SAF
'Four of his five career wins have come in the spring' - Adrian Wall's Friday ITV outsiders
1 day ago
HAPPY VALLEY 9 April 2025
Mong Kok Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 1m 55y
- Going: Good To Firm
- Runners
- 11
- Type
- Flat
- Surface
- Turf
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 27 in the last 14 days (0%)
Penultimate run hinted at possible return to form; safely held since, though
74800-
Age: 6
Weight: 9-9
OR: 79
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f GF | Hc | 8-4 ht | 7/8 | Packing Hermod (6¾L) | 25/1 | 81 | 72 |
| 2 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f GF | Hc | 8-5 ht | 4/11 | Young Champion (2L) | 14/1 | 82 | 85 |
| 19 Feb 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-7 ht | 8/12 | Fallon (4¾L) | 34/1 | 84 | 83 |
| 31 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 8-5 ht | 10/11 | Green N White (6L) | 49/1 | 86 | 75 |
| 12 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 8-10 ht | 10/12 | Rubylot (3½L) | 78/1 | 88 | 85 |
| 24 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd | Hc | 8-5 ht | 14/14 | Patch Of Theta (15L) | 58/1 | 90 | 65 |
CD
4 x C&D Winner - Won 4 times before on this course at this distance
C&D winner at start of season but seems to have gone off the boil lately
8P7-44
Age: 6
Weight: 9-5
OR: 75
Days: 25
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd/Y | Hc | 9-7 tb | 8/12 | Hong Lok Golf (5¼L) | 71/1 | 77 | 74 |
| 9 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-8 tb | PU/14 | Californiatotality () | 35/1 | 79 | - |
| 8 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | HcG3 | 8-4 tb | 7/12 | Helene Feeling (2¼L) | 23/1 | 91 | 92 |
| 29 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 10f Gd | Hc | 8-10 tb | 4/10 | Bravehearts (2½L) | 17/1 | 80 | 85 |
| 4 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-4 tb | 4/12 | Chill Chibi (½L) | 58/1 | 80 | 85 |
| 6 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-8 tb | 9/12 | Chill Chibi (4¼L) | 14/1 | 80 | 81 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Very useful when trained in Ireland but first three Hong Kong runs have been underwhelming
090-24
Age: 4
Weight: 9-4
OR: 74
Days: 31
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f GF | Hc | 8-0 t | 10/12 | Bundle Award (7¼L) | 116/1 | 80 | 72 |
| 2 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 10f GF | Hc | 9-7 t | 9/12 | Enthralled (6¼L) | 29/1 | 78 | 74 |
| 19 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 10f GF | Hc | 8-10 | 12/14 | Noisy Boy (8L) | 57/1 | 78 | 73 |
| 22 Jun 24 | Asc Ascot | 10f GF | 23yHc | 9-9 | 2/12 | Hand Of God (1¾L) | 17/2 | 100 | 110 |
| 16 May 24 | Yor York | 10.5f Gd | 3yG2 | 9-2 | 4/7 | Economics (8¾L) | 10/1 | 98 | 102 |
| 18 Apr 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 8f Gd | 3yG3 | 9-2 | 4/7 | Haatem (6½L) | 5/1 | 98 | 99 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
C
2 x Course Winner - Won 2 times before at this course
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Dual course winner this season (1m/1m1f); a possible if he gets a good pace to chase
8-5133
Age: 7
Weight: 9-2
OR: 72
Days: 77
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-3 t | 8/12 | Star Mac (4L) | 63/10 | 72 | 71 |
| 26 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 9-0 t | 5/9 | Noisy Boy (2½L) | 4/1 | 72 | 75 |
| 27 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-12 t | 1/12 | Samarkand (nse) | 50/9 | 66 | 72 |
| 6 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-10 t | 3/11 | Winning Steps (1¾L) | 69/10 | 66 | 72 |
| 9 Oct 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-11 t | 3/12 | I Can (1¼L) | 58/10 | 66 | 72 |
| 25 Sep 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 9-9 t | 1/11 | Super Unicorn (½L) | 84/10 | 60 | 72 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 20 in the last 14 days (0%)
Struggled (albeit on dirt) on Hong Kong debut in February
0-/135
Age: 4
Weight: 8-10
OR: 66
Days: 56
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f Sl | Hc | 8-6 | 13/13 | Never Peter Out (48L) | 102/1 | 66 | - |
| 5 Nov 23 | Cur Curragh | 8f Hy | 2yMd | 9-0 | 1/20 | Autumn Winter (3¾L) | 7/2 | - | 94 |
| 17 Oct 23 | Gow Gowran Park | 8.5f Hy | 2yMd | 9-7 | 3/10 | The Euphrates (2½L) | 7/2 | - | 78 |
| 3 Sep 23 | Tip Tipperary | 7.5f Y | 2yMd | 9-2 | 5/13 | Sea The Boss (7L) | 16/1 | - | 75 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Signed off in Britain with three wins last August/September; makes Hong Kong debut today
-11175
Age: 3
Weight: 8-9
OR: 65
Days: 208
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 24 | San Sandown | 8f Sft | 42yHc | 9-1 | 1/6 | Laplander (1L) | 13/8F | 72 | 77 |
| 31 Aug 24 | San Sandown | 7f Gd | 42yHc | 8-11 | 1/9 | Imperial Trooper (hd) | 14/1 | 68 | 75 |
| 11 Aug 24 | Lei Leicester | 7f GF | 62yHc | 9-7 | 1/9 | Liberty Bird (1L) | 2/1F | 63 | 69 |
| 11 Jul 24 | Nby Newbury | 6f GS | 32yNv | 9-0 | 7/11 | Brian (11½L) | 16/1 | - | 50 |
