1.55pm Doncaster EBF Fillies’ Stakes Betting Tips 10/09/2015

Race Time: 1.55pm MeetingDoncaster Distance: 6f 110yds
Full Race NameBritish Stallion Studs “Carrie Red” EBF Fillies’ Stakes (Nursery Handicap) Class Two

Well when it comes to nurseries the age old saying has always been that we should back the top weight (we will look in to that old wives tail fairly shortly), but as we wont know for certain who is and isn’t running a yet that leads us to the Jeremy Noseda trained Nemorali (15/8) who has to carry nine stone seven thanks to her handicap mark of 87. Frankie Dettori rides, a combo that’s a bit of a blast from the past to be honest, but he has ridden her in two of her three racecourse appearances, so no excuses there. A brown daughter of More Than Ready, she seems to be getting better race by race with a fifth at Newmarket first time out followed by a good second to Ballydoyle when stepped up to seven furlongs at the same venue, followed by a third time lucky maiden win at Kempton last time out a month or so ago. Looking at the form, Ballydoyle has gone on to take a Group Two at The Curragh but won so easily at Newmarket that the form should perhaps not be taken too literally, though the form of her victory is beginning to look pretty decent.  Runner up Honorina was only beaten half a length the race before by the now 93 treated Bahaarah which in theory makes her well weighted off of the 87 today. Salvo (16/1) is next in the weights (and thus the next best horse), and Jamie Spencer will be hoping to get a tune out of the daughter of Acclamation who won her maiden well enough first time out at Newmarket on faster ground but failed to make much of an impression last time out at Ascot when a well beaten fifth of six to Besharah in the Group Three Princess Margaret Stakes. Whether it was the rise in class or the softer ground that put pay to her chances only time will tell, but this is a drop in class and the going is predicted to be on the good side so she could well make it in to a place.

Silvestre De Sousa and Mark Johnston are always a potent combination and form all their two year old fillies, they have decided to rely on Fashionable Spirit (20/1) even if she does look fully exposed to us. One win over five furlongs at Ripon and five places have seen her earn over £13,000 in win and place prize money which isn’t a bad return for a juvenile, and being trained to be tough as are all the stable runners she seems sure to give her all, we just can’t help but feel others will improve past her here. Richard Hannon runs three here but jockey bookings suggest that Jet Setting (20/1) is the number one pick with Pat Dobbs in the saddle – though we could be wrong of course! Still a maiden after three races, she has finished runner up twice, once at Brighton and last time out at Newmarket when a shirt head behind Blossomtime who us currently rated 90. Given three months off since her last run, she gets in here off a rating of 85 which may yet prove to be generous and she could well have matured and strengthened in the time and is another worthy of serious consideration.  Lastly, how about a second and very serious glance at Alpine Dream (13/2) for the shrewd William Haggas yard? We all know that their horses are never fully tuned for their racecourse or even seasonal debuts yet the daughter of Dream Ahead till got up at Thirsk despite a slow start and looking as if the race would do her the world of good. Just like a few others, she looks sure to be a step ahead of the handicapper and off a rating of 72 won’t even need to be the best horse in the race to win at these weights – though the betting should prove pretty informative and at first glance the form looks better than average in the context of this race.

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