Saturday TV Stats – 106/1 Cracker Acca!

Itchy feet with Gavin Sheehan riding

Trends Analysis: Saturday 22nd Feb 2020

The weather took it’s toll on some of the midweek cards, so let’s hope it doesn’t play a hand in the weekend action.

Fingers crossed, as we’ve plenty to look forward to with seven LIVE ITV races across Kempton, Newcastle and Lingfield on a jam-packed afternoon.

At Kempton the Betway Chase (3.35) is their feature – a race that fifthteen of the last seventeen winners finished in the top five last time out, while fourteen of the last seventeen succesful horses were aged nine or younger.

Then up at Newcastle, the Vertum Eider Chase (2.45) will require stamina in the bucket load with gruelling conditions expected for the 4m1f Handicap. Did you know, fourteen of the last sixteen winners were aged ten or younger?

We round-off the ITV action with two races on the all weather at Lingfield with the Winter Derby (3.15) the main event – all eyes will be on the Anderw Balding-trained Bangkok, who was an impressive winner of the AW Derby Trial at the start of the month.

As always, we’ll be highlighting our TOP FOUR trends to look for from the ITV Racing and putting them in a big-priced ‘Cracker Acca’ – plus, giving you the ‘best of the rest’ trends from around the other tracks this Saturday.

Plus – don’t forget, you can also get more help finding the winner for all this Saturday’s races on our Free Horse Racing Tips page.


TV Stats ‘800/1 Cracker Acca’

(Pays £4,000 for a £5 stake)

1.15 Kempton: The Paul Nicholls yard love to win this race – they’ve won it six times in the last ten years! They’ve two running this year – Southfield Stone and MASTER TOMMYTUCKER – so both have to be respected. However, it’s the last-named that gets the call. He won well at the track back in November and despite falling last time out, that came over three miles and the drop back in trip looks a good move. Trip and ground are fine, while we know the track suits too. Harry Cobden, who has won on the horse twice already, remains in the saddle.

1.50 Kempton: This has been another good race for the Nicholls camp – winning the prize three times since 2011. They pin their hopes on a horse called SOLO this year, who is making his British debut after coming over from France. He’s won on heavy ground in the past and has shown a good level of form to date and the fact he’s running straight into a Grade Two suggests he could be another above-average juvenile hurdler for this powerful yard.

2.25 Kempton: We lost last weekend’s Kingwell Hurdle to the weather, but full marks to all concerned in getting it slotted into the Kempton card this Saturday. Just the six runners, but it could pay to stick with the 2018 winner of this prize – ELGIN. From the Alan King yard that have won two of the last three renewals, this eight-year-old is also a proven course and distance winner here at Kempton, so the switch of venue is fine. Yes, he returns from a long lay-off but has gone well fresh in the past and has also had a wind operation since his last run, which could improve him further.

3.02 Kempton: Trainer Nicky Henderson has been successful in this race three times since 2013, while he also boasts a decent 26% record with his hurdlers at the track. Therefore, his only runner from many midweek entries – BUZZ – looks interesting. This former useful staying flat horse has made a great transition to hurdles (two-from-two) and could have more to come – his proven flat speed will also be a plus on this flat track.

(Pays £4,000 for a £5 stake)


Saturday Trends – Best Of The Rest

Kempton Trends

12:40 Kempton: Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track.

3.35 Kempton: The Ben Pauling yard has a 33% record with their chasers at the track.

4.10 Kempton: Favorito Buck’s won this race in 2018.

4.45 Kempton: Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the last two runnings.

Newcastle Trends

2.10 Newcastle: The Michael Scudamore yard has a 40% record with their chasers at the track.

2.45 Newcastle: Trainer Sandy Thompson has a 25% record with her chasers at the track.

4.30 Newcastle: Trainer Neil Alexander has won this race twice since 2014.

Lingfield Trends

1.30 Lingfield: Trainer Simon Pearce has a 50% record with this four-year-olds or older at the track.

2.05 Lingfield: Royal Birth won the race in 2017.

3.15 Lingfield: Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with this four-year-olds or older at the track.

3.50 Lingfield: Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 35% record with this four-year-olds or older at the track.

Every LIVE Saturday race covered on ITV can be found on our ITV Racing Tips section, with runner-by-runner previews for each contest.

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