Lucky 15: Four JP McManus horses with massive chances at Aintree this week
16 hours ago
WARWICK
27 March 2025
Thursday 27th March
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
Tony Darby Retirement Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 3m 2f
- Going: Good
- Runners
- 11
- Type
- Hurdle
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Light rain
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Improved form for the win and made a noise last time; now has a tongue-tie fitted
5-6415
Age: 6
Weight: 11-12
OR: 94
Days: 68
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 25 | Tau Taunton | 24f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-0 | 5/14 | Jesuila Des Mottes (19L) | 5/2 | 94 | 92 |
| 28 Nov 24 | Tau Taunton | 24f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-3 | 1/10 | Native Moon (3¼L) | 9/4F | 88 | 91 |
| 11 Nov 24 | Kem Kempton | 24.5f Gd | 5NvHcH | 11-7 | 4/8 | Magical Arthur (13L) | 17/2 | 89 | 85 |
| 6 May 24 | Kem Kempton | 21f Gd | 4MdH | 11-4 | 6/8 | Ideal Des Bordes (29L) | 66/1 | - | 83 |
| 1 Apr 24 | Plu Plumpton | 20.5f Gd | 4MdH | 11-6 | 5/8 | Kaituna River (25L) | 25/1 | - | 83 |
| 9 Dec 23 | Ain Aintree | 17f Hy | 3NvH | 11-0 | PU/11 | Norman Fletcher () | 100/1 | - | - |
Plumpton winner; below par the last twice and stamina for quite this far isn't proven
-12247
Age: 6
Weight: 11-10
OR: 92
Days: 24
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Mar 25 | Ncs Newcastle | 20.5f Gd | 5NvHcH | 11-11 p | 7/10 | Jingle Jangle Jet (18½L) | 3/1 | 93 | 79 |
| 12 Dec 24 | Tau Taunton | 24f Gd | 5HcH | 11-6 p1 | 4/15 | Despereaux (14L) | 17/2 | 93 | 88 |
| 11 Nov 24 | Kem Kempton | 24.5f Gd | 5NvHcH | 11-11 | 2/8 | Magical Arthur (11L) | 6/1 | 93 | 93 |
| 24 Oct 24 | Lud Ludlow | 21.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-6 | 2/13 | Martalite (nk) | 4/1F | 89 | 92 |
| 22 Sep 24 | Plu Plumpton | 20.5f GS | 5HcH | 10-5 | 1/9 | Greatness Awaits (2½L) | 9/2 | 82 | 87 |
| 25 Apr 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 19.5f Gd | 5HcH | 10-9 | 2/11 | Ferrobin (1½L) | 8/1 | 81 | 80 |
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 3 wins from 12 in the last 14 days (25%)
Good run last time but there are some stamina doubts over this longer distance
44-143
Age: 7
Weight: 11-8
OR: 90
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 25 | Str Stratford | 22f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-4 | 3/13 | Summerleaze (2L) | 6/1 | 87 | 88 |
| 20 Feb 25 | Hun Huntingdon | 19.5f GS | 5NvHcHM | 11-5 | 4/12 | Alexandra Larose (28L) | 10/1 | 87 | 74 |
| 23 May 24 | Mar Market Rasen | 20.5f Gd | 5NvHcHM | 11-2 | 1/10 | Faha Belle (½L) | 3/1F | 84 | 87 |
| 24 Apr 24 | Lud Ludlow | 21.5f Gd | 5NvHcHM | 11-2 | 4/9 | Mrs Tabitha (5¾L) | 10/1 | 84 | 80 |
| 17 Jan 24 | Sth Southwell | 20.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-4 t1 | 4/8 | Sangiovese (23L) | 13/2 | 86 | 74 |
| 26 Dec 23 | Wcn Wincanton | 15f GS | 4NvHM | 10-9 | 7/10 | Party Vibes (26L) | 80/1 | - | 84 |
More competitive on recent handicap debut when beaten under 8l at Fontwell (3m2f)
84853
Age: 6
Weight: 10-13
OR: 81
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Mar 25 | Fon Fontwell | 26f GS | 5HcHM | 10-10 | 3/7 | Pipers Cross (7¼L) | 20/1 | 82 | 78 |
| 30 Jan 25 | Wcn Wincanton | 21.5f Hy | 4NvHM | 10-12 | 5/8 | Bobbi With An I (33L) | 250/1 | - | 62 |
| 18 Jan 25 | Tau Taunton | 19f GS | 4MdH | 10-8 | 8/12 | Just A Rose (83L) | 250/1 | - | 43 |
| 15 Dec 24 | Wdr Windsor | 20f GS | 4NvH | 10-2 | 4/4 | Ma Shantou (34L) | 150/1 | - | 84 |
