Doncaster Lincoln big-race verdict: ’40-1? The bookies have lost their minds’ 🤯

‘Eight of the last 10 winners have been drawn 10+’

A race that has gone to an unexposed four-year-old in recent years but the three at the head of the market have all been drawn low whereas eight of the last 10 winners have been drawn 10+. That suggests they need to have an extra few pounds in hand to win this so an unexposed five-year-old gets the call instead in the form of Ametist.

He won first time out last season, third the year before behind Haqeeqy who won this race last year. Ametist’s form dipped mid-season in 2021 but he bounced back in first-time cheekpieces to finish third in the Cambridgeshire. A big field handicap clearly suits him well, his trainer William Haggas knows what it takes to win this race so at about 16-1 with extra places on offer, he looks a very tempting price. – Matt Newman

’40-1? The bookies have lost their minds’

Third in the race last year, Hortzadar is a very interesting runner for the David O’Meara camp. His performance last year can be marked up as he was drawn out of the race in the dreaded stall one gate. You really need to have a middle to high stall to have any realistic chance of winning so the fact he comes out of stall 12 this year is encouraging.

Hortzadar is also now 7lb lower in the weights and for all he had a 5lb claimer on board last year, he is still looking very well treated. This race traditionally goes to an up-and-coming four-year-old but I think he could hit the frame at a very generous price. He is well suited to large fields and if the pace falls to pieces in front of him, he might take advantage. 40-1? The bookies have lost their minds in my view. – Adrian Wall

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