Soft ground specialists: who will thrive in the testing conditions at Doncaster?
3 hours ago
NEWBURY
25 October 2024
Friday 25th October
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
Download The BetVictor App Handicap (Class 3) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 1m 4f
- Going: Heavy
- Runners
- 11
- Type
- Flat
- Surface
- Turf
- Stalls
- Inside
- Weather
- Showers
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Won twice over Epsom's 1m4f (soft/heavy) in September; well on top last time; up 8lb
142411
Age: 4
Weight: 10-2
OR: 90
Days: 26
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 24 | Eps Epsom | 12f Hy | 4Hc | 10-1 | 1/8 | Enochdhu (4½L) | 11/4F | 82 | 95 |
| 12 Sep 24 | Eps Epsom | 12f Sft | 4Hc | 11-5 | 1/10 | Big Bear Hug (½L) | 11/2 | 79 | 88 |
| 24 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 12f Sft | 2Hc | 8-13 b | 4/6 | Goodwood Odyssey (8¾L) | 5/1 | 80 | 75 |
| 26 Jul 24 | Asc Ascot | 12f GF | 4Hc | 9-13 | 2/7 | Assail (4L) | 100/30 | 80 | 86 |
| 12 Jul 24 | Asc Ascot | 10f GS | 4Hc | 9-12 | 4/10 | Fantasy Believer (3L) | 15/2 | 81 | 85 |
| 14 Jun 24 | Goo Goodwood | 14f GS | 4Hc | 9-9 | 1/7 | Enochdhu (1L) | 2/1F | 77 | 85 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 1 wins from 33 in the last 14 days (3%)
Perhaps latest outing can be excused but he is unraced on worse than good to soft
241368
Age: 4
Weight: 10-0
OR: 88
Days: 57
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 11f St | 3Hc | 9-11 | 8/12 | Fantasy Believer (6¼L) | 5/1 | 89 | 87 |
| 21 Aug 24 | Yor York | 16.5f GF | 2Hc | 8-13 | 6/16 | Extensio (4½L) | 17/2 | 89 | 94 |
| 3 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 14f GF | 2Hc | 8-12 | 3/13 | Align The Stars (¾L) | 14/1 | 88 | 94 |
| 19 Jul 24 | Nby Newbury | 12f Gd | 4Hc | 10-2 | 1/7 | Lieber Power (nse) | 8/1 | 84 | 90 |
| 31 May 24 | Don Doncaster | 12f GS | 4Hc | 9-9 | 4/9 | Lexington Knight (1¾L) | 7/4F | 85 | 90 |
| 11 May 24 | Asc Ascot | 12f Gd | 3Hc | 9-1 | 2/14 | Kotari (¾L) | 14/1 | 82 | 89 |
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
D
5 x Distance Winner - Won 5 times before at this distance
His wins have got more infrequent, but a renowned mud lover who may well be thereabouts
5-1393
Age: 10
Weight: 9-12
OR: 86
Days: 13
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 24 | Yor York | 16.5f Sft | 3Hc | 9-6 b | 3/10 | Gibside (6L) | 50/1 | 87 | 88 |
| 16 May 24 | Sal Salisbury | 14f Sft | 3Hc | 9-9 b | 9/12 | Kyle Of Lochalsh (36L) | 17/2 | 88 | 48 |
| 20 Apr 24 | Thi Thirsk | 12f Sft | 3Hc | 9-8 b | 3/14 | Two Brothers (3L) | 16/1 | 89 | 94 |
| 2 Apr 24 | Pon Pontefract | 12f Hy | 4Hc | 9-11 b | 1/3 | Billy No Mates (1L) | 4/1 | 87 | 94 |
| 3 Nov 23 | Nmk Newmarket | 12f Hy | 3Hc | 9-7 b | 5/11 | Wind Your Neck In (9¾L) | 5/1 | 88 | 80 |
| 5 Aug 23 | Goo Goodwood | 14f Hy | 2Hc | 8-13 b | 4/11 | Sweet William (5¼L) | 18/1 | 88 | 93 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
4 x Distance Winner - Won 4 times before at this distance
Used to go well in the mud; third at Newmarket (good to soft) last time was an upturn
885993
Age: 4
Weight: 9-11
OR: 85
Days: 20
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 12f GS | 2HcF | 9-2 | 3/11 | Chorus (6½L) | 22/1 | 85 | 87 |