| 21 Nov 24 | War Warwick | 16f GS | 5NHFM | 10-11 | 8/11 | Charisma Cat (27L) | 100/1 | - | 67 |
Running well when crashing out two from home at Taunton 17 days ago
53336F
Age: 6
Weight: 10-12
OR: 80
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 25 | Tau Taunton | 24f Gd | 5HcH | 10-8 p | F/10 | Skin Full () | 16/1 | 80 | 87 |
| 3 Feb 25 | Sth Southwell | 24.5f GS | 5HcH | 11-2 p | 6/11 | Edgewell (23L) | 12/1 | 83 | 73 |
| 19 Jan 25 | Fak Fakenham | 23.5f Gd | 5HcH | 10-12 | 3/7 | Mersey Street (6¼L) | 12/1 | 84 | 86 |
| 16 Dec 24 | Sth Southwell | 20.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-0 p | 3/11 | Annaharvey Lad (8¼L) | 18/1 | 84 | 83 |
| 4 Nov 24 | Plu Plumpton | 20.5f Gd | 4NvH | 11-0 t | 3/5 | Prince Imperial (45L) | 40/1 | - | 69 |
| 22 Oct 24 | Exe Exeter | 18.5f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 | 5/9 | Pony Soprano (30L) | 150/1 | - | 83 |
Continues to fall in the weights but he's had a few chances now in handicaps
PP0658
Age: 8
Weight: 10-9
OR: 77
Days: 34
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 25 | War Warwick | 26f Sft | 5HcH | 10-4 tv | 8/12 | Barricane (22L) | 9/1 | 80 | 61 |
| 3 Feb 25 | Sth Southwell | 24.5f GS | 5HcH | 11-3 tv | 5/11 | Edgewell (21L) | 50/1 | 84 | 77 |
| 17 Jan 25 | Mar Market Rasen | 16.5f GS | 5HcH | 11-4 v1 | 6/7 | Double Oban (17½L) | 18/1 | 90 | 74 |
| 12 Dec 24 | Tau Taunton | 24f Gd | 5HcH | 11-7 p | 11/15 | Despereaux (35L) | 100/1 | 94 | 70 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 19.5f Gd | 5HcH | 11-10 p1 | PU/11 | Orchestra () | 33/1 | 96 | - |
| 23 Oct 24 | Fon Fontwell | 22f Sft | 5HcH | 12-0 t1 | PU/8 | Golden Ambition () | 16/1 | 98 | - |
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
Should have run better only 19 days ago at Hereford when back on good ground
34U004
Age: 8
Weight: 10-9
OR: 77
Days: 19
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 25 | Her Hereford | 25.5f Gd | 5HcH | 10-8 p | 4/12 | Musique De Fee (47L) | 10/1 | 79 | 51 |
| 21 Feb 25 | War Warwick | 26f Sft | 5HcH | 10-4 p | 10/12 | Barricane (43L) | 7/2F | 80 | 40 |
| 13 Jan 25 | Exe Exeter | 21.5f Sft | 5HcH | 10-7 p | 10/15 | Coconut Twist (31L) | 17/2 | 82 | 59 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Her Hereford | 25.5f GS | 4HcH | 10-2 p | UR/10 | Gustoso () | 7/2 | 84 | 69 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 25f Gd | 5HcH | 10-11 p | 4/14 | Braganza Bay (2¾L) | 7/1 | 82 | 82 |
| 24 Oct 24 | Lud Ludlow | 24f GS | 5HcH | 10-10 p | 3/10 | Prince De Juilley (3¼L) | 16/1 | 82 | 83 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
Runner-up two starts back but then finished tailed off at Hereford; now 0-15
P-6627
Age: 8
Weight: 10-7
OR: 75
Days: 19
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 25 | Her Hereford | 25.5f Gd | 5HcH | 10-8 | 7/12 | Musique De Fee (50L) | 14/1 | 76 | 45 |
| 14 Feb 25 | Fak Fakenham | 23.5f Gd | 5HcH | 10-2 | 2/6 | Edgewell (3¼L) | 14/1 | 74 | 77 |
| 2 Dec 24 | Plu Plumpton | 20.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 10-5 | 6/11 | Ask Her Out (13L) | 12/1 | 71 | 60 |
| 11 Nov 24 | Kem Kempton | 24.5f Gd | 5NvHcH | 9-13 | 6/8 | Magical Arthur (23L) | 12/1 | 70 | 59 |
| 22 Jan 24 | Plu Plumpton | 20.5f Sft | 5HcH | 9-13 tv1 | PU/12 | Nickelforce () | 17/2 | 72 | - |
| 15 Jan 24 | Her Hereford | 25.5f Gd | 5NvHcH | 10-2 | 8/11 | Major Fortune (22L) | 22/1 | 74 | 58 |
Escapes a penalty for her recent 3m win at Southwell when in new cheekpieces
79-P01
Age: 8
Weight: 10-7
OR: 75
Days: 10
