Outsider King Owen Goulding fancies an 80-1 shot at Newmarket on Saturday

Owen's Outsiders

It’s another bumper day of racing on Saturday, with Group 1 action on the horizon. The day is headlined by the Middle Park and Cheveley Park Stakes, Group 1s for the colts and fillies respectively.

We’ll have horse racing tips for all the action, with our main focus being the six races on ITV4. We’ll have a NAP of the Day, as well as accumulator tips for the terrestrial action.

As always, I’m looking beyond the market leaders towards the bottom of the market. There are big-priced gems to be found and I’ve dug up three who don’t warrant their prices. Found out all the details below!


2.25 Newmarket – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes

14:25
Newmarket
Velocidad silk

Velocidad

Sacred Bridge is the one to beat in this six-furlong contest, but I’m willing to give Velocidad another chance. Trained by Joseph O’Brien, she won her first two starts in fine style. The first of those came at Fairyhouse, before graduating seamlessly into pattern company with a Group 2 victory at the Curragh.

That wasn’t the strongest of graded contests, but she was well on top at the finish. An absence of eight weeks perhaps didn’t help last time in France, where she was ultimately well beaten behind Perfect Power. That wasn’t her true running, though, and she’s worth chancing again.

The booking of Tom Marquand is an obvious positive and if she does return to the form that saw her win that Group 2 prize, she’s unlikely to be far away at the business end.


2.40 Haydock – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap

He’s not the most consistent of performers, but Show Me Show Me (25-1) has form at this level and is more than capable of playing a hand in this contest. He was a winner at Lingfield three starts ago, before going close off today’s rating of 85 at Newcastle earlier this month.

A recent tilt at the Ayr Bronze Cup was better than the bare result and given that all three of his wins have come over five furlongs, a return to this trip is an obvious positive. As a lover of good ground, conditions have certainly come into his favour too.

He does need a little bit extra in a competitive race, but off a competitive rating, he’s more than capable of doing just that.


3.40 Newmarket – bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap

He’s been on the drift, but I’m struggling to see why Naval Commander warrants a 80-1 price-tag. Trained by Robyn Brisland, he’s had just the eight runs thus far, winning on seasonal reappearance at Newbury back in June. Softer ground was his undoing at Ascot on his next start, but he’s quickly bounced back in two subsequent runs.

Despite finishing sixth at York two starts ago, he was beaten just a length-and-a-half, and a return to ten furlongs saw him finish a very unlucky third at Epsom. Trapped on the rail, by the time he found room, the race was ultimately over.

Nine furlongs should prove optimal for him, especially in a strongly-run race, and the lack of rain is certainly in his favour. The first-time cheekpieces go on, which should eke out more, and off a thoroughly achievable mark, he’s fascinating under Darragh Keenan.


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