| 21 Sep 24 | Nby Newbury | 13.5f Hy | 2Hc | 8-10 | 9/11 | Not So Sleepy (24L) | 14/1 | 87 | 59 |
| 23 Aug 24 | Ham Hamilton | 12f Hy | 2Hc | 8-11 | 9/13 | La Yakel (24L) | 11/2 | 88 | 62 |
| 12 Jul 24 | Asc Ascot | 12f GS | 3HcF | 10-0 | 5/9 | Ya Hafhd (6¼L) | 7/1 | 90 | 88 |
| 1 Jun 24 | Eps Epsom | 12f GS | 2Hc | 8-13 | 8/14 | Relentless Voyager (14½L) | 15/2 | 92 | 80 |
| 15 May 24 | Yor York | 12f Gd | 2Hc | 9-2 | 8/13 | Crystal Delight (13L) | 10/1 | 93 | 87 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Looked a useful prospect on AW, but something was amiss on handicap/turf debut in June
115
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
OR: 89
Days: 121
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun 24 | Sal Salisbury | 12f GF | 33yHc | 9-9 | 5/5 | Subsequent (80L) | 9/2 | 89 | - |
| 13 May 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 12f St | 53yNvF | 9-7 | 1/7 | Loving Look (6L) | 6/4F | - | 87 |
| 24 Jan 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 11f St/Slw | 5MdF | 8-8 | 1/8 | Miss Monte Carlo (3L) | 7/2 | - | 70 |
Has a reduced mark for this return to Flat but there are more solid options
19099/
Age: 5
Weight: 9-8
OR: 82
Days: 737
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr 24 | Tau Taunton | 16.5f Gd | 5HcH | 11-8 | 9/16 | Jolyjump (18½L) | 18/1 | 98 | 85 |
| 10 Apr 24 | Mar Market Rasen | 16.5f GS | 5HcH | 11-11 | 7/15 | King Of The Road (33L) | 6/1 | 98 | 78 |
| 13 Mar 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f Sft | 5HcH | 11-6 | 1/5 | Orbys River (6L) | 11/10F | 91 | 99 |
| 23 Jan 24 | Nby Newbury | 16.5f GS | 3MdH | 11-8 | 13/16 | Be Aware (51L) | 100/1 | - | 71 |
| 27 Dec 23 | Chp Chepstow | 16f Sft | 4NvH | 11-0 | 7/13 | Ito Ditto (46L) | 40/1 | - | 74 |
| 3 Jun 23 | Wor Worcester | 16f Gd | 4NvMdH | 10-11 | 4/8 | Hidol Du Livet (13L) | 9/4 | - | 86 |
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 7 wins from 26 in the last 14 days (27%)
Has done well back on the Flat this August/September on soft/heavy; major each-way claims
32-213
Age: 4
Weight: 9-7
OR: 81
Days: 34
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 24 | Nby Newbury | 13.5f Hy | 2Hc | 8-4 | 3/11 | Not So Sleepy (4¼L) | 5/1 | 81 | 84 |
| 14 Sep 24 | Chs Chester | 12.5f Sft | 4Hc | 11-5 | 1/10 | Grey Fable (3¼L) | 2/1F | 76 | 88 |
| 24 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 14f Sft | 4Hc | 9-2 | 2/10 | Kitty Foyle (nk) | 11/2 | 73 | 82 |
| 15 Mar 24 | Chl Cheltenham | 17f Hy | 4yHG1 | 11-2 | 8/12 | Majborough (40L) | 150/1 | 117 | 107 |
| 1 Mar 24 | Nby Newbury | 16.5f Hy | 34yH | 10-9 | 1/5 | Le Fauve (4½L) | 7/2 | 109 | 110 |
| 7 Feb 24 | Lud Ludlow | 16f Sft | 44yH | 10-9 | 2/11 | Royal Way (shd) | 11/2 | - | 107 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Two wins from 24 starts; has found some form again but has more to prove on soft or heavy
003032
Age: 5
Weight: 9-6
OR: 80
Days: 22
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 12.5f St | 4Hc | 9-10 | 2/7 | Damascus Steel (½L) | 9/2 | 79 | 86 |
| 27 Jul 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 12.5f St | 4Hc | 9-11 | 3/7 | Baltic (1¼L) | 11/2 | 79 | 86 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 12f Gd | 3Hc | 9-6 | 10/11 | Lord Of Love (14L) | 25/1 | 80 | 67 |
