Tips section, with runner-by-runner previews for each contest.

Let's talk about Safer Gambling
1st - 7th November 2021
National Gambling HelpLine: Call FREE 0800 020 1009