1000 Guineas Trends

Newmarket’s 1000 Guineas takes place on Sunday, the second high profile race to be held at the course’s Guineas Festival. Whilst the official line up of runners set to take on the 8f trip is yet to be announced, it is never too early to search through those expected entrants to try to find yourself a bit of value!

Many will try to find a Classic winner by following in-form connections or by sticking a pin into the list published in their weekend paper. Should you much prefer to consider some of the race’s most highly regarded trends, take a look at our list of the things you should be looking out for in a 1000 Guineas winner!

Got your own list of must-haves when it comes to profiling your own potential 1000 Guineas winner? Let us know on our various social media pages. Oh, and use the link at the bottom of the page to check out our betting tips and preview!

Betting Trends

The last winning favourite in the 1000 Guineas was Special Duty who took the 2010 renewal in unusual circumstances from 66/1 shout Jacqueline Quest. Sir Henry Cecil’s Jacqueline Quest did finish first past the post but was demoted to second place after hanging into the 9/2 favourite.

Whilst there have only been three winning market leaders in the past 10 years, both of the last two winners have secured victory at short prices – 9/1 (Sky Lantern, 2013) and 7/1 (Miss France, 2014) respectively. This could mean that the betting market is becoming a more reliable indicator and may encourage you to choose from the top few in the betting. Miss France was the joint-second favourite whilst Sky Lantern was in the first four.

Only two of the last 10 winners have been drawn in a double-figure stall. These were Natagora in 2008 and Blue Bunting in 2011. This pair aside, no horse in the past 10 years has found success in a stall with a number greater than eight. Two winners in this period have come from stall eight (Finsceal Beo, 2007; Ghanaati, 2009) whilst another two winners have emerged from stall one (Virginia Waters, 2005; Special Duty, 2010).

Whilst the last trainer to win successive 1000 Guineas with different horses was Sir Henry Cecil in 1996 and 1997 (his mounts being Bosra Sham and Sleepytime), no jockey has won back-to-back 1000 Guineas since Walter Swinburn in 1992 and 1993. The three-time race winner lead Hatoof and Sayyedati to glory in respective years.

Special Duty’s victory in 2010 ended a long line of 1000 Guineas winners that had found success in their last race before the Newmarket classic. Whilst it is true that seven of the last 10 winners had won their last race before the 1000 Guineas, neither of the last two had. Miss France took sixth in France’s Prix Imprudence whilst Sky Lantern finished second behind Hot Snap in Newmarket’s Group Three Nell Gwyn Stakes.

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