2.50pm Newmarket Tips & Betting Preview 31/07/2015

Race Time2.50pm MeetingNewmarket Distance6f
Full Race Name British EBF Fillies’ Nursery Handicap (Class 2)

A heady mixture of lightly raced improving sorts and those with form in the book creates a challenge as does the number of runners – twenty juveniles on the July course will be interesting to put it mildly, and we are willing to bet there will be at least one hard luck story by the end of the race!

Top weight Glenrowan Rose has to be of plenty of interest dropping to this class having run well without bothering the judge in the Group Three Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot when five lengths behind Illuminate, and then a little nearer to that illustrious rival (four and a quarter lengths fifth) in the Group Two Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes here when last seen in action. Her handicap rating of 96 seems pretty much perfect to be honest on a line through Besharah, but she has had four races now, and with that much weight we have to at least worry if there is something lower in the ratings who can improve past their current mark?

William Muir and Martin Dwyer team up again, this time with the twice raced Fine Blend, and although she will need to improve on her runners up spot to Whatdoiwantthatfor at Windsor when she looked as though the five furlongs was a touch too short for her. Add an extra furlong here, and in receipt of close to a stone from the top weight and she must have place chances at least, and at a big price the daughter of Sakhee’s Secret has to come in to the calculations.

Godolphin will feel they can get a bit more out of Blossomtime who has always been well regarded in the Charlie Appleby yard, if not quite in their premier division.  She needed the run when runner up on her debut at Newmarket hence her starting price of 10/1 but she has gone from strength to strength since with a narrow maiden maiden win followed by a Doncaster romp, and she should run well, though whether she should be off a mark as high as 91 seems pretty questionable. Two more to go for our five against the field, and both hail out of Newmarket with William Haggas responsible for Tutu Nguru who looks to make it three wins from four starts here.

A daughter of Blame, she took a Lingfield maiden first time out before finishing seventh to Illuminate at Royal Ascot but she made up for that poor run with a win again at Doncaster, but it needs to be said that on a line through Illuminate she should finish well behind Glenrowan Rose at these weights. Lastly, Hugo palmer suddenly has the Midas touch, so can he win this with either Nidnod or Ediye with a narrow preference for the last named? Only two runs to date suggest she has a bit more to offer in the long term with her easy Lingfield maiden win hard to assess as yet, and she could well run a bigger race under William Carson than her price will suggest – risky yes but a big price outsider to at least consider for those who like that sort of thing.

Please Gamble Responsibly