4.50pm Windsor Tips & Betting Preview 04/09/2017

Ten runners go to post for a mile and a quarter handicap with a little under £3,000 to the winner. Our runner by runner preview and expert tip are below.

IN SUMMARY: POSEIDON hasn’t realised his potential yet, but he does have excuses for his below par efforts in his 2017 starts. He was only a little over five lengths behind Eminent as a juvenile, form that is head and shoulders above this field if he can finally get all his ducks in a row, he looks overpriced. Oh It’s Saucepot looks like the biggest danger; she has been an impressive winner the last twice and a four pound higher mark for the latter victory does not look enough to stop her going close. There was only a length between Fanfair and Broad Appeal over this course and distance last time and both hold solid each way claims.

1 PROSECUTION – Eight race maiden, he hasn’t done a lot wrong so far – he has simply found one too good on all too often an occasion. He has first-time blinkers fitted in a bid to squeeze a little more out of him, improvement that will be needed as he has gone up another two pounds for being beaten last time out. He acts on any ground and this looks like his best trip, so he is sure to have his supporters once more.

2 OH IT’S SAUCEPOT – Filly who has really found her stride since going handicapping, wining her last two starts. She won in style last time out over nine furlongs at Yarmouth, so an extra four pounds here shouldn’t be enough to stop her from going close in the hat-trick bid. Chris Wall said after that “we can probably step her up to a mile and a quarter in due course and she’s going the right way” trying that trip now. She has a strong chance.

3 POSEIDON – Showed smart form in some decent maidens last season, a little over five lengths behind Eminent and then seven lengths behind Mojito. Gelded over the winter, he shaped as if he were in need of his reappearance before not enjoying cut in the ground last time out when failing to stay a mile and a half. Back to this trip and returned to quicker ground, he looks to have an excellent opportunity to fulfil his maiden promise. Looks overpriced given his form in the book.

4 FANFAIR – Isn’t the biggest in stature, however she more than makes up for it with her attitude. Twice a winner at this trip this season, she was runner-up over this course and distance last time in a similar contest to this. The Richard Hannon stable are banging in the winners of late and, although she probably needs more to get her head in front, she should run her usual honest race.

5 AFTERBURNER – Steadily progressive in three maiden runs, he makes his handicap debut from a mark that looks a couple of pounds high on what he has shown so far. His half-brother had a rating north of 100 in the UK before going to Hong Kong and winning a pair of smart handicaps over there. He is entitled to step up on what he has shown so far, but this ten furlong trip isn’t a positive on his pedigree.

6 GETGO – Justified short odds in a Brighton maiden last October, he has not shown that level of form so far in 2017 after being gelded over the winter. He ran his best race of the season two starts ago on quick ground at Yarmouth but finished last at Beverley under similar conditions when last seen. Difficult to know what to expect from him here given his inconsistency .

7 TIME TO SEA – Eight race maiden who isn’t really progressing, but he is close to getting off the mark. He was placed off this mark last time but that (like the best of his form) has come with a little cut in the ground. His pedigree suggests that soft ground would be preferred, but his full sister was placed on good to firm so he has an each way chance once more if he handles it.

8 BROAD APPEAL – Won on his debut in a Kempton maiden, he is yet to replicate that performance on turf. His best run on grass came last time out over this course and distance when a length behind Fanfair. He is a pound better off with her for that run, with first-time cheekpieces replacing the hood he wore on that occasion. He is lightly raced enough to step forward again so is another in this race with an each way chance if the new headgear provides a positive effect.

9 QUEEN MOON – Didn’t show an awful lot in three maidens, she looked poorly handicapped on her debut in this sphere last time and so it proved, comfortably seen off. Her best run came on quick ground and the step up in trip should suit. However, despite a two pound drop in the weights, she still doesn’t have the look of a horse who is weighted to strike.

10 MOREA – Failed to beat a rival home in four starts so far, beaten out of sight in every one of those runs. Has an official rating of 25 (which looks generous on the form in the book) so has absolutely no hope from miles out of the weights.

Please Gamble Responsibly