'It could be the race of the year' - John Durkan Memorial Punchestown Chase preview
9 hours ago
NEWCASTLE (AW)
16 November 2024
Saturday 16th November
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
BetUK: It's Where The UK Bets Handicap (Class 3) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 5f
- Going: Standard
- Runners
- 9
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Tapeta
- Stalls
- Centre
- Weather
- Mostly cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
D
5 x Distance Winner - Won 5 times before at this distance
Far from solid but he has been given a chance by the handicapper on AW
4597/3
Age: 7
Weight: 9-9
OR: 87
Days: 53
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 24 | Bev Beverley | 5f Gd | 2 | 9-5 p | 3/4 | Tees Spirit (2½L) | 18/1 | 94 | 88 |
| 9 Dec 22 | Bhr Bahrain | 5f Gd | Hc | 9-8 p | 7/18 | Nomadic Empire (7L) | - | 80 | |
| 1 Oct 22 | Asc Ascot | 5f GS | 2Hc | 9-6 p | 9/9 | Dream Composer (13½L) | 12/1 | 101 | 62 |
| 20 Sep 22 | Bev Beverley | 5f Gd | 2 | 9-2 p | 5/6 | Judicial (6¾L) | 3/1 | 102 | 87 |
| 7 Sep 22 | Don Doncaster | 5f Gd | L | 10-1 p | 4/8 | Manaccan (3¾L) | 17/2 | 102 | 97 |
| 27 Aug 22 | Bev Beverley | 5f Gd | L | 9-4 p | 3/13 | Tis Marvellous (1¾L) | 8/1 | 101 | 105 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
w2
Wind Op - Second run after wind operation
No win since debut but this is effectively a drop in class and he's bred to go on AW
4-5758
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
OR: 87
Days: 47
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 24 | Ham Hamilton | 5f Sft | 3Hc | 9-10 | 8/8 | Never Dark (6L) | 6/1 | 89 | 77 |
| 5 Jul 24 | Don Doncaster | 5f Gd | 2Hc | 9-2 | 5/9 | Brave Nation (2½L) | 4/1 | 91 | 88 |
| 21 Jun 24 | Asc Ascot | 5f GF | 23yHc | 9-0 | 7/28 | Pilgrim (2¾L) | 33/1 | 91 | 96 |
| 16 May 24 | Yor York | 5f Gd | 3yL | 9-4 | 5/7 | Big Evs (5L) | 14/1 | 92 | 90 |
| 22 Sep 23 | Ayr Ayr | 5f GS | 2yL | 9-5 | 4/5 | Beautiful Diamond (7¼L) | 11/1 | 92 | 81 |
| 26 Aug 23 | Yor York | 5f GF | 2yL | 9-2 | 5/10 | Fast Responder (3¼L) | 11/2 | 90 | 91 |
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Three 5f wins this year; not at best the last twice but eased in grade & he's been gelded
181609
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
OR: 87
Days: 69
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Sep 24 | Yor York | 5f GS | 33yHc | 9-8 | 9/13 | Duran (4½L) | 16/1 | 89 | 84 |
| 1 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 5f GF | 33yHc | 9-3 | 12/16 | Shagraan (6¾L) | 9/1 | 89 | 76 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Yor York | 5f GS | L | 8-10 | 6/7 | Starlust (6L) | 16/1 | 88 | 92 |
| 21 Jun 24 | Goo Goodwood | 5f Gd | 43yHc | 9-9 | 1/4 | Enchanting (3L) | 2/1 | 80 | 96 |
| 1 Jun 24 | Eps Epsom | 5f GS | 33yHc | 8-13 | 8/19 | Blue Storm (7¼L) | 9/2F | 80 | 60 |
| 25 May 24 | Goo Goodwood | 5f Gd | 43yHc | 9-6 | 1/7 | Kiss And Run (nk) | 9/4 | 77 | 89 |
C
2 x Course Winner - Won 2 times before at this course
Two 6f wins here last year; ran well at Newmarket last time but that was April; new trip
51-304
Age: 4
Weight: 9-7
OR: 85
Days: 213
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 6f Gd | 2Hc | 8-8 | 4/18 | Dark Thirty (1¼L) | 12/1 | 85 | 91 |
| 29 Mar 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St | 2Hc | 7-13 | 12/14 | Fivethousandtoone (11L) | 9/1 | 86 | 64 |
| 20 Feb 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St | 3Hc | 9-4 | 3/8 | Azure Angel (1¾L) | 11/8F | 85 | 89 |
| 9 Dec 23 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 4Hc | 9-2 | 1/11 | Clipsham La Habana (1¾L) | 9/4F | 78 | 91 |
| 14 Nov 23 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St | 3Hc | 8-8 | 5/9 | Pendleton (1¼L) | 100/30F | 78 | 85 |
| 29 Sep 23 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St | 5Nv | 9-4 | 1/8 | Willow Baby (4L) | 5/4F | - | 83 |
D
6 x Distance Winner - Won 6 times before at this distance
0-8 on AW but fully effective over C&D; not discounted at this level
512924
Age: 9
Weight: 9-7
OR: 85
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 24 | Not Nottingham | 5f Sft | 3Hc | 9-4 | 4/6 | Fantasy Master (4½L) | 100/30 | 86 | 80 |
| 8 Oct 24 | Lei Leicester | 5f Hy | 4Hc | 9-3 | 2/8 | Sergeant Pep (¾L) | 100/30F | 86 | 94 |
