Soft ground specialists: who will thrive in the testing conditions at Doncaster?
3 hours ago
NEWBURY
25 October 2024
Friday 25th October
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
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- Channel:
- Distance: 7f
- Going: Heavy
- Runners
- 7
- Type
- Flat
- Surface
- Turf
- Stalls
- Outside
- Weather
- Showers
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Failed to beat a rival at Chester eight weeks ago on debut for new yard
-44170
Age: 6
Weight: 10-2
OR: 92
Days: 55
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 24 | Chs Chester | 6f Gd | 3Hc | 9-13 | 10/10 | The Bell Conductor (5L) | 33/1 | 94 | 87 |
| 8 Mar 24 | Mey Meydan | 8f Gd | Hc | 9-4 | 7/15 | Royal Dubai (4½L) | 6/1 | 94 | 88 |
| 16 Feb 24 | Mey Meydan | 7f Gd | Hc | 9-8 | 1/16 | Changing Colours (1L) | 15/2 | 88 | 94 |
| 19 Jan 24 | Mey Meydan | 7f Gd | Hc | 8-7 | 4/15 | Mysterious Night (5¾L) | 33/1 | 89 | 86 |
| 12 Jan 24 | Mey Meydan | 5f Gd | Hc | 9-11 | 4/16 | Vespasian (2½L) | 13/2 | 90 | 88 |
| 2 Dec 23 | Jeb Jebel Ali | 5f Fs | Hc | 9-11 | 3/12 | Mozahim (1½L) | 8/1 | 90 | 89 |
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 7 wins from 26 in the last 14 days (27%)
Well held in valuable handicap last time; has steadily progressive form otherwise
1-4220
Age: 4
Weight: 10-0
OR: 90
Days: 20
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 24 | Asc Ascot | 7f Sft | 2Hc | 8-12 p1 | 17/18 | Volterra (22L) | 16/1 | 90 | 48 |
| 6 Sep 24 | Asc Ascot | 7f Sft | 3 | 9-9 | 2/6 | Lord Bertie (hd) | 3/1 | 86 | 94 |
| 29 Jun 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 2Hc | 8-11 | 2/11 | Make Me King (2¼L) | 100/30F | 86 | 91 |
| 18 May 24 | Nby Newbury | 6f Gd | 2Hc | 8-9 | 4/11 | Lethal Levi (4¼L) | 12/1 | 88 | 88 |
| 28 Apr 23 | Don Doncaster | 6f Sft | 5Nv | 9-6 | 1/11 | Smoky Mountain (1¼L) | 5/6F | - | 90 |
| 27 Sep 22 | Ayr Ayr | 6f GS | 52yMd | 9-7 | 1/8 | Quintus Arrius (3¾L) | 11/10F | - | 87 |
Currently in a consistent vein of form; again has frame possibilities
644243
Age: 4
Weight: 9-12
OR: 88
Days: 10
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 24 | Lei Leicester | 7f Hy | 3Hc | 9-10 h | 3/10 | It Just Takes Time (2¼L) | 11/1 | 88 | 92 |
| 3 Oct 24 | Sal Salisbury | 6f Hy | 4Hc | 10-0 h | 4/13 | Nariko (3L) | 7/1 | 87 | 91 |
| 26 Sep 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 6f Sft | 2HcF | 8-13 h | 2/5 | Sophia's Starlight (nk) | 9/2 | 87 | 97 |
| 12 Jul 24 | Asc Ascot | 6f Gd | 3Hc | 9-10 h | 4/9 | Jarraaf (4½L) | 13/2 | 89 | 91 |
| 1 Jun 24 | Eps Epsom | 6f GS | 2Hc | 8-9 h | 4/13 | Misty Grey (2½L) | 16/1 | 90 | 90 |
| 13 May 24 | Wdr Windsor | 6f GF | 3Hc | 9-10 | 6/10 | Katey Kontent (4¼L) | 17/2 | 91 | 88 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
C&D winner (off 3lb lower) on heavy ground last autumn and enters calculations
-00454
Age: 5
Weight: 9-11
OR: 87
Days: 10
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 24 | Lei Leicester | 7f Hy | 3Hc | 9-9 h | 4/10 | It Just Takes Time (2¼L) | 4/1F | 87 | 91 |
