Derby week was certainly a profitable one for my outsiders! Seven days ago, Arqoob battled on gamely to score at odds of 20-1 at Yarmouth, with Strong Johnson going down on his sword for a 25-1 second. Epsom Oaks day added to the tally, with Hollie Doyle giving course winner Corazon Espinado a peach to score at his local course at 14-1.
It’s a new week, and I’m hoping for another successful one! Many of you will probably know me thanks, in part, to the monster double I landed back in February. It’s been a long time since and it’s time for another go! We’ll have horse racing tips from all of Tuesday’s racing, including our strong Lucky 15s, but here is my 1155-1 double for Tuesday’s action.
2.10 Salisbury – MansionBet Watch And Bet Novice Stakes
Many will dismiss her based on a poor two-year-old run, but ROOFUL (33-1) should be a far different proposition as a three-year-old. It’s all there on paper, a daughter of Charming Thought who is a half-sister to Group 1 winner Accidental Agent. That horse got better with age and I believe the same will be the case with this filly.
Granted, her sole two-year-old run was very disappointing, but she was sent off at 22-1 and ran green throughout. She was all at sea and you’d have to believe she’s improved over the winter for a trainer who has come into great form in recent weeks.
She does need to leave that opening run well behind, there’s no doubt about that. At odds of 33-1, however, I’m more than happy to take the chance, especially given her beautiful breeding.
2.25 Roscommon – Roscommon Racecourse Opportunity Handicap Hurdle
The interesting one in this race is the trainer-owned ARCH MELODY (33-1), who completed a Wexford double in the summer of 2019. He been very lightly-raced since, with a pair of runs at the back-end of 2020 best forgiven, having suffered exercise-induced pulmonary haemorrhages after the fact.
It was no surprise to see him sent off an enormous price on seasonal return at Killarney over fences, but he acquitted himself far better than the bare result of seventh suggests. Hampered early in the contest, he was never a threat but kept on well enough to suggest his ability remained.
He now switches back to hurdling over the two-mile distance and this trip will suit much better. He can also race off his lower mark of 91 and having placed over fences in a better grade off 103 in 2019, he’s obviously well-treated. Conditions are perfect for him and if he does step forward from that pleasing return, he can surely out-run his prohibitive odds.