After a historic Grand National last week, heads now turn to Ayr for the Scottish Grand National. Raced over the four-mile distance, a 23-strong field will contest this year’s race, including the popular Aye Right and a pair of representatives in the famous colours of Trevor Hemmings.
The home team looks to have a great chance, with the likes of Harriet Graham, Sandy Thomson and Lucinda Russell bidding to land the spoils for Scotland. Ireland are also represented, with Peter Fahy and Danny Mullins making the trip over. We’ll have horse racing tips for all the action, but as with any major handicaps, there are plenty of horses at prices that are simply too big. I’ve identified three outsiders that are overpriced for this year’s renewal and they can be found below!
Cool Mix (40-1)
Winning at Wetherby back in October over 2m 3f, this marathon distances promises to suit Iain Jardine’s charge. He’s placed on all three of his subsequent starts, including over 2m 7f at Newcastle off one-pound higher. That’s the furthest he’s raced thus far, doing all his best work in the closing stages of that Listed handicap.
He’s probably on a high enough rating, but improvement can be expected for this big step up in distance. He has ground conditions to suit and if seeing out this extra yardage as expected, he has an excellent chance at a price that is simply too big.
The Dutchman (40-1)
He’s gained all his victories on a softer surface, but having run well on his sole try of “good” ground, the surface shouldn’t be too much of an inconvenience. He’s endured a mainly disappointing campaign, running three below-par races out of four. That sole positive run, however, was a great second at Haydock, where he was beaten just a head.
He’s three pounds higher today but much like Cool Mix, this trip promises to eke out further improvement. Tanking along at Newcastle in the Eider before unseating, he looked set to play a leading role in the finish of that four-mile contest. The better surface should help him in the stamina department and off two pounds lower than last time, he looks underestimated in the market.
Coup De Pinceau (25-1)
Below form in his first two starts for Nick Mitchell, stepping up to 3m 4f saw him exploding back to life at Taunton. Tanking into the lead approaching two-out, he was well ahead of his rating and scooted clear by twelve lengths.
He’s now six pounds higher, but he has to remain of interest, especially stretching out even further in trip. Stamina is seemingly his strong suit at this stage of his career and he’s once again partnered by in-form seven-pound claimer Angus Cheleda.
After his Taunton success, Mitchell said he benefitted from a change of tactics and with a strong pace likely, dropping in should see him in the perfect position. This is a much tougher contest, there’s no doubt about that, but he’s carrying a small weight and is totally unexposed as a marathon stayer.
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