Lucky 15: Four JP McManus horses with massive chances at Aintree this week
20 hours ago
KEMPTON (AW)
29 March 2025
Saturday 29th March
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Qual') (GBBPlus Race) (Class 2) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 1m 2f 219y
- Going: Standard To Slow
- Runners
- 14
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Polytrack
- Stalls
- Inside
- Weather
- Mostly cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
w2
Wind Op - Second run after wind operation
Ended 2024 with two poor runs; left Stoute yard for 30,000gns; good first-time-out record
3/257-
Age: 6
Weight: 9-12
OR: 102
Days: 210
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 24 | Chs Chester | 14.5f Gd | L | 9-8 t | 7/7 | Absurde (20L) | 10/1 | 105 | 85 |
| 15 Jun 24 | Yor York | 14f GS | L | 9-2 t | 5/5 | Klondike (34L) | 3/1C | 105 | 61 |
| 4 May 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 12f Gd | 2Hc | 9-10 t | 2/9 | Maxi King (1¼L) | 7/2F | 99 | 111 |
| 15 Sep 23 | Don Doncaster | 14.5f Sft | 2Hc | 10-2 t | 3/7 | Legendary Day (¾L) | 18/5 | 99 | 105 |
| 26 Aug 23 | Yor York | 14f GF | 2Hc | 9-2 t | 19/22 | Absurde (16½L) | 15/2 | 99 | 85 |
| 15 Jul 23 | Asc Ascot | 14f GS | 3Hc | 9-12 t | 1/6 | Crescent Lake (4¼L) | 5/6F | 91 | 104 |
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (0%)
Won this race in 2023; 8lb rise since recent Meydan win takes him to a career-high mark
58-631
Age: 7
Weight: 9-12
OR: 102
Days: 15
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 25 | Mey Meydan | 12f Gd | Hc | 9-11 | 1/14 | Valdivia (3¼L) | 13/2 | 94 | 102 |
| 21 Feb 25 | Mey Meydan | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-10 | 3/13 | Magnum Opus (3L) | 18/1 | 94 | 96 |
| 7 Feb 25 | Mey Meydan | 12f Gd | Hc | 9-0 | 6/10 | Royal Power (4¼L) | 28/1 | 95 | 95 |
| 20 Dec 24 | Mey Meydan | 12f GF | Hc | 9-1 | 8/11 | Keffaaf (7L) | 25/1 | 98 | 95 |
| 21 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 12f St | 2Hc | 9-8 | 5/9 | Dark Moon Rising (4L) | 25/1 | 99 | 102 |
| 30 Jul 24 | Goo Goodwood | 10f Gd | 2Hc | 9-6 | 4/17 | Take Heart (2¼L) | 50/1 | 99 | 104 |
8-1 when mid-division in the Cambridgeshire; progressed at 1m2f going into that; AW debut
13220-
Age: 4
Weight: 9-11
OR: 101
Days: 182
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 9f Sft | 2Hc | 9-4 h | 14/31 | Liberty Lane (9¾L) | 8/1 | 102 | 93 |
| 31 Aug 24 | San Sandown | 10f Gd | 2Hc | 8-11 h | 2/6 | Flying Frontier (nk) | 3/1 | 100 | 107 |
| 6 Jul 24 | San Sandown | 10f Sft | 2Hc | 8-12 h1 | 2/10 | Persica (2L) | 9/2 | 94 | 103 |
| 31 May 24 | Eps Epsom | 7f GS | 3yL | 9-2 | 3/6 | Evade (9L) | 2/1 | 94 | 82 |
| 26 Apr 24 | Don Doncaster | 7f Sft | 4Nv | 9-9 | 1/11 | Surrey Shadow (4½L) | 7/2 | - | 94 |
| 24 Mar 24 | Don Doncaster | 7f Sft | 53yNv | 9-7 | 1/7 | Manhattan Mirage (hd) | 5/2 | - | 83 |
C
2 x Course Winner - Won 2 times before at this course
Course Specialist - 2 wins from 3 starts here (67%)
Going Specialist - 3 wins from 5 starts on this ground (60%)
