Snowfall will probably win going away but she is not a betting proposition at her current price. In the without-the-favourite market or each-way, the rank outsider Ahandfulofsummers should not be discounted. She remains a maiden after seven starts but was second to Epsom Oaks third Divinely in a Group 3 at this track over a mile last August. Nicely, who is second favourite for this race, was well behind her that day. She was also only beaten less than two lengths by Empress Josephine at Naas, a horse that went on to win the Irish 1000 Guineas. Yes, she probably won’t win but she has an each-way squeak in this.
Snowfall is the most likely winner but her odds make no appeal. With the dead eight, it’s worth taking a chance each-way with Party House. Her most recent run saw her held up last in a race where those at the front didn’t come back. She stumbled turning for home and was looked after from there. Three-and-a-half lengths behind Wordsworth prior to that is solid form and she looks overpriced.
It is no surprise that Snowfall is heavily odds-on, but she is nothing close to a backable price. I think Party House is the each-way play in the race, a winner on debut at Naas back in April. She has run well in a pair of Listed races since, not quite seeing out 1m5f in the Yeats and stumbling on the bend in the Naas Oaks Trial last time. The 1m4f should bring out the best in her and with exponential improvement expected on just her fourth start, she is a tempting option.
Snowfall comes into the race looking to double her Oaks tally after a commanding 16-length win in the English equivalent last month at Epsom. Aidan O’Brien’s 120-rated Classic winner faces seven rivals who all have a stone or more to find with the favourite on their official ratings. It is fair to say this year’s contest is not filled with stars from top to bottom, but rather one outstanding filly at the top of her game.
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