Saturday TV Stats – 1829/1 Cracker Acca!

Mr Big Shot winning at the Aintree Festival

Trends Analysis: Saturday 7th Dec 2019

It’s certainly getting colder across the country, but the weekend jumps action continues to hot-up!

We’ve cracking action from Sandown this Saturday with four LIVE ITV races that include the Betfair Tingle Creek (3.00) – a prize top trainer, Paul Nicholls, has won a remarkable ten times.

Then up at Aintree, we are back over the National-style fences with another four LIVE ITV contests that include the Randox Health Becher Chase (1.30) and the Virgin Bet Grand Sefton Handicap Chase (3:15).

Did you know – thirteen of the last seventeen Becher Chase winners carried 10st 12lbs or less in weight?

With supporting jumping cards from Wetherby and Chepstow, plus an AW evening fixture from Wolverhampton then it’s another jam-packed Saturday.

We’ll be highlighting our TOP FOUR trends to look for from the ITV Racing and putting them in a big-priced ‘Cracker Acca’ – plus, giving you the ‘best of the rest’ trends from around the other tracks this Saturday.

Plus – don’t forget, you can also get more help finding the winner for all this Saturday’s races on our Free Horse Racing Tips page.

TV Stats ‘1829/1 Cracker Acca’

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1.30 Aintree: The Becher Chase is a contest that trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a good recent record in – he’s landed the prize three times since 2010. This year he pins his hopes on BALLYOPTIC, who should find this a lot easier than the Betfair Chase that he contested last time. Prior to that run he was a good winner of the Charlie Hall Chase last month and despite falling in this race last year and in the Grand National back in April, it was late on when (4th last) he took a tumble in the National, so can hopefully put that experience to good use this time.

1.50 Sandown: This is a contest that trainer Paul Nicholls has targeted with a lot of success in recent years – winning four of the last eight – so his GRAND SANCY catches the eye. He was an excellent second in the Tolworth Hurdle here last season, so we know the track suits and looks a nice recruit to fences for this powerful yard. A couple of spins over hurdles should have him spot-on for this.

3.00 Sandown: A ‘must-see’ renewal of the Grade One Betfair Tingle Creek Chase this season, but with a total of ten wins in the race then it’s hard to ignore trainer Paul Nicholls. He saddles his 2017 winner of the race – POLITOLOGUE – who is also the second highest-rated in the field after Un De Sceaux. He wasn’t disgraced to be a close second to a ‘race-fit’ Defi Du Seuil, last time at Cheltenham. We know he handles the Sandown track and can make a bold bid to overturn that form.

3.15 Aintree: With a 24% record with his chasers at Aintree, then trainer Colin Tizzard runners are always respected here. He saddled the eleven-year-old ULTRAGOLD in this race, a horse that seems to save his best for these Grand National fences. He was third in the Becher Chase last season and actually gets in here off a six-pound lower rating. Of course, he’s not getting any younger, but he was also a respectable fourteenth in the Grand National behind Tiger Roll last season and it’s hard to fault his overall record when tackling these fences – 1-2-1-3-14.

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Saturday Trends – Best Of The Rest

Aintree Trends

12.30 Aintree: Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won two of the last four runnings.

1.30 Aintree: Walk In The Mill won this race last season.

3.15 Aintree: The Paul Nicholls yard have won three of the last six runnings.

Sandown Trends

1.20 Sandown: Fergal O’Brien has a 35% record with his hurdlers at the track.

2.25 Sandown: Man Of Plenty won this race in 2018

Wetherby Trends

1.10 Wetherby: The Nicky Richards yard have a 39% record with their hurdlers at the track.

Chepstow Trends

12.20 Chepstow: The Tom Lacey yard have a 50% with their chasers at the track.

3.40 Chepstow: The Paul Nicholls yard have a 44% record with their NH Flat runners at the track.

Every LIVE Saturday race covered on ITV can be found on our ITV Racing Tips section, with runner-by-runner previews for each contest.

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