2.55pm Wolverhampton – bet365.com Handicap Class Two – 1m 5f 194yds
A complex and hard to call handicap which will presumably see the Richard Hannon trained Silver Quay somewhere near to the head of the market as he races here under a six pound penalty after scoring here over a furlong shorter by five lengths, which seems sure to see him put up by more than his penalty for future races. He was going further and further away from his field that day, suggesting this added distance may even bring more improvement, and although he is not good thing in a field like this, he certainly deserves to be sent off favourite and ought to prove very difficult to beat.
Ruth Carr may be building herself a reputation with her sprinters but is perfectly capable given a decent staying sort as well and we really like the each way chances of Be Perfect who seems highly likely to be ignored by the majority of punters leaving a better price available for the rest of us. His form may not be as glaringly obvious as some but he has won at the course and more importantly over the distance, and is slowly slipping back down the weights to a winnable mark. His last run at Lingfield was little more than a pipe opener after five months off (and was far too short at a mile and a half), but back up in trip and stripping fitter, he has a decent each way chance in our view today.
Meanwhile, ex Godolphin blue eyed boy Simon Crisford is making a good job of his new career as a trainer and has Gang Warfare in here, and there is zero questions possible about his stamina. Last time out he beat Ralphy Lad by a very easy two lengths at Southwell over a mile and a half, yet prior to that he had won a couple of races over two miles so we do know he won’t be stopping! Put up a harsh seven pounds for that victory, the handicapper must be close to having his measure by now, and although he seems genuine enough and sure to run well, a rating of 95 may prove beyond him today.
Looking further down the weights and Agent Gibbs is a consistent sort who is in with a chance if he is fit enough after five months off the track. He is yet to race here which has to be a worry with the Tapeta a strange old surface that some horses just do not take to, and with the form of his fourth to Swaheen at York looking pretty strong (he failed to get home over a mile and three quarters but it was softer going), he has place prospects in our view at this time.
Lastly, Brian Ellison will no doubt be determined to get another win of two out of the talented Totalize who looks like he will run here having pulled out of a race over hurdles in the last week or so. Yet to win in this class or off a rating anywhere near to this high, he would only count as a speculative each way punt at a huge price in all honesty, but is a genuine stayer who gives his all and will win races – just not off a rating as silly as 97 in our view, though no doubt jockey Ben Curtis will do all he can to prove us wrong this afternoon.
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