On a busy Saturday, it can be difficult to find value. However, this each way Lucky 15 represents horses who, for a variety of reasons, may have flown under the radar in the market and could outperform their odds.
Marnie James is five pounds below his last winning mark, and while that was a long time ago, he showed on stable debut for Scott Dixon that he retains the ability to make an impact in a field like this.
The sprinter has been dropped three pounds for that run despite the fact that it came after over a year off the track and he can make his presence felt, particularly as he was very accomplished on the all weather in the past.
While Jumpers Bumpers may not be the best example of a horse’s ability, they can be a good indicator of fitness and Nigel Twiston-Davies’ Monarchofthegrange finished close up in such an event a month ago.
Having previously been bogged down in heavy ground at Doncaster, the return to a sounder surface here could hold the key to this seven race maiden and his length second at Leicester in November was promising.
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Brian Ellison’s Windsor Avenue was a progressive novice who has been slightly disappointing in good handicaps this term. However, his second to Imperial Aura at Carlisle in November is a strong piece of form and a replication of that would see him go close here.
Ellison reaches for the cheekpieces and tongue tie for the first time in an effort to squeeze some more improvement out of this nine-year-old. Windsor Avenue will also benefit from Theo Gillard’s five pound claim and certainly has the ability to take a handicap of this nature.
Ian Williams’ Dragon Bones is in at the deep end here, making her debut over hurdles in a Listed race, but she has very strong bumper form and has clearly given connections confidence that she could be up to this kind of challenge.
The six-year-old was the winner of a bumper at Worcester back in 2019 that has thrown up all manner of winners, before finishing a respectable fourth to the progressive Eileendover next time out after nearly a year and a half off the track. She will strip fitter for that and may fly under the radar and outrun her odds here.
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