Our new horse racing tipster has picked out two selections for Saturday’s action at Wolverhampton.
In the feature handicap of the day at Wolverhampton, Restorer could return to winning ways if granted a stronger pace than the one on offer at Newcastle a couple of weeks ago. The 6-year-old grey caught the eye with how powerfully he moved for a long time but had earlier missed the break and was not best positioned given the sedate pace up top. In the circumstances, I thought he shaped with no shortage of promise and a 4lb swing at the weights with Seafarer should be enough to see that form turned around.
Defying a rating of 99 is never easy in these races – if you ran it over and over again, there would be a lot of different results! – but Ian Williams’ charge is still on the unexposed side on these All-Weather surfaces and certainly shaped well enough on that first tapeta outing at Newcastle to suggest that he’ll be a winning a handicap of this nature if kept on the go over the winter. This one looks ripe for picking, with a bit of luck in-running, and I’d have him a couple of points shorter than 7/1. 15/2 if you’re lucky!
7.45pm Wolverhampton – Restorer – 1 point @ 7/1
Little Palaver isn’t the horse he was, evidenced by a 20lb drop in the weights being needed to see him go from five career wins to six, but he’s still capable of paying his way in these 0-75 handicaps and is overpriced following a mid-division finish at a higher level around Kempton last time. That run doesn’t really look like much on the face of it but the winner was evidently thrown-in and a lot of what went on behind makes plenty of sense from a form perspective, certainly in the context of a race like this.
The selection didn’t get an optimal racing position either, losing his place after a couple of furlongs, and could well have done better if afforded the luxury of a more prominent sit, as is his want. Getting that here might not be easy due to a wide draw but it’s more than factored into the price, which is enough for me to feel it’s worth taking a chance that it won’t be an issue. It’s also worth noting that the yard do well with older (4yo+) horses at this track; +26.22 level stakes profit and an 18% strike-rate.
Running Total: +/- 0 points.
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- Selections posted at: 8.00pm, Friday 7th December.