Southwell Placepot Tips – Monday 27th July 2015

Monday Placepot Tips – Southwell

So today we will have our first go at getting a winning Placepot. As we said in the explanation of how a Placepot works (you can find it on our site), it’s a fun cheap bet that can reap big rewards if your good enough to land. So let’s get stuck in.

These aren’t gospel selections; they’re solid placepot options. The overall placepot tip may differ from our tips slightly as a placepot is about picking horses to just place, not to necessarily win!

5.35 Southwell – Race 1

Misu Moneypenny – Horse Number – 3

Rampers – Horse Number – 1

So for our first race we’re going to suggest two horses. There are only 8 runners in the field so if there is a non-runner you will only get two places therefore it might be better to cover yourself. Our two selections have previous at Southwell when MISU MONEYPENNY beat RAMPERS back in May. The former hasn’t been seen since, so you’d imagine trainer Scott Dixon has been waiting for Southwell to get back underway for his filly. RAMPERS wasn’t disgraced that day and has run well in defeat since. Also with a big swing in the weights in RAMPERS favour they should be closely matched. Both horses have coped well with conditions previous and that is a big plus around Southwell. With so many uncertainties regarding the fibresand surface for the opposition it looks a safe choice to stick with the tried and tested.

6.05 Southwell – Race 2

Mont Kiara – Horse Number – 2 – NON RUNNER

Replacement: Comparinka – Horse Number – 6

Now hopefully this should be a safe selection for race number two. Although I’m tempted to go with Comparnika in case the selection flops I can’t ignore MONT KIARA’S credentials. I do find it strange that trainer Kevin Ryan is sending MONT KIARA to Southwell to break his maiden but who am I to argue with him. After an excellent 2^nd on debut at York just over two weeks ago, Ryan seems to want an easy option for MONT KIARA with bigger targets ahead. Entered in the Gimcrack (Group 2) and Middle Park (Group 1) Kevin Ryan must think a fair bit of him. The race itself isn’t that strong and you’d have to be disappointed if MONT KIARA isn’t good enough to win let alone place. Away from our selection the previously mentioned Comparinka should fill the other place with her running well both times so far in her career and with her trainer knowing what it takes to win on the fibresand surface.

Update: Mount Kiara is a Non Runner so our replacement pick is Comparinka. If you’d already put Mount Kiara in your placepot your selection goes to the SP Fav which is likely to be Comparinka anyway. She gets a 5lb weight allowance to the 2nd fav, improved on her 2nd run and with it likely this is between the top 3 in the market she’s the obvious selection to run into a place especially with Shawaahid winning and Good To Soft suggesting that Southwell will be fine for her.

6.40 Southwell – Race 3

Putin – Horse Number – 5

Now this is where our placepot gets tricky. It’s easy to think it’ll be easier just to ‘perm’ your selections and pick more than one in a race like this but I find I easier to concentrate on finding one you are confident in. My one is the Phil McEntee trained PUTIN. Now although a large price the selection has a good bit in his favour. Let’s start with him being a four time course winner, with his last win here coming over todays 7f distance. He is also well drawn to attack in stall 2 and with Jockeys Championship leader Silvestre De Sousa on board I’d like to think he will blast out and make all, that’s the idea anyway. PUTIN has recent form with others where he is better at the weights and to be honest there is a lot of dead wood at the bottom of the weights so I’d like to think his job of placing for us should be easier than it looks in this 13 runner field. Last of all trainer McEntee has had a few winners recently and his horses seem to be going well which can only be a positive.

Race Tip: 6.40 – Shearian 8/1 EW. A good option to perm here if you want to play it safer. I really fancy Shearian but I think he’ll go in a lot of pots along with Qaffaal, both of which would be good perm selections if you don’t mind upping the amount you’re spending on the pot.

7.10 Southwell – Race 4

Paladin – Horse Number – 2

Madakheel – Horse Number – 5

Now if we’ve got half way let’s give ourselves a pat on the back and then get stuck in to the second half of the Placepot, the hardest part! So let’s start with PALADIN. Ridden by Martin Harley who does particularly well at this track PALADIN is coming here after a fine 2^nd when last seen in May. That run came after a long break and was his first run for trainer Dominic Ffrench Davis. In what is a wide open handicap for horses that haven’t managed to win yet that is some of the best form on offer. Being an ex-Godolphin horse PALADIN is well bred and his sire Dubawi does particularly well at Southwell. If he repeats his last run he won’t be far away. Our second selection is MADAKHEEL trained by Simon West. Like PALADIN, filly MADAKHEEL used to belong to top connections in the shape of master trainer Dermot Weld and owner Hamdan Al Maktoum. His trainer doesn’t have a great record here but the horse is bred to appreciate this type of surface and jockey Andrew Elliot has a good record on this unique surface. In summary it’s a tough race with no previous winners so again it may be worth going with horses who should handle the surface.

Race Tip: 7.10 – Legal Shark 10/3. Expecting a big run from him at a good win price but not as good a place prospect as the two above.

7.40 Southwell – Race 5

Street Force – Horse Number – 5

Our one and only horse for race five is the STREET FORCE trained by Southwell specialist Michael Appleby. This son of Street Cry, a sire who excels at Southwell, is returning to the track where he broke his maiden tag when winning by 12 Lengths in February. Since then his form has levelled out on turf but a return to the fibresand in what is a tight handicap should see him return to form. As I mentioned earlier his trainer has an excellent record here and is also in very good form of late. Like I said this is a tight handicap with not much between any of them but it’s worth taking a chance on STREET FORCE who could have more to come on this surface after only a handful runs here earlier this year.

8.10 Southwell – Race 6

Caius College Girl – Horse Number – 5

Toast Of Newbury – Horse Number – 10

So if we’ve made it to the last it doesn’t get any easier but let’s try and finish the job. Our first selection is rank outsider CAISU COLLEGE GIRL. Now although the odds say she has no chance I think different. After switching from David Barron’s yard to Sussex based French trainer David Menuisier the selection has twice been tried in much better company than today’s class 5 event faring better than the bare result. Although her trainer hasn’t been prolific he has shown he is more than capable with the right horse and CAIUS COLLEGE GIRL looks to have potential. She won her maiden last year on softer ground so this surface could bring out the improvement needed. Our second selection is the more solid TOAST OF NEWBURY. He is 1/1 at Southwell and comes here in good form albeit with a run of 2^’snext to his name. His chance is a lot more obvious and again with Silvestre De Sousa on board I’d like to think he’ll be going close, even another 2 next to his name will suffice. Both selections get the 3yo allowance as do some others in the field but it leaves TOAST OF NEWBURY especially well weighted near the bottom of weights. To summarise we’ve gone for a horse with potential and horse with the form in the book, so let’s hope between them they can place to give us a winning bet.

Race Tip: Layla’s Hero 11/1 EW. A nice one as a 3rd perm option, take your pick. After getting to the final race we’ve gone for the favourite to place who is 4 points shorter than anything else in the race and a big price outsider to make sure we have a chance if the race falls apart and we can get through with only a handful of other tickets if the favoured ones in the market don’t place.