Silvestre De Sousa is a world class jockey and could be well worth following at Epsom this week. He has a very healthy 19 per cent strike-rate on the Flat in Britain this year. However, over the past five years at Epsom he has a return of 24 per cent.
De Sousa is the standout jockey at the track in this time period, riding 21 winners in total. To put that into context, the next best is Charles Bishop who has ridden a total of nine winners in that time.
With that in mind, the stats suggest that if you follow De Sousa on Friday and Saturday at Epsom, you should do well. He has four rides at the track on Friday which we will form into a Lucky 15 below.
On paper, it looks like his weakest chance of his four rides is in the opener. However, Maybury is a huge price and could outrun his odds. The William Jarvis-trained colt raced with far too much exuberance on debut at Yarmouth. As a result, he weakened but should be a different horse on his second start. Watch the betting closely on this one.
Sporting the famous King Power silks, De Sousa will ride Fox Duty Free in this competitive handicap for trainer Ralph Beckett. The four-year-old Kingman gelding landed a hat-trick on the all-weather at Lingfield at the end of 2020 but has lost his way a bit since. He seemed to hate the testing ground at Thirsk last month so the quicker ground here is a major positive.
Mystery Smiles is another of Silvestre’s rides for King Power in the Listed Surrey Stakes over 7f. The Mehmas colt was third to Master Of The Seas and La Barrosa in the Craven but was well down the field when put into a hot 2000 Guineas field when last seen. This is a much more realistic level for him and a first-time visor could bring out improvement.
The day comes to an end with another competitive handicap in the finale but Dulas has outstanding claims. The Charles Hills-trained gelding arrives here at the top of his game after a win at Goodwood. Nudged up a couple of pounds for that effort, he still looks well treated and is the horse that they all have to beat.