Won one of last 14 starts; however, that win came in good style here (1m4f) last January
84050-
Age: 6
Weight: 9-10
OR: 100
Days: 182
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 9f Sft | 2Hc | 9-6 | 30/31 | Liberty Lane (38L) | 80/1 | 102 | 30 |
| 14 Sep 24 | Chs Chester | 12.5f Sft | L | 9-5 | 5/6 | Al Qareem (7½L) | 14/1 | 102 | 96 |
| 24 Aug 24 | Yor York | 10.5f GF | 2Hc | 9-10 | 16/17 | Sir Busker (16L) | 9/1 | 103 | 83 |
| 15 Aug 24 | Wdr Windsor | 10f GF | 2Hc | 9-10 | 4/9 | Parlando (1¼L) | 100/30F | 103 | 108 |
| 30 Jul 24 | Goo Goodwood | 10f Gd | 2Hc | 9-11 | 8/17 | Take Heart (5L) | 16/1 | 104 | 104 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Asc Ascot | 12f Gd | 2Hc | 10-2 | 10/13 | Passion And Glory (9½L) | 22/1 | 105 | 100 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
C&D win in January in a blanket finish; just 1lb higher now and he has never been better
5031-1
Age: 6
Weight: 9-10
OR: 100
Days: 66
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan 25 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 11f St/Slw | 2Hc | 9-9 | 1/7 | Gaassee (nse) | 5/2 | 99 | 105 |
| 26 Dec 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 12f St | 2Hc | 9-4 | 1/6 | Dream Harder (4L) | 9/4F | 95 | 106 |
| 21 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 12f St | 2Hc | 9-4 | 3/9 | Dark Moon Rising (1½L) | 11/1 | 95 | 102 |
| 9 Nov 24 | Don Doncaster | 12f Sft | 2Hc | 9-5 | 12/23 | Lord Melbourne (6¼L) | 50/1 | 96 | 95 |
| 14 Sep 24 | Don Doncaster | 10f Gd | 2Hc | 9-1 | 5/10 | Daysofourlives (2½L) | 6/1 | 97 | 100 |
| 24 Aug 24 | Yor York | 10.5f GF | 2Hc | 9-4 | 10/17 | Sir Busker (6¾L) | 10/1 | 97 | 94 |
Best known for 1m2f/1m4f handicap performances in the mud but he won't lack for fitness
0-3372
Age: 6
Weight: 9-9
OR: 99
Days: 23
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Mar 25 | Bhr Bahrain | 10f GF | Hc | 9-6 tb | 2/14 | Soldier's Empire (1¼L) | - | 94 | |
| 21 Feb 25 | Bhr Bahrain | 9f GF | Hc | 9-6 tb1 | 7/16 | Knight Of Honour (3L) | - | 89 | |
| 30 Jan 25 | Bhr Bahrain | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-5 tp | 3/15 | Merlin's Beard (2½L) | - | 92 | |
| 10 Jan 25 | Bhr Bahrain | 10f Gd | Hc | 9-5 p | 3/16 | Majestic (1¼L) | - | 90 | |
| 20 Dec 24 | Bhr Bahrain | 10f Gd | Hc | 9-5 p | 11/16 | Snellen (8½L) | - | 82 | |
| 6 Dec 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St | 2Hc | 9-1 p | 5/10 | Savvy Victory (6L) | 10/1 | 94 | 91 |
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Second in valuable 1m4f contest in October; gelded since; lightly raced with potential
81312-
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
OR: 98
Days: 169
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 12f GS | 23yHc | 9-5 | 2/15 | Sun God (3¾L) | 100/30F | 94 | 104 |
| 26 Jul 24 | Asc Ascot | 12f Gd | 2Hc | 8-5 | 1/8 | Insanity (½L) | 14/1 | 87 | 97 |
| 10 Jul 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 12f St/Slw | 2Nv | 9-10 | 3/13 | Mutaawid (6¼L) | 14/1 | - | 89 |
