Owen’s Outsiders: 25-1, 20-1 and 16-1 Friday ITV tips

Owen's Outsiders

Newmarket’s Cambridgeshire Meeting continues on Friday, with the Group 2 Rockfel and Joel Stakes being the feature races. There’s also a pair of Listed races, the Princess Royal and Rosemary Stakes. We’ll have horse racing tips, including a NAP of the Day and double tip.

With six races on ITV4, including a pair of competitive handicaps, there’s plenty of potential to find a winner at bigger odds. I’ve gone through the action and there’s three horses that caught my eye. They all look over priced and you can see all my analysis below.

2.05 York – William Hill Extra Places Races Handicap

He’s not the most consistent these days, but Muscika (25-1) sits on a dangerous mark and produced an eye-catching run at Haydock last time. He was given plenty to do on that occasion and in a race where the pace held up, he flew home into a never-nearer seventh.

A return to York is massively in his favour, with his last two victories coming at the Northern track. That includes a course and distance victory off a mark of 87, and he’s now six pounds lower after a fairly miserable campaign.

That most recent run at Haydock suggested he was ready to strike, however, and this race should play out to suit. Conditions are perfect and with David O’Meara’s string among the winners, he’s an obvious player at bigger odds.

2.25 Newmarket – Unibet Princess Royal Stakes

Albaflora is the most likely winner of this contest and is difficult to oppose. That being said, I don’t believe that Sea La Rosa (20-1) is a 20-1 shot for the in-form William Haggas team.

She’s done nothing but improve this year, winning on three occasions. The most recent success came at Doncaster in a Class 2 handicap, pushed out to win with plenty in hand. This is a much tougher contest, but the way she won last time suggested she had far more to offer.

She remains totally unexposed and an official rating of 93 doesn’t tell the full story. She’s having just her fourth start over the twelve-furlong distance and her record at the trip reads 121. Haggas has won with eight of his last 37 runners and she wouldn’t need much improvement to play an each-way role in this contest.

2.40 York – williamhill.com Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

This is a higher grade than he’s used too, but La Rav (16-1) arrives in great heart and should be well-suited by how this contest is likely to be run. A seven-year-old, he was a winner at Beverley two starts ago, pulling clear with an in-form rival.

Raised five pounds for that success, missing the break ultimately cost him over the same course and distance last time. He can race off the same rating today, with Joanna Mason once again claiming three pounds.

As previously mentioned, this is a better race, but a strong gallop will help draw him into the contest. On the whole, he’s extremely consistent, and it would be disappointing if he wasn’t involved in the finish for Michael & David Easterby.

If you back any of our selections you can watch them live on the free Racing Post app or racingpost.com. Simply log in to one of your bookmaker accounts and click ‘Watch live’ on the racecards.

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