| 26 Jun 24 | Crl Carlisle | 11f GF | 4Hc | 9-10 | 3/12 | Sea The Thunder (2¾L) | 28/1 | 78 | 84 |
| 15 Jun 24 | Yor York | 12f GS | 3Hc | 9-13 | 15/18 | Lord Melbourne (23L) | 18/1 | 80 | 55 |
| 15 May 24 | Yor York | 12f Gd | 4Hc | 9-6 | 16/20 | Dancing In Paris (20L) | 12/1 | 82 | 62 |
Won on soft in his first two handicaps as hurdler; good 2nd later in April when last seen
/3457-
Age: 5
Weight: 9-5
OR: 79
Days: 343
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f Gd | 4HcH | 11-12 t | 2/8 | Pickanumber (1¾L) | 4/6F | 113 | 118 |
| 20 Apr 24 | Ban Bangor-on-Dee | 16.5f Sft | 4NvHcH | 11-10 t | 1/10 | Bucephalus (3¼L) | 5/6F | 106 | 116 |
| 2 Apr 24 | Lud Ludlow | 16f Sft | 5HcH | 12-0 t1 | 1/7 | Passing Kate (3¾L) | 11/4 | 100 | 109 |
| 3 Mar 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f Sft | 4MdH | 11-8 | 3/10 | Lexie's Moon (12L) | 6/4 | - | 98 |
| 25 Jan 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f GS | 4MdH | 11-8 p | 6/14 | Moon Chime (15½L) | 33/1 | - | 98 |
| 26 Dec 23 | Fon Fontwell | 17.5f GS | 4NvH | 11-2 | 6/11 | The Good Doctor (53L) | 5/1 | - | 64 |
Front-running 2nd at Newmarket (1m6f, soft) penultimate start; tailed off on heavy latest
-43227
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 80
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 24 | Hay Haydock | 14f Hy | 33yHc | 9-0 | 7/7 | Minstrel Knight (34L) | 17/2 | 81 | 44 |
| 24 Aug 24 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 14f Sft | 3Hc | 7-11 | 2/5 | Subsequent (1¼L) | 6/1 | 80 | 87 |
| 27 Jul 24 | Sal Salisbury | 12f GF | 53yHc | 9-7 | 2/6 | Hutchence (4½L) | 9/4J | 73 | 77 |
| 21 Jun 24 | Goo Goodwood | 12f Gd | 43yHc | 9-6 | 3/7 | Belcamo (5L) | 15/2 | 75 | 75 |
| 4 Jun 24 | Lei Leicester | 12f GS | 43yHc | 9-0 | 4/6 | Spaceport (22L) | 6/1 | 76 | 55 |
| 18 Oct 23 | Bat Bath | 10f GS | 52yNv | 9-4 | 1/5 | Mister Daydream (4¾L) | EvensF | 73 | 77 |
18lb lower than this time last year, as he's been out of form
006850
Age: 8
Weight: 9-0
OR: 74
Days: 30
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 11f St/Slw | 4Hc | 9-4 ht | 12/13 | Ludo's Landing (11L) | 11/1 | 77 | 66 |
| 5 Sep 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 12f St | 4Hc | 9-9 ht | 5/9 | Youthful King (4L) | 12/1 | 79 | 81 |
| 15 Aug 24 | Wdr Windsor | 10f GF | 4Hc | 9-8 ht | 8/11 | Life On The Rocks (3¼L) | 25/1 | 81 | 81 |
| 3 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 9f GF | 3Hc | 9-5 h | 6/11 | Paradias (4½L) | 40/1 | 83 | 82 |
| 4 Jul 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 12f St/Slw | 3Hc | 9-4 | 10/10 | The Goat (26L) | 10/1 | 85 | 54 |
| 16 Feb 24 | Bhr Bahrain | 10f GF | Hc | 9-1 | 10/13 | Parlando (14½L) | - | 63 |
Verdict
The conspicuously in-form candidates are MILLER SPIRIT and Ithaca's Arrow, who both look ideally suited by 1m4f in the mud.
Miller Spirit
Betting Forecast:
3/1 Miller Spirit,
9/2 Ithaca's Arrow,
5/1 Balhambar,
6/1 Flash Bardot,
7/1 Silent Glance,
8/1 Thundering,
9/1 Great Bedwyn,
14/1 Torcello,
16/1 Calvert,
33/1 Ruler Legend,
Graignes
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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