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar 25 | Sth Southwell | 24.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 10-9 p1 | 1/9 | Special John (4L) | 33/1 | 75 | 79 |
| 19 Feb 25 | Don Doncaster | 24.5f Gd | 5HcH | 10-10 | 12/14 | Jukebox Fury (43L) | 66/1 | 80 | 49 |
| 25 Nov 24 | Lud Ludlow | 21.5f GS | 5NvHcHM | 11-0 | PU/10 | Olivia Kate () | 18/1 | 84 | - |
| 30 Jan 24 | Chp Chepstow | 16f Hy | 4NvHM | 10-11 | 9/12 | Chosen Hero (53L) | 33/1 | - | 48 |
| 5 Jan 24 | Lud Ludlow | 21.5f Sft | 4MdH | 11-1 | 7/16 | Awaythelad (31L) | 300/1 | - | 78 |
| 15 Dec 23 | Don Doncaster | 19.5f GS | 3NvH | 10-2 | 10/17 | Lucky Place (47L) | 300/1 | - | 77 |
0-9 but there are races in her off this mark and good ground could be ideal
5-2434
Age: 6
Weight: 10-6
OR: 74
Days: 141
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov 24 | Chp Chepstow | 23.5f GS | 5HcHM | 9-13 t | 4/17 | I'm On My Way (9¾L) | 17/2 | 74 | 73 |
| 21 Oct 24 | Plu Plumpton | 25f GS | 5HcHM | 10-2 t1 | 3/9 | Belles Benefit (10L) | 11/2 | 74 | 70 |
| 5 Jul 24 | Nab Newton Abbot | 21.5f Gd | 5HcHM | 10-0 | 4/9 | Only Fools (6L) | 3/1 | 74 | 75 |
| 30 May 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 24f Gd | 5HcHM | 10-1 | 2/12 | Jolie Baie (¾L) | 5/1 | 71 | 75 |
| 24 Apr 24 | Lud Ludlow | 21.5f Gd | 5NvHcHM | 10-0 | 5/9 | Mrs Tabitha (6L) | 17/2 | 71 | 67 |
| 18 Mar 24 | Fon Fontwell | 19f Hy | 5HcHM | 9-13 | 4/6 | Only Fools (17L) | 9/2 | 74 | 66 |
No worthwhile form over fences and hurdles since returning from a long absence
6/7P8P
Age: 13
Weight: 10-5
OR: 66
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 25 | Plu Plumpton | 20f Gd | 5NvHcCh | 9-9 p | PU/10 | Taxus Baccata () | 150/1 | 74 | - |
| 6 Feb 25 | Hun Huntingdon | 19.5f GS | 5HcH | 9-13 | 8/9 | Tramuntana (37L) | 150/1 | 74 | 37 |
| 20 Dec 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 22f Sft | 5HcH | 9-9 | PU/13 | Emma Hamilton () | 100/1 | 79 | - |
| 24 Oct 24 | Lud Ludlow | 24f GS | 5HcH | 9-9 | 7/10 | Prince De Juilley (20L) | 200/1 | 74 | 60 |
| 8 Jan 21 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 16f St/Slw | 4NHF | 11-5 p | 6/8 | Whitlock (4½L) | 125/1 | - | 90 |
| 18 Oct 20 | Ffo Ffos Las | 24f Gd | 5HcH | 10-5 p1 | 6/17 | Memphis Bell (30L) | 80/1 | 78 | 60 |
4
Victory Club
T: Harriet Dickin
-06575
Age: 8
Weight: 11-8
OR: 90
Days: 8
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar 25 | Hun Huntingdon | 16.5f Gd | 5HcCh | 11-4 tb1 | 5/5 | Iskar d'Airy (37L) | 10/1 | 90 | 79 |
| 20 Feb 25 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-11 tp1 | 7/13 | Kingoftheswingerz (13L) | 40/1 | 94 | 87 |
| 31 Dec 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 16f GS | 5HcH | 11-12 | 5/11 | Eaton Anne (24L) | 40/1 | 98 | 83 |
| 18 Dec 24 | Lin Lingfield | 16f Sft | 5HcH | 11-2 | 6/7 | Snapius (24L) | 20/1 | 102 | 78 |
| 15 Nov 24 | Chl Cheltenham | 21f Gd | 3HcH | 10-2 | 16/16 | Double Powerful (32L) | 50/1 | 102 | 82 |
| 27 Mar 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 15f Sft | 4MdH | 11-6 | 2/8 | Don't Tell Su (6L) | 22/1 | - | 96 |
Verdict
Lizzie Rey has no penalty so has to be feared but HONEY JACK is now tongue tied after making a noise last time at Taunton.
Honey Jack
Betting Forecast:
2/1 Lizzie Rey,
5/1 Honey Jack,
6/1 Luna Run,
13/2 Seasmoke,
7/1 De Vega's Warrior,
8/1 The Dark Edge,
10/1 Newtonian,
12/1 Lyness Dancer,
20/1 Just Four Fame,
One Man Party,
100/1 The Last Melon
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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