Race Time: 1.45pm Meeting: Carlisle Day: Monday 9th November 2015
Distance: 2m 4f Full Race Name: 188bet Novices’ Chase Class Three
Just the six runners to concentrate on this afternoon, but one or two of them arrive here with high hopes of a very bright future over the larger obstacles and get the chance to put themselves in the spotlight ahead of the bigger races in what connections would have hoped would be a jog around but is now on paper at least, anything but. Top of our short list is the Paul Nicholls trained Silsol (15/8), a decent hurdler who won races at Ayr, Newton Abbot, Newbury, and Ffos Las over hurdles but has been marked out as a chaser by connections for some time now. We remember Paul Nicholls telling the waiting media that he would leave his hurdles rating of 158 behind once he took on the bigger obstacles, though he also added that would be on soft ground (which he gets here) and over three miles, with just the two and a half in front of him today. Not seen since a midfield performance at Auteuil in mid May, this is his chasing debut but the stable clearly think a lot of him and have all the best facilities to prepare him for his fencing debut, and we are pretty certain they are anticipating an impressive victory.
If this were over hurdles then we could confidently expect Seeyouatmidnight (9/4) to be the main danger for the Sandy Thomson yard, but it isn’t and we wonder how well he will adapt to fences? As with Silsol, the sharpness of the trip is questionable as his last fie races over hurdles were all over three miles or more, including a very respectable seventh of sixteen to Cole Harden in the World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival, but he did fall once and was pulled up once in his point to point days which makes us a little wary of his jumping skills.
Looking for other of interest and Maximiser (7/2) may not have the same standard of profile, but beauty is as beauty does, and the seven year old son of Helissio has won his last three races which started with a point to point at Tattersalls Farm in Ireland which was followed by a wide margin novice hurdle win here over this distance, and an almost as easy eleven lengths win in a better race at Haydock. He hasn’t been seen since that victory last November, which has to be a worry regarding his fitness at least, but he is another who has been biding his time ahead of a chasing career and is well worth watching today for future reference at the very least.
Looking at consistency and if there were enough runners (which there aren’t), then you would have to consider Kingscourt Native (6/1) for a place though third may be the very best he can hope for today. Three falls in eight races (including point to points) is not the profile we want or can recommend for a novice chaser, making his debut over fences. He has got winning form at Kempton over hurdles and could pick up some prize money if he gets round in one piece, but on the form evidence we can see, good luck to jockey Noel Fehily.
Lastly (on all known form we can ignore Veroce who has been pulled up twice and beaten 99 lengths and 67 lengths when he has finished), we have U Name It (33/1) who looks as though he will need to either improve three stone or hope the others fall to get involved. He has got winning form here over hurdles but only in a Class Four Novice Hurdle and although he has racked up three places since, he unseated at Kelso after a horrible blunder at Kelso on his fencing bow, and you would need a better imagination than we have to expect him to score today!