Over £9,000 to the winner of this mile or so handicap and that pot has attracted a competitive twelve horse field with a big twenty-two pounds between top and bottom weights. Trainer of Tom Dascombe has won two of the three runnings of this race and has a runner here – read on to see if his entry has a good chance in 2017 in this 7.40pm Haydock race preview.
IN SUMMARY: It seems safe to assume that the is no guarantee that Intrude can repeat his last run and with the market failing to speak in his favour it may be worth chancing CALDER PRINCE each way as trainer Tom Dascombe looks to win this race for the third time in four years.
1 MYTHICAL MADNESS – Top weight tonight for the David O’Meara horse who is rated four pounds superior to all of his rivals here. Last seen at Epsom a grade above this contest, he ran his best race in some time when a length second to G K Chesterton, staying on well over the mile to finish nearest to the winner at the line. Silvestre de Sousa rode him that day but Phillip Makin takes over this afternoon, and if he can repeat that effort off just one pound higher here he must have every chance. The stable continue in decent form with nine recent winners from seventy-one runners for a 13% strike rate, and as he won off a pound higher than this at Wolverhampton in January he ought to go well again.
2 ICE SLICE – A win over seven and a half furlongs at Chester in July last year saw the James Eustace gelding’s rating put up to 93 and he has struggled since with one place from six further outings. He has placed at Chester and may well be happier at that unusual track than elsewhere these days, with a six length ninth of ten there last time out, six length adrift of the winner at the line. Dropped a single pound, he may well still be in the handicapper’s grip at present and in this field he looks to have his work cut out tonight.
3 INSTANT ATTRACTION – Hasn’t won in sixteen starts now and on a losing run stretching back to June 2015. He has to carry five pounds more than his highest ever winning mark which has to be seen as a negative, but he has placed off higher marks as well with a second to Examiner in a Class Two at Epsom last summer. Doesn’t seem one to rely on after an eleven and a half length ninth to El Vip last time out but is potentially well weighted if Jedd O’Keeffe can somehow get him back to his very best form.
4 LONDON PROTOCOL – Another entry looking to break a losing habit after fifteen consecutive losses with a win at Deauville after he was gelded in June 2015 – and nothing since. Even places have been few and far between with a third at Ayr last September the latest of them, there is also a stamina question with the majority of his best efforts over seven furlongs, and even though Karl Burke is going well with six winners in the last fourteen days.
5 FUWAIRT – Yorkshire trainer Roger Fell has been in charge of the son of Arcano since he left David Loughnane last September and is still looking to get a win out of the five-year-old after eight starts. Last time out he finished a two-length third to Fastnet Tempest at Chester over seven and a half furlongs when looking a little one paced once passed, but if P J McDonald can hold on to him a little longer here and produce him at the last minute he may well run in to a place at a big price here.
6 ETERNAL – Looking at the trainer statistics and Declan Carroll is up near the top on strike rate with 23% thanks to three wins from twenty-three runners and the five year-old is quite capable of adding to those figures at his best. He won by the minimum margin of a nose at Beverley in May and was only put up a pound after which he finished a twelve length sixth at Windsor when tried over a mile and a quarter when trying to make all the running before weakening close home. Back at this trip he may well try making the running and should do an awful lot better if that is the case.
7 ROLLER – A very consistent sort for trainer Michael Easterby with two wins and three places from six starts with the victories over a mile at Newcastle and then Redcar. Last time out at Ripon he was only beaten a head by Boots And Spurs and he has been left on the same rating tonight which surely means he must have a solid chance of a place at the very least. Sadly, the stable stats do not back up his chances with just the two winners from twenty-nine runners but this is one of the shrewdest stables out there, and a market watch is well advised.
8 MOUNTAIN RESCUE – Another runner who has changed stables and Chris Wall will be looking for a third win from the five-year-old since he arrived from the Roger Charlton yard. Put up to a career high of 89 after placing second at Kempton last October he has struggled since with a seven and a half-length seventh at Sandown last time out when weakening close home over the mile, but has been given a chance by the handicapper with a three-pound drop and could surprise a few.
9 INTRUDE – The only last time out winner in the field for trainer Stuart Williams after absolutely destroying a small field at Yarmouth by no less than sixteen lengths earlier this month eased down. There was no obvious reason for the sudden improvement other than a bit of cut in the ground which he also gets here, and carrying a six-pound winners’ penalty, if he can reproduce that then he wins this even if it is a small rise in class. The problem is that was an out of character effort and he doesn’t seem the most reliable of sorts, but he has to be labelled of interest at the very least.
10 CALDER PRINCE – As mentioned above Tom Dascombe has won two of the three runnings of this race and is represented by Calder Prince today. One of the youngest runners this year, the son of Dark Angel has raced here twice before with a win last May and a fourth this April for a 50% success percentage. He hasn’t won now in twelve races despite being gelded, but looks to have been laid out for this particular contest and off todays weight he must have a very serious each way chance.
11 ZEALOUS – The four-year-old is having his first run for Yorkshire trainer Sally Haynes having left Alan Swinbank after a twelfth of fifteen to Torrid over a mile at Redcar in April. Sometimes a change of scenery can bring improvement and he has won off three pounds higher so can’t be ruled out but he needs to get back to his best to have any chance from a stable with no winners from six runners in the last fortnight.
12 ABUSHAMAH – Four wins from thirty-seven starts now for the son of Nayef but none since June last year though he did run his best race for some time over course and distance with a two and three quarter length third to Zwayyan on soft ground last week. He runs off 74 here and has won off 80 so connections are not asking too much of him, and although a likely outsider for the Ruth Carr yard, the stable are in form with a 16% strike rate and 12 points of level stakes profit and he cannot be just written off.