1.50pm Southwell Tips & Betting Preview 22/11/2016

This should probably boil down to a 2-horse race with £4,205 up for grabs for the winner. Read on for our experts’ thoughts and betting tips.

IN SUMMARY: HAPPY HOLLOW was impressive in 3 bumper wins earlier in the year and while no doubt be hard to beat on his flat debut. Star Of Lombardy is of interest making her Fibresand debut after a year off and will surely run a big race if ready to go after a year off. Cape Dignity can follow them home.

1 Happy Hollow – Has won all 3 starts for his yard in bumpers here, at Wetherby and Market Rasen for combined total of over 9 lengths. In control every time he makes his flat debut today and will be tough to beat for a jockey with a good strike-rate with horses of this type for Alan Swinbank.

2 Mexican Jim – Previously trained by Tony Carroll and only had 1 run. Well down the field that day finishing 11^th of 14 and doubt will do any better today.

3 Thenobleprankster – Only 2 runs so far at Windsor and Chelmsford and last in both. Up in trip today and hard to see him getting involved.

4 Amadiva – Ran a shocker on return after over 2 years off last month and has shown nothing in four starts for the yard. Best ignored.

5 Striking Nigella – Finished plum last when 150/1 for Bumper debut back in March and has practically filled the same spot in all of her 5 runs since with the exception being an11^th of 15 finish at Thirsk on her last start. Improvement does not look forthcoming.

6 Cape Dignity – Two runs for Hugo Palmer so far and followed up a decent well beaten 3^rd at Newcastle on debut last month with another solid showing when 4^th at Lingfield 11 days ago when wearing a tongue-strap. Was well beaten on both starts but has plenty of scope and should be in the mix.

7 Come Back King – 5 starts for Michael Appleby’s yard who does so well with his horses here. Fair form so far and finished 6^th of 12 on his latest start here but wears blinkers today and may find one or two too good.

8 Unblinking – Ex French recruit who made an average debut at Chantilly in April before being purchased by his current yard. Only 10^thof 13 on debut last month at Nottingham and difficult to see a big run here against the top two in the market.

9 Dream Journey – Previously trained by Charles Hills, this filly was 7^th of 13 in her last start. Up in trip today and has been off for 5 months. Hard to fancy chances on comeback.

10 Notion Of Beauty – Only had 5 races for the yard so far but not shown much so far. Last of 9 in a Fillies’ Handicap at Newcastle 2 weeks ago. Makes Fibresand debut today and probably wouldn’t need to show much to improve against some of these. Market will guide.

11 Star Of Lombardy – 4 starts for the yard last year and been off the track since. Was a decent 2^nd of 8 at Chelmsford on her last start in a Maiden Fillies’ Stakes last November and will not to improve much to get involved today. Should give the likely favourite a race.