A total of 17 runners will take to the stalls for tomorrow’s Chester Cup, the feature race of Channel 4’s Wednesday coverage. Have you considered who you think might take home the top prize in tomorrow’s 2m 2f heritage handicap? Check out our trends and see what you should be looking for in a Chester Cup winner!
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The last winning favourite in the Chester Cup was 2010’s Mamlook for David Pipe and Richard Hughes. Mamlook has been the only successful market leader in the last 10 years and one of three triumphant favourites in the past 20.
On a similar note, seven of the last 10 winners have had odds of 10/1 or greater though five out of these seven had starting prices of between 10/1 and 16/1.
There has not been one top-weight winner in the last 10 years, the last charge to carry the top burden to victory being Rainbow High in his second win in 2001. This was two years after Barry Hills’ charge’s initial success in 1999. The last of nine horses to have secured two triumphs in the Chester Cup was Michael Jarvis’ Anak Pekan in 2004 and 2005.
Whilst Anak Pekan was the last back-to-back Chester Cup victor, it is not uncommon for former entrants to improve enough to win in the next subsequent renewal. Greenwich Meantime was third in 2006 for trainer Richard Fahey before taking home top honours in 2007. Similarly, Address Unknown finished 12th in the 2012 running but took the crown in 2013.
The most common ages of Chester Cup winners are four and five and six and seven. The last time an eight-year-old ruled supreme was back in 1985 with Morgans Choice. In the last 10 years, four six-year-olds have triumphed with three five-year-olds, two seven-year-olds and just one four-year-old taking the top honours.
Knowing which stalls are more advantageous than others is a tricky conundrum to try and decipher. In the last 10 years, six winners have come from a stall with a number of 9 or smaller. That means four came from stalls numbered 10 or greater. Hardly a convincing majority. Look closer though and see that all of the six that won the Chester Cup from a stall with a number smaller than 10, actually all had a stall number of 5 or smaller. Indeed exactly half of the last 20 winners have appeared from stalls with numbers of 5 or smaller.
Only two of the last 10 winners had been declared to wear some form of headgear. These winners were last year’s success story Suegioo and Ian Williams’ 33/1 outsider Bulwark in 2008.