As most of our followers know by now, we are renowned for going the extra mile at myracing.com. The research that goes into our tips is second to none. Our resident expert Adrian Wall has looked at the Newbury card on Wednesday in great depth. He has found a very interesting statistic.
In the last five years at Newbury in non-handicaps and taking out bumpers, the favourite has won 50-per-cent of the time. Considering 30-per-cent of favourites roughly win in general, this is a very useful statistic. There are two races on the card tomorrow that fit the bill, so let’s take a look at them in greater detail.
Just a note – these results are done to SP so just because a horse may open favourite the night before, that runner might not go off as market leader. Please take that into account when looking at the horses below. There is no guarantee that they will go off favourite.
At the time of doing this article, it looks like the most likely favourite here will be Hoi Polloi. Trainer Emma Lavelle has struck form and won the Lanzarote Hurdle with Boreham Bill on the 9th of January. This costly €120,000 Shantou gelding created a great impression when winning a Kempton bumper in February. His inexperience showed when runner-up on hurdling bow at Hereford in November but he looks like an exciting prospect.
Nicky Henderson has a couple of runners in this but Hamilton’s Fancy looks sure to be the stable’s first string. Nico De Boinville opts to ride this horse running in the colours of The Queen. This is an extremely well bred mare and she made an encouraging start when runner-up in an Ascot bumper in November. Now taking on hurdles for the first time, she should go off favourite for a yard that won this race last year.