| 28 May 24 | Red Redcar | 10f Sft | 5Md | 9-2 | 1/10 | Pack Ice (2L) | 7/2 | - | 87 |
| 10 May 24 | Not Nottingham | 10f Gd | 53yNv | 9-4 | 8/11 | Theory Of Tides (6½L) | 50/1 | - | 70 |
| 15 Apr 24 | Wdr Windsor | 10f Gd | 53yNv | 9-1 | UR/13 | Harper's Ferry () | 100/1 | - | - |
Doncaster 1m2f win under Jamie Spencer on penultimate start puts him in the picture
11610-
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
OR: 98
Days: 169
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 12f GS | 23yHc | 9-9 h | 14/15 | Sun God (50L) | 22/1 | 98 | 35 |
| 12 Sep 24 | Don Doncaster | 10f GS | 23yHc | 9-9 h | 1/10 | T'Challa (1¼L) | 10/1 | 95 | 104 |
| 23 Aug 24 | Yor York | 12f Gd | 2Hc | 9-2 h | 6/12 | Shadow Dance (4½L) | 11/1 | 95 | 97 |
| 27 Jul 24 | Chs Chester | 10.5f Gd | 3Hc | 9-7 h | 1/6 | More Thunder (4½L) | 7/4F | 88 | 100 |
| 12 Jul 24 | Chs Chester | 10.5f GS | 3Hc | 8-12 h1 | 1/7 | Dream Harder (½L) | 11/2 | 85 | 94 |
| 22 Jun 24 | Asc Ascot | 10f GF | 23yHc | 8-11 | 9/12 | Hand Of God (17L) | 20/1 | 88 | 67 |
Competitive for new yard (same owners) if starting this term where he left off last season
4/612-
Age: 5
Weight: 9-6
OR: 96
Days: 273
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St/Slw | 3Hc | 9-8 t | 2/10 | Bystander (1¼L) | 7/1 | 94 | 102 |
| 23 Jun 24 | Pon Pontefract | 12f GF | 3Hc | 9-9 t | 1/5 | Appier (¾L) | 13/8F | 89 | 98 |
| 22 Apr 24 | Pon Pontefract | 10f Sft | 2Hc | 9-1 t | 6/9 | Bolster (18L) | 15/2 | 89 | 64 |
| 10 Oct 23 | Lei Leicester | 10f GS | 3Hc | 9-5 t | 4/10 | Beraz (5½L) | 3/1F | 85 | 84 |
| 1 Oct 23 | Eps Epsom | 12f Gd | 4Hc | 9-10 t | 1/7 | Dundory (1L) | 2/1F | 85 | 96 |
| 19 Sep 23 | Red Redcar | 10f Gd | 4Hc | 9-8 t | 1/6 | Ron O (1¼L) | 15/8F | 82 | 92 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
Minor honours in two 1m4f Listed races last summer; needs Flat return to be a career best
53476-
Age: 4
Weight: 9-5
OR: 95
Days: 198
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 24 | Chl Cheltenham | 17f GS | 23yH | 10-11 ht | 5/7 | Teriferma (16L) | 9/2 | - | 90 |
| 29 Nov 24 | Nby Newbury | 16.5f Sft | 3yHLM | 11-0 t | 3/10 | Opec (15L) | 11/8F | - | 97 |
| 31 Oct 24 | Ncs Newcastle | 17f Gd | 43yH | 10-7 ht1 | 1/5 | Fine Point (6½L) | 1/4F | - | 90 |
| 12 Sep 24 | Don Doncaster | 14.5f GS | G2F | 8-11 | 6/9 | Nakheel (8¾L) | 33/1 | 94 | 97 |
| 23 Aug 24 | Yor York | 10.5f GF | 2HcF | 9-1 | 7/15 | Canoodled (8L) | 18/1 | 95 | 90 |
| 3 Aug 24 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 12f GF | LF | 8-13 | 4/9 | Divina Grace (3L) | 6/1 | 95 | 99 |
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
This might be bit too competitive for win purposes; cheekpieces (tried once in 2022) back
52V62-
Age: 9
Weight: 9-3
OR: 93
Days: 93
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f St | 3Hc | 10-0 t | 2/7 | King's Code (¾L) | 9/2 | 93 | 99 |
| 21 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 12f St | 2Hc | 9-3 t | 6/9 | Dark Moon Rising (5L) | 7/1 | 94 | 95 |
