Owen’s Outsiders: 20-1, 16-1 and 14-1 Saturday ITV racing tips

Owen's Outsiders

It’s an ITV bonanza on Saturday, with ten races broadcast on ITV4 from three different venues! Cheltenham will have many peoples attention, as the home of jump’s racing stages day two of its opening meeting. The feature is the Masterson Holdings Hurdle, but there’s fantastic racing from Doncaster and Newbury too.

Doncaster hosts the final Group 1 on the flat, the Vertem Futurity Trophy, while Newbury hosts a pair of Group 3s, the Horris Hill and St Simon Stakes. We’ll have horse racing tips for all the action, but as always, I’m looking for some big priced winners. With ten races to work with, there’s plenty to sift through, and you can find all my analysis below!


2.20 Cheltenham – 888Sport What’s Your Thinking Handicap Chase

With a record after breaks of 50 days or more reading 2312625, this is probably the best time to catch Cool Mix (14-1). He gained his most recent win at Wetherby in October 2020, reaching the frame in four subsequent outings. He was last seen at Ayr in the Scottish Grand National, finishing a good fifth off a pound higher.

A return to 3m 1f, especially at a stiff venue, should suit Iain Jardine’s charge. He handles all ground types, so any incoming rain wouldn’t be an issue, and he’s totally unexposed as a stayer. This is just his third start at 2m 7f and beyond, so further improvement at this trip should be forthcoming. The yard is going well and he’s on a mark he can take full advantage of.


4.05 Cheltenham – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle

He needs the rain to stay away, but Jersey Wonder (16-1) will be a huge threat if it does. Previously trained on the flat by Jamie Osbourne, he was rated 89 in that sphere, so there should be far more to come from him in handicaps. He made a winning handicap debut at Fontwell back in March, following up at Exeter two weeks later when upped to 2m 7f.

Softer ground was to blame for a subsequent defeat at Haydock, as evidenced by a neck second to Geordie Des Champs when last seen in June. That three-runner race didn’t suit, as he was outpaced before staying on again, and this will be much more up his street. Having just his fourth start beyond three miles, he’s totally unexposed as a stayer.

Cheekpieces should help him travel kinder through the race and if close enough as they spin off the bend, he’ll be a big danger under Jonny Burke.


4.20 Doncaster – Virgin Bet Handicap

He’s now a ten-year-old, but Danzeno (20-1) has shown no signs of slowing down and has won two of his last three starts. The defeat came at Ascot earlier this month, where heavy ground didn’t suit him at all. With no rain forecast at Doncaster pre-Saturday, he should get his ideal conditions on this occasion.

He’s probably on the high side in regards to handicap mark, but he’s in near career-best form at present and that suggests a mark of 102 is just within range. A strong-traveller, he’ll get a good pace to aim at and he has a solid record in big-field events. He’s struck up a good partnership with Ray Dawson too, winning three times with him onboard.

Beaten a length off a mark of 103 on his previous Doncaster start, if he can run to that sort of level one year on, he’ll be a big danger in a race that’ll certainly be run to suit.


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