It feels good to be back! After a month away, I’m back on duty, and ready to end the flat season on a high. We’ve had some incredible action the last few weeks, including scintillating performances from Hurricane Lane and Native Trail in the Goldophin blue this weekend past.
Attentions now firmly turn towards Paris Longchamp, however, as the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe approaches. There was a huge twist in the market on Sunday, when Snowfall suffered a shock defeat in the Prix Vermeille. It leaves Tarnawa as the favourite, with Hurricane Lane nipping at her heels, and the pair are clear of the remainder.
The market tells the tale of a two horse race and it’s hard to dispute they aren’t the best horses in the race. That being said, the Arc is always fiercely competitive and I fancy one at a bigger price. This filly doesn’t deserve her 25-1 odds and you can find out why below.
25/1 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe tip
To the surprise of no one, you need to be a classy horse to win an Arc. Stamina is an understated factor, however, and Raabihah is a horse I can see charging home at the death for Jean-Claude Rouget. This filly developed a strong reputation in 2020, and for good reason, landing Group 3 honours before finishing second to Tarnawa in the Prix Vermeille on her next start.
Her final outing of last campaign was in the Arc, finishing fifth after being given plenty to do. It’s hard to dispute that her opening runs of this year were disappointing, finishing second in a trio of pattern races, but her latest win in the Group 2 Prix de Pomone was much more like it. She cruised into contention that day and settled things readily, clearly relishing a return to the Arc trip (1m 4f) and waiting tactics.
She remains unexposed over this distance and she’s effective on all types of ground, which is another feather in her cap. As a horse who will makes her gains late, the Arc should play to all of her strengths. 25-1 is an attractive price in my eyes, especially with last year’s winning connections teaming up once more.
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