Saturday TV Stats – 2500/1 Cracker Acca!

The 2018 Ayr Gold Cup, Son Of Rest (Chris Hayes) and Baron Bolt (Cameron Noble) dead heat

Trends Analysis: Saturday 21st Sept 2019

Plenty to get stuck into this Saturday with eight LIVE ITV races from Ayr and Newbury (four at each).

North of the border, the William Hill Ayr Gold Cup (3.50) takes centre stage as a monster field of twenty-five runners head to post in the six-furlong handicap. All eyes will be on the well-supported Irish runner – Buffer Zone – but it’s worth noting that we’ve had just three winning favourites since 1980.

Then at Newbury, it’s their Dubai Duty Free International Day with some top Group races that include the Mill Reef Stakes (2.55) – fourteen of the last seventeen winners came from stalls five or lower.

With supporting afternoon cards from Catterick, Chelmsford and Newmarket, plus evening action at Wolverhampton there’s a lot to look forward to.

We’ll be highlighting our TOP FOUR trends to look for from the ITV Racing and putting them in a big-priced ‘Cracker Acca’ – plus, giving you the ‘best of the rest’ trends from around the other tracks this Saturday.

Plus – don’t forget, you can also get more help finding the winner for all this Saturday’s races on our Free Horse Racing Tips page.


TV Stats ‘2500/1 Cracker Acca’

(Pays £5,000 for a £2 stake)

2.00 Ayr: The David O’Meara yard won this race with WAARIF twelve months ago and they look to have a great chance with the same horse again this year. This six-year-old gets in off the same mark as last year and despite that win coming in heavy ground is a horse with winning form on much faster surfaces too.

2.20 Newbury: DESERT ENCOUNTER took this prize in 2017, while the David Simcock yard have won three of the last four renewals of this race. Their seven-year-old is the only proven course and distance winner in the field and is also the top-rated in the line-up. He also heads into the race in rude form after smooth wins at Goodwood and Windsor.

3.25 Chelmsford: With the Owen Burrows yard boasting a decent 40% record with their four-year-olds or older at the track then their MIZAAH is interesting here. He won well here two runs back and wasn’t disgraced on soft ground at Haydock last time. The return to the AW is a plus and David Probert, who won on him here two runs back, returns to the saddle.

5.30 Ayr: The Richard Fahey team have won this race three times since 2009 so their DOCTOR CROSS looks worthy of a second glance. This five-year-old has been running consistently over 1m4f of late but the step up to 1m5f here looks a good move by connections. He’s been staying on well in his races and also gets in here off the same mark as last time when a close fourth at York.

(Pays £5,000 for a £2 stake)


Saturday Trends – Best Of The Rest

Ayr Trends

1.25 Ayr: Jockey Ben Curtis has a 29% record when riding two-year-olds at the track.

3.15 Ayr: Jockey Ben Curtis has a 29% record when riding two-year-olds at the track.

3.50 Ayr Gold Cup: More Key Trends

4.55 Ayr: Trainer David O’Meara has trained three of the last four winners.

Newbury Trends

4.05 Newbury: The John Gosden yard have a 29% record with their two-year-olds at the track.

5.15 Newbury: Jockey Jason Watson has a 23% record riding three-year-olds at the track.

Chelmsford Trends

2.50 Chelmsford: La Fortuna won this race last season.

Catterick Trends

2.25 Catterick: The Richard Fahey yard have won two of the last four runnings.

3.00 Catterick: The Michael Bell stable have a 43% record with their three-year-olds at the track.

3.35 Catterick: The Archie Watson yard have a 33% record with their two-year-olds at the track.

4.10 Catterick: Mr Sundowner won this race in 2017.

Newmarket Trends

5.00 Newmarket: The horse from stall three has won three of the last five runnings.

5.35 Newmarket: Captain Colby won this race in 2018.

Wolverhampton Trends

5.55 Wolverhampton: The Archie Watson yard boast a 36% record with their two-year-olds at the track.

6.20 Wolverhampton: The Saeed Bin Suroor yard have a 32% record with his three-year-olds at the track.

7.20 Wolverhampton: The horse from stall seven has won three of the last six runnings.

Every LIVE Saturday race covered on ITV can be found on our ITV Racing Tips section, with runner-by-runner previews for each contest.

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