| 15 Sep 24 | Don Doncaster | 6f Sft | 4Hc | 9-11 | 9/14 | Aramram (6L) | 9/1 | 87 | 79 |
| 30 Aug 24 | Thi Thirsk | 6f GF | 3Hc | 9-1 | 2/9 | Tinto (½L) | 11/2 | 85 | 93 |
| 10 Aug 24 | Red Redcar | 6f GF | 3Hc | 9-2 | 1/6 | Secret Guest (½L) | 7/2 | 83 | 93 |
| 19 Jul 24 | Pon Pontefract | 5f Gd | 3Hc | 9-9 v | 5/8 | Vantheman (4L) | 17/2 | 86 | 84 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
6 x Distance Winner - Won 6 times before at this distance
Done well since a wind op, winning twice (inc C&D); unlucky in running latest; e-w shout
108165
Age: 7
Weight: 9-3
OR: 81
Days: 25
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 5f St | 3Hc | 9-2 | 5/14 | Cover Point (1¾L) | 33/1 | 81 | 86 |
| 5 Oct 24 | Red Redcar | 5f Sft | 4Hc | 9-9 | 6/11 | Curious Rover (3L) | 16/1 | 81 | 81 |
| 18 Sep 24 | Bev Beverley | 5f Gd | 4Hc | 9-11 | 1/10 | Paddy's Day (nk) | 14/1 | 79 | 89 |
| 23 Aug 24 | Ham Hamilton | 5f Hy | 3Hc | 9-3 | 8/9 | Moonstone Boy (3½L) | 11/2 | 80 | 76 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Yor York | 6f GS | 4Hc | 9-9 | 10/18 | Ray Vonn (6L) | 16/1 | 80 | 68 |
| 28 Jun 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 5f St/Slw | 5Hc | 9-11 | 1/14 | Paddy's Day (nk) | 5/1F | 77 | 87 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Strong finish to win over C&D 19 days ago; up 6lb in a better race this time
090431
Age: 4
Weight: 9-0
OR: 78
Days: 19
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 5f St/Slw | 5Hc | 9-9 t | 1/10 | Herakles (1¾L) | 10/1 | 72 | 85 |
| 10 Oct 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 5f St | 5Hc | 9-7 t | 3/12 | Sugar Hill Babe (2½L) | 16/1 | 73 | 77 |
| 3 Oct 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St | 4Hc | 9-7 t | 4/12 | Bright (2¾L) | 33/1 | 73 | 77 |
| 10 Sep 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 5Hc | 9-10 t | 13/13 | Asimov (7¾L) | 33/1 | 73 | 59 |
| 4 Sep 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 6f St | 5Hc | 9-13 t | 9/12 | Stanley Spencer (7½L) | 40/1 | 73 | 61 |
| 25 May 24 | Yor York | 6f GS | 4Hc | 9-2 t | 19/21 | Tiriac (23L) | 80/1 | 73 | 12 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Thriving since switched to AW; near miss off this mark on Tuesday; in the mix once more
103212
Age: 4
Weight: 8-13
OR: 77
Days: 4
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 5f St | 4Hc | 9-9 p | 2/9 | Sugar Hill Babe (hd) | 6/1 | 77 | 87 |
| 28 Oct 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 5f St/Slw | 5Hc | 9-11 p | 1/9 | Zuffolo (nk) | 5/2F | 74 | 85 |
| 17 Oct 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 6f St | 5Hc | 9-12 p | 2/12 | Hectic (nk) | 3/1F | 72 | 83 |
| 5 Oct 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 6f St | 5Hc | 9-8 p | 3/10 | Coup De Force (¾L) | 8/1 | 71 | 80 |
| 20 Sep 24 | Ayr Ayr | 6f Gd | 2Hc | 9-7 p | 14/24 | Diligent Resdev (4¾L) | 20/1 | 72 | 71 |
| 31 Aug 24 | Bev Beverley | 5f GF | 5Hc | 9-7 p | 1/10 | Glory Hyde (½L) | 5/2F | 67 | 78 |
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
D
4 x Distance Winner - Won 4 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 26 in the last 14 days (4%)
Conditions to suit and the ground was a valid excuse when flopping last time
213158
Age: 6
Weight: 8-12
OR: 76
Days: 29
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 24 | Hay Haydock | 5f Hy | 4Hc | 9-6 p | 8/8 | Trilby (17L) | 18/1 | 77 | 29 |
| 5 Oct 24 | Red Redcar | 5f Sft | 4Hc | 9-5 p | 5/11 | Curious Rover (2¾L) | 3/1F | 77 | 78 |
| 28 Sep 24 | Rip Ripon | 5f Sft | 4Hc | 9-8 p | 1/9 | High Opinion (hd) | 9/2 | 75 | 85 |
| 15 Sep 24 | Mus Musselburgh | 5f Gd | 5Hc | 9-12 p | 3/9 | Zarzyni (1¾L) | 100/30 | 75 | 80 |
| 6 Sep 24 | Hay Haydock | 5f GS | 4Hc | 9-4 p | 1/13 | Arecibo (nk) | 12/1 | 72 | 83 |
| 26 Aug 24 | Rip Ripon | 5f Gd | 5Hc | 9-12 p1 | 2/10 | High Opinion (1¼L) | 14/1 | 72 | 79 |
Verdict
Elegant Erin and Spirit Of Applause are respected but this represents a drop in grade for MON NA SLIEVE and he's preferred.
Betting Forecast:
7/2 Spirit Of Applause,
5/1 Elegant Erin,
6/1 Mon Na Slieve,
Makanah,
Dark Kestrel,
8/1 King Of Stars,
Solray,
10/1 Grandlad,
12/1 Our Absent Friends
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