| 13 Jun 24 | Nby Newbury | 7f GF | 3Hc | 9-6 h | 5/11 | Sterling Knight (3¼L) | 5/1 | 87 | 87 |
| 1 Jun 24 | Don Doncaster | 7f Gd | 3Hc | 9-4 h | 4/13 | Silver Samurai (1L) | 11/4J | 88 | 91 |
| 11 May 24 | Asc Ascot | 7f Gd | 2Hc | 8-7 h | 10/21 | The Wizard Of Eye (4¾L) | 9/2F | 90 | 86 |
| 18 Apr 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 7f Gd | 2Hc | 8-9 | 10/15 | Poet Master (8½L) | 8/1 | 90 | 77 |
| 7 Oct 23 | Asc Ascot | 7f Gd | 2Hc | 8-11 h | 3/17 | Atrium (1¼L) | 10/1 | 90 | 95 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Registered his Irish win over 7f on heavy; interesting on debut for new stable
313
Age: 3
Weight: 9-8
OR: 86
Days: 91
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul 24 | Cor Cork | 8f Gd | 9-10 | 3/5 | Karsavina (4L) | 1/2F | 88 | 86 | |
| 8 May 24 | Gow Gowran Park | 7f Hy | 3yMd | 9-8 | 1/16 | Ebanza (shd) | 2/1 | - | 81 |
| 22 Mar 24 | Dun Dundalk (AW) | 7f St | 3yMd | 9-8 | 3/13 | Sakti (3¼L) | 5/2 | - | 71 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Consistent this season; ran creditably on heavy ground here most recently; solid
121324
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
OR: 85
Days: 34
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 24 | Nby Newbury | 8f Hy | 43yHc | 9-10 | 4/8 | Atlantic Gamble (1¼L) | 2/1F | 86 | 90 |
| 29 Aug 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 4Hc | 9-7 | 2/14 | Noodle Mission (¾L) | 7/2J | 85 | 91 |
| 22 Aug 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 2Hc | 8-2 | 3/12 | Ten Pounds (3½L) | 7/2F | 86 | 88 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Asc Ascot | 7f Gd | 4Hc | 9-4 | 1/16 | Pedro Valentino (1L) | 3/1F | 76 | 94 |
| 25 May 24 | Hay Haydock | 6f Sft | 53yHc | 9-9 | 2/15 | Nariko (2L) | 8/1 | 75 | 83 |
| 30 Apr 24 | Cat Catterick | 6f Gd | 4Md | 9-5 | 1/6 | Dusk Dame (1¾L) | 4/7F | - | 79 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Clearcut win at Ascot three weeks ago, seeming well suited by the switch to slower ground
8-7921
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
OR: 77
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 24 | Asc Ascot | 7f Sft | 4Hc | 10-11 | 1/13 | Warning Sign (2¾L) | 13/2 | 72 | 86 |
| 15 Sep 24 | Bat Bath | 8f Gd | 5Hc | 9-10 | 2/10 | Racing Demon (½L) | 7/1 | 71 | 78 |
| 29 Aug 24 | Nby Newbury | 7f GF | 43yHc | 9-3 | 9/16 | North View (7¼L) | 25/1 | 74 | 65 |
| 16 Aug 24 | Nby Newbury | 7f Gd | 4Hc | 9-6 | 7/15 | Woodstock (5L) | 18/1 | 77 | 72 |
| 1 Oct 23 | Eps Epsom | 7f Gd | 42yHc | 9-8 | 8/9 | Mr Baloo (14½L) | 3/1F | 79 | 47 |
| 10 Sep 23 | Cur Curragh | 6.5f Gd/Y | 2y | 9-5 | 2/12 | Native American (2½L) | 15/2 | - | 83 |
Verdict
Ascot winner MERCIAN WARRIOR is open to further progress on slow ground and could well follow up. Pearle d'Or is second pick.
Mercian Warrior
Betting Forecast:
11/4 Kodi Lion,
7/2 United Approach,
Mercian Warrior,
5/1 Pearle d'Or,
13/2 Cill Mocheallog,
8/1 Executive Decision,
20/1 Mcmanaman
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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