Breeders’ Cup Best Bets: Day 1 Preview, Odds, Trends and Free Bets

The 2020 Breeders’ Cup comes from Keeneland, a two day extravaganza on the 6th and 7th of November. The opening day is for the juveniles, five contests, three on turf and two on dirt as the youngsters take centre stage. The pick of the 2019 winners was Sharing who came over to Royal Ascot this year to run second to Alpine Star in the Coronation Stakes. Three of the five winners were closing out their first season of racing with unbeaten records, with some smart types on show.

The 2020 Breeders’ Cup action kicks off at 7.30 and while the European raiders didn’t have any success in 2019, hopes are high that with a strong hand in the Juvenile Turf at 8.10 that at least one Friday prize will be making its way back across the Atlantic after the weekend.

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Where to watch the Breeders Cup

All the races will be shown live on Sky Racing as well as being available to stream with most bookmakers having placed a qualifying bet. Check out our free bets page for the best offers for the Breeders’ Cup 2020 and find the best bookies to place your bets with.

Breeders’ Cup Races

7.30 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (Grade 2) 5 1/2f (SKY)

8.10 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (Grade 1) 1m (SKY)

8.50 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (Grade 1) 1m 1/2f (SKY)

9.30 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (Grade 1) 1m (SKY)

10.15 – TVG Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (Grade 1) 1m 1/2f (SKY)

Breeders’ Cup Tips

7.30 – Despite the wide draw, the vote goes to GOLDEN PAL who looks good enough to overcome that. The Wesley Ward/Irad Ortiz combination teamed up to win this in 2019 with Four Wheel Drive. This colt was sent over as part of Ward’s Royal Ascot party, finishing a close second in the Norfolk.

8.10 – A strong chance of a European winner here and it’s the Aidan O’Brien representative BATTLEGROUND that makes most appeal. A very smart winner of the Vintage Stakes at Glorious Goodwood when last seen in action, he shapes as if he will continue to progress. By an American sire, his dam won the Breeders’ Cup Turf at Keeneland back in 2015, he can follow in her hoofprints.

8.50 – Just a small field of seven here but four of them defend unbeaten records including DAYOUTOFTHEOFFICE. A Grade 1 winner in the Frizette Stakes at Belmont last time out, she appreciated the step up to this trip for the first time on that occasio. That was the first triumph for trainer Timothy Hamm in a Grade 1 and she can quickly give him a second.

9.30 – Winner of both the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot and the Prix Morny at Deauville, CAMPANELLE can add to her European success back on home soil. Her connections don’t see her as just a sprinter with this not a stiff stamina test at a mile.

10.15 – A perfect 2/2 start to his career, the Godolphin representative, ESSENTIAL QUALITY, can add to that unbeaten sequence. Already a Grade 1 winner over this course and distance, that can stand him in good stead for this challenge. His dam’s half-sister was a Breeders’ Cup winner as a juvenile, he can add another for the family.

We have American horse racing tips on the site every day. They go up about 2pm for that evenings racing.

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Breeders’ Cup Stats and Trends

7.30

2 of the 3 winners made all the running.
2 of the 3 winners had an unbeaten record.

Just two of the fourteen runners arrive with an unbeaten record, both at big prices. Neither have gone from the front in their wins and there is insufficient evidence from just three years to make strong cases on a trends pick.

8.10

0 front running winners.
All 8 European winners at least placed at Group 2 level or above in most recent run.
13/13 winners no worse than third last time out.

The stats bode well for Battleground from the European runners but not so for Cadillac and The Lir Jet who were both fifth on their most recent starts.

8.50

60% of the 35 winners had yet to win over a mile.
30/35 winners had run within 30 days.
28/35 were already a Graded winner.

Dayoutoftheoffice and Vequist are the two who at least represent the latter pair. Six of the seven runners are a graded winner but they are the only pair to have run within 30 days.

9.30

11/12 winners already a winner at 1m or above.
8/10 US winners ran in either the Miss Grillo or Natalma Stakes.
Both European winners ran in a Group 1 on their most recent start.
Chad Brown has won this five times, including four of the last six.

Plum Alli and Editor At Large are the trends picks, arriving off the Miss Grillo and both a winner already over this trip of a mile. The latter represents Chad Brown who has made this race his own of late.

10.15

18 of the last 20 winners ran over a mile last time out.
Each of the last 20 winners were at least third on their debut.
All the last 20 winners in the first three last time out.

Lots who match the trends here, with no surprise that Jackies Warrior and Essential Quality at the head of the market tick the right boxes. Rombauer is also of interest at a much bigger price.

Breeders’ Cup Free Bets

As always, it’s important to shop around for the best deals for the Breeders’ Cup. Price boosts and extra place races are worth looking out for so check in with the free bets page to find the best sign up offers to make the most of the world championships of horse racing.