| 26 Jun 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 42yMd | 9-5 | 5/14 | Tilted Kilt (5L) | 15/2 | - | 60 |
| 20 May 24 | Wdr Windsor | 6f GF | 22yMd | 9-7 | 10/15 | Sergio Parisse (5L) | 33/1 | - | 63 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 27 in the last 14 days (0%)
C&D winner in October but below form last month and remains on a tough mark
9296-6
Age: 5
Weight: 8-8
OR: 64
Days: 35
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Mar 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-12 t | 9/9 | Excellence Value (4L) | 59/10 | 64 | 64 |
| 19 Feb 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | 3yHc | 8-7 t | 2/12 | Hameron (nk) | 67/10 | 62 | 69 |
| 26 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-9 t | 9/14 | Perfect Team (4¾L) | 17/5F | 64 | 64 |
| 8 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-9 t | 6/12 | Speed Dragon (3L) | 18/5F | 65 | 63 |
| 4 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-9 t | 6/12 | Soleil Fighter (2¼L) | 9/5F | 65 | 71 |
| 20 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd/Y | Hc | 8-8 t | 2/12 | Lovero (shd) | 9/5F | 62 | 72 |
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
D
4 x Distance Winner - Won 4 times before at this distance
Didn't fire here a week ago but has largely been in good form over C&D this season
9538-2
Age: 6
Weight: 8-6
OR: 62
Days: 7
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Apr 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f GF | Hc | 8-7 t | 9/11 | Aestheticism (5¾L) | 9/1 | 64 | 59 |
| 5 Mar 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-13 tb | 5/9 | Excellence Value (1¾L) | 63/10 | 65 | 70 |
| 5 Feb 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-9 tb | 3/12 | Soleil Fighter (1½L) | 17/1 | 65 | 70 |
| 12 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd | Hc | 8-9 tb | 8/14 | Embraces (3½L) | 46/1 | 65 | 65 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-9 t | 2/12 | I Can (hd) | 11/1 | 64 | 73 |
| 30 Oct 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-11 t | 7/11 | Daring Pursuit (3L) | 25/1 | 66 | 71 |
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 18 in the last 14 days (0%)
Enjoyed mini revival towards end of last year but has lost his form again lately
07-373
Age: 7
Weight: 8-6
OR: 62
Days: 63
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Feb 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-9 tb | 11/12 | Soleil Fighter (5¾L) | 30/1 | 64 | 61 |
| 15 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-9 tb | 7/12 | Definitive (2¾L) | 20/1 | 65 | 70 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-10 tb | 3/12 | I Can (½L) | 87/10 | 65 | 73 |
| 9 Oct 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-10 tb | 7/12 | I Can (4¼L) | 58/10 | 65 | 64 |
| 18 Sep 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-9 tb | 3/10 | Star Contact (½L) | 2/1F | 63 | 73 |
| 11 Sep 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-7 tb | 4/11 | Helene Warrior (2L) | 23/5 | 63 | 67 |
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 23 in the last 14 days (4%)
Much improved since upped to 1m for last two runs and has much better draw today
428-68
Age: 4
Weight: 8-5
OR: 61
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f GF | Hc | 8-6 t | 4/12 | M Unicorn (3L) | 5/2F | 61 | 62 |
| 19 Feb 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 9-8 t | 2/12 | Thesis (nse) | 17/1 | 59 | 70 |
| 15 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-4 t | 8/12 | Wings Of War (2¼L) | 8/1 | 61 | 58 |
| 26 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-8 t | 6/12 | Aurora Lady (4L) | 43/1 | 63 | 63 |
| 9 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f GF | Hc | 8-6 t | 8/14 | Savvy Brilliant (3½L) | 26/1 | 63 | 63 |
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
Moves up in grade today but was a very stylish C&D winner last month
1333-1
Age: 5
Weight: 8-4
OR: 60
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f GF | Hc | 8-12 tb | 1/12 | Courier Magic (2¼L) | 23/5 | 52 | 67 |
| 26 Feb 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 9-0 tb | 3/12 | Sturdy Ruby (½L) | 11/1 | 51 | 58 |
| 22 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-13 tb | 3/12 | Turin Warrior (1½L) | 49/10 | 51 | 58 |
| 8 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-11 tb | 3/12 | Mighty Commander (¾L) | 13/1 | 50 | 58 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-7 tb | 1/12 | Snowalot (½L) | 96/1 | 45 | 55 |
| 17 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 8-10 t | 11/14 | Super Love Dragon (11½L) | 78/1 | 47 | 28 |
Verdict
This rather uncompetitive Class 3 provides FLYING FORTRESS with a good chance to open his Hong Kong account.
Flying Fortress
Betting Forecast:
5/2 Flying Fortress,
3/1 Good Luck Win,
7/1 Rocket Spade,
8/1 Super Unicorn,
Ivy League,
10/1 Charity Together,
14/1 Outgate,
16/1 Star Contact,
Setanta,
25/1 Cambridge,
40/1 Kolachi
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