25-1 into 9-1: Smash up currently taking place on runner at Kempton

Embour wins at Kempton under Martin Dwyer

In low grade affairs, the market can tell a lot of the story. We often see large gambles taking place on poor standard affairs for a couple of reasons. Often, the prize-money is nowhere near attractive enough to make it pay as an owner. It can cost £20,000 plus to keep a horse in training each year.

Winning £3,000 in prize-money for finishing first past the post won’t pay your fees for the year. As a consequence, we often see owners and trainers try to plot their horse for a gamble. Let’s take a look at the big gamble of the day below.

5.10 Kempton

The bang in-form Tom Marquand rides Decadent in this Class 6 handicap and has been very well supported. The Tom Ward trained runner has been backed from 12-1 overnight all the way into 9-2 in places. This horse was in decent form until last seen, where first-time blinkers clearly had an extremely negative effect.

She finished 9th of the 13 runners over course and distance but with the blinkers off now, she can run a better race. With Marquand in such great form at present, that could be one of the main reasons behind the money. However, this is not the big gamble of the race.

GYPSY BOY has been backed from an overnight price of 25-1, all the way into 9-1 in places. David Probert takes the ride on Gay Kelleway’s Showcasing colt who was last seen finishing down the field at Leicester 85 days ago. Gay had her best year for a long time in 2020, operating at an 11-per-cent strike rate.

This horse is making his polytrack debut but his best three runs have all come on an artificial surface at Wolverhampton and Lingfield. He is still very lightly raced and runs from a favourable mark so it would be no surprise to see him run a big race.

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