| 4 Nov 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 11f St/Slw | 2Hc | 9-12 t | 2/14 | The Glen Rovers (¾L) | 16/1 | 91 | 99 |
| 28 Sep 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 9f Sft | 2Hc | 8-13 t | 5/31 | Liberty Lane (5½L) | 66/1 | 92 | 92 |
| 24 Aug 24 | Yor York | 10.5f GF | 2Hc | 9-0 t | 15/17 | Sir Busker (15½L) | 16/1 | 93 | 73 |
| 15 Aug 24 | Wdr Windsor | 10f GF | 2Hc | 9-0 t | 2/9 | Parlando (1¼L) | 11/2 | 93 | 99 |
Made most when second in this race last year off 11lb higher, the last of three AW runs
30-723
Age: 5
Weight: 9-2
OR: 92
Days: 23
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Mar 25 | Bhr Bahrain | 10f GF | Hc | 9-3 | 3/14 | Soldier's Empire (3¾L) | - | 86 | |
| 21 Feb 25 | Bhr Bahrain | 9f GF | Hc | 9-0 | 2/16 | Knight Of Honour (nk) | - | 88 | |
| 31 Jan 25 | Bhr Bahrain | 12f Gd | Hc | 9-2 | 7/8 | Cracksking (9¾L) | - | 79 | |
| 26 Oct 24 | Don Doncaster | 10f Sft | 2Hc | 9-12 | 17/17 | Laafi (25L) | 40/1 | 94 | 55 |
| 26 Sep 24 | Pon Pontefract | 10f GS | 3Hc | 9-13 | 3/9 | Loyal Touch (2L) | 10/1 | 94 | 99 |
| 24 Aug 24 | Yor York | 10.5f GF | 2Hc | 9-2 p | 14/17 | Sir Busker (14½L) | 18/1 | 95 | 77 |
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
2yo winner here; did well over about 1m4f last summer; player if he returns in top form
21226-
Age: 5
Weight: 9-2
OR: 92
Days: 189
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 24 | Nby Newbury | 13.5f Hy | 2Hc | 9-2 | 6/11 | Not So Sleepy (8¼L) | 9/2 | 93 | 90 |
| 23 Aug 24 | Yor York | 12f Gd | 2Hc | 9-5 | 2/12 | Shadow Dance (nk) | 7/1 | 89 | 98 |
| 15 Aug 24 | Wdr Windsor | 11.5f GF | 3Hc | 9-6 | 2/8 | Night Breeze (nk) | 9/4F | 88 | 97 |
| 8 Aug 24 | Chp Chepstow | 12f GS | 3Hc | 9-8 | 1/8 | Walter Hartright (1½L) | 9/4F | 83 | 92 |
| 19 Jul 24 | Nby Newbury | 12f Gd | 4Hc | 9-9 | 2/7 | Great Bedwyn (nse) | 5/1 | 80 | 85 |
| 12 Jul 24 | Yor York | 12f GS | 4Hc | 10-0 | 1/11 | Soowaih (nk) | 7/1 | 80 | 87 |
Half-brother to high-class Giavellotto and, after just four races, surely has potential
2213-
Age: 4
Weight: 9-0
OR: 90
Days: 216
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 10f GS | 2Hc | 9-4 | 3/8 | Endless Victory (4¼L) | 11/4 | 91 | 95 |
| 22 Jul 24 | Wdr Windsor | 10f GF | 5Md | 9-7 | 1/9 | Glendower (9L) | 5/6F | - | 91 |
| 14 Feb 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 8f St/Slw | 5Md | 8-11 | 2/8 | Native Approach (2¼L) | 7/2 | - | 79 |
| 27 Jan 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 8f St/Slw | 5Md | 8-10 | 2/8 | Silent Age (shd) | 9/2 | - | 82 |
Verdict
Andrew Balding appears to have a particularly strong hand and his TEUMESSIAS FOX and Mount Atlas top the list.
Teumessias Fox
Betting Forecast:
9/2 Mount Atlas,
5/1 Balmacara,
7/1 Teumessias Fox,
Calumet,
9/1 Max Mayhem,
Paradias,
10/1 Grey Cuban,
Lieber Power,
16/1 Forceful Speed,
Killybegs Warrior,
20/1 Mr Alan,
Andaleep,
25/1 Real Dream,
Ambiente Amigo
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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