'He looks massively overpriced' - Liam's 20/1 Dublin Racing Festival best bet
18 hours ago
SOUTHWELL (AW)
30 January 2025
Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div I) (Class 5) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 7f 14y
- Going: Standard
- Runners
- 8
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Tapeta
- Stalls
- Inside
- Weather
- Scattered showers
Selection
Selection
Selected At
Tea Sea
Selected at:
10/11
Tony Carroll’s Tea Sea has been in fine recent form, winning his last two starts by narrow margins. The handicapper has only pushed him up a couple of pounds for his most recent success and he could have a bit in hand still.
Bookmaker
Offer
Best Odds
Bet Here
10/11
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (0%)
All wins at sprint trips, he's not in great form and hasn't run well here in the past
5100-5
Age: 5
Weight: 9-9
OR: 67
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan 25 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f St | 5Hc | 9-6 | 5/8 | Prince Of Bel Lir (4¼L) | 33/1 | 68 | 65 |
| 1 Jan 25 | Fak Fakenham | 16f GS | 3MdH | 11-5 | PU/9 | Lindy Reilly () | 125/1 | - | - |
| 6 Dec 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St | 5Hc | 9-3 | 11/12 | Pals Battalion (30L) | 33/1 | 69 | - |
| 4 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 6f St | 6Hc | 9-13 | 11/11 | Willolarupi (31L) | 6/1 | 72 | - |
| 31 Oct 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 6f St | 6Hc | 10-0 | 1/9 | Sir Rodneyredblood (nk) | 11/1 | 67 | 73 |
| 17 Oct 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 5f St | 5Hc | 9-9 | 5/7 | Cabeza De Llave (5¼L) | 20/1 | 68 | 57 |
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 16 in the last 14 days (0%)
Extended losing sequence on the AW to 21 when down the field over C&D a month ago
29588-
Age: 6
Weight: 9-8
OR: 66
Days: 33
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 5Hc | 9-7 | 8/12 | Fools Rush In (5L) | 22/1 | 68 | 63 |
| 21 Dec 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 7f St | 5Hc | 9-7 | 8/11 | King's School (4L) | 16/1 | 69 | 68 |
| 3 Dec 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 7f St | 5Hc | 9-5 | 5/9 | Izzari (3½L) | 18/1 | 70 | 72 |
| 12 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 8f St | 3Hc | 8-7 | 9/12 | Qazaq (7½L) | 66/1 | 71 | 65 |
| 24 Oct 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 5Hc | 9-5 | 2/12 | How Impressive (1¾L) | 11/1 | 71 | 76 |
| 21 Oct 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 8f St | 4Hc | 8-12 | 9/12 | Lough Leane (6½L) | 33/1 | 71 | 66 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Triple winner but finished down the field in both his runs for this yard
8110-7
Age: 5
Weight: 9-7
OR: 65
Days: 10
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 25 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 5Hc | 9-5 | 7/8 | Fools Rush In (4½L) | 28/1 | 65 | 58 |
| 13 Dec 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 6f St | 5Hc | 10-4 | 10/12 | Ormolulu (10L) | 28/1 | 65 | 44 |
| 9 Nov 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 10-1 | 1/11 | Starshot (2¼L) | 8/11F | 58 | 70 |
| 31 Oct 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-9 | 1/11 | Urban Dandy (2½L) | 7/1 | 52 | 66 |
| 22 Oct 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-3 | 8/8 | Barnaby (7L) | 7/2 | 52 | 43 |
| 15 Oct 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-6 | 2/8 | Front Gunner (2L) | 4/1 | 52 | 59 |
C
2 x Course Winner - Won 2 times before at this course
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 15 in the last 14 days (0%)
Narrow winner of his last two races, over 7f at Wolverhampton and 1m here
8731-1
Age: 5
Weight: 9-7
OR: 65
Days: 27
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 25 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 8f St | 6Hc | 9-7 | 1/10 | Mercurius Power (hd) | 4/1 | 63 | 72 |
| 20 Dec 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-7 | 1/11 | Rosenpur (½L) | 9/2 | 60 | 72 |
| 4 Dec 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 7f St | 5Hc | 9-3 | 3/12 | Monsieur Beaulieu (5¼L) | 18/1 | 62 | 63 |
| 20 Aug 24 | Bri Brighton | 7f GF | 5Hc | 9-6 b | 7/8 | Shaw Park (11½L) | 10/1 | 64 | 41 |
| 9 Jul 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 8f St | 5Hc | 9-4 | 8/9 | Dutch Kingdom (4¾L) | 10/1 | 65 | 62 |
| 22 Dec 23 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 8f St | 6Hc | 9-7 b | 5/12 | Soames Forsyte (3¾L) | 3/1F | 65 | 66 |
Not a lot to shout about in four starts since returning from a break
6605-7
Age: 4
Weight: 9-6
OR: 64
Days: 16
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 25 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 7f St | 5Hc | 9-0 | 7/7 | William Dewhirst (11½L) | 33/1 | 66 | 45 |
| 13 Dec 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 5Hc | 9-2 | 5/8 | Bella Bisbee (3¾L) | 12/1 | 68 | 64 |
| 1 Nov 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 8f Gd | 5Hc | 9-9 | 10/14 | Sixfiveseven (17L) | 16/1 | 70 | 41 |
| 16 Sep 24 | Thi Thirsk | 7f GS | 53yHc | 9-7 | 6/10 | Count Palatine (5L) | 15/2 | 71 | 68 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Chs Chester | 6f GS | 43yHc | 8-8 | 6/10 | Stop The Cavalry (4¾L) | 22/1 | 73 | 68 |
| 6 Jun 24 | Hay Haydock | 7f Gd | 53yHc | 9-8 | 3/10 | Sedgemoor (3¼L) | 9/2 | 70 | 72 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 5 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (50%)
Multiple winning veteran who has been running well for a while now; solid chance
413-24
Age: 12
Weight: 9-1
OR: 59
Days: 16
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 25 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-8 | 4/11 | Soames Forsyte (3L) | 9/1 | 59 | 60 |
| 4 Jan 25 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-8 | 2/8 | City Cyclone (3L) | 10/1 | 59 | 62 |
| 20 Dec 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-6 | 3/11 | Tea Sea (2L) | 22/1 | 59 | 65 |
| 18 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-9 | 1/11 | Tenyatta (nk) | 6/1 | 57 | 66 |
| 4 Nov 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-6 | 4/8 | Harbour Vision (2L) | 4/1 | 57 | 60 |
| 19 Oct 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 5Hc | 8-12 | 2/10 | Zu Run (1½L) | 