James Boyle’s Value Bets – 8th December

Wolverhampton Racecourse Stalls

Our new horse racing tipster has picked out two selections for Saturday’s action at Wolverhampton.

7.45pm Wolverhampton:

In the feature handicap of the day at Wolverhampton, Restorer could return to winning ways if granted a stronger pace than the one on offer at Newcastle a couple of weeks ago. The 6-year-old grey caught the eye with how powerfully he moved for a long time but had earlier missed the break and was not best positioned given the sedate pace up top. In the circumstances, I thought he shaped with no shortage of promise and a 4lb swing at the weights with Seafarer should be enough to see that form turned around.

Defying a rating of 99 is never easy in these races – if you ran it over and over again, there would be a lot of different results! – but Ian Williams’ charge is still on the unexposed side on these All-Weather surfaces and certainly shaped well enough on that first tapeta outing at Newcastle to suggest that he’ll be a winning a handicap of this nature if kept on the go over the winter. This one looks ripe for picking, with a bit of luck in-running, and I’d have him a couple of points shorter than 7/1. 15/2 if you’re lucky!

7.45pm Wolverhampton – Restorer – 1 point @ 7/1

7.15pm Wolverhampton:

Little Palaver isn’t the horse he was, evidenced by a 20lb drop in the weights being needed to see him go from five career wins to six, but he’s still capable of paying his way in these 0-75 handicaps and is overpriced following a mid-division finish at a higher level around Kempton last time. That run doesn’t really look like much on the face of it but the winner was evidently thrown-in and a lot of what went on behind makes plenty of sense from a form perspective, certainly in the context of a race like this.

The selection didn’t get an optimal racing position either, losing his place after a couple of furlongs, and could well have done better if afforded the luxury of a more prominent sit, as is his want. Getting that here might not be easy due to a wide draw but it’s more than factored into the price, which is enough for me to feel it’s worth taking a chance that it won’t be an issue. It’s also worth noting that the yard do well with older (4yo+) horses at this track; +26.22 level stakes profit and an 18% strike-rate.


Results Tracking:

Running Total: +/- 0 points.

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