Arc Market Mover: Find out what horse has been smashed in for Sunday’s showstopper

Frankie Dettori and Enable beating Sea Of Class in the 2018 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe

It has been raining buckets at Longchamp all week. With heavy ground forecast for Sunday’s showstopper, it may pay to look for some value in the betting.

Love was taken out of the race on Thursday morning by trainer Aidan O’Brien. The bookmakers will be delighted with that news as they must have taken in fortunes on the star filly ante-post.

With major negatives surrounding the front two in the betting for varying reasons, the shrewd each-way players will be looking for a bet at double-figure prices.

Can the Queen do it?

Enable is as short as 5/4 for the Arc. She got turned over in the race last year on very soft ground and heavy ground will make her vulnerable again. No six-year-old has won the race in the history of the race too.

Stradivarius should enjoy more of a test being an out-and-out stayer but he has always reportedly been better on better ground. He is 0/3 over a mile and a half in his career too so if he did win the Arc, it would prove how poor a renewal it is.

So with major minus signs against all three leaders in the market, interestingly there has been plenty of market support for a lightly-raced French horse all week. In Swoop has been backed from 25/1 into 9/1 in places since Monday.

Under the radar

German Derby winner In Swoop is clearly a horse that enjoys some cut in the ground as he only raced on good to soft for his first three starts.

He wasn’t without support for the Grand Prix De Paris when last seen, running on ground much faster than ideal. He ran on well to finish second behind Mogul, snatching the runner-up spot off Gold Trip on the line.

The way he finished his race off on quick ground would suggest that a more stamina-sapping test will bring the very best out of him. As a consequence, it is no surprise to see the money come for him.  Francis-Henri Graffard’s horse has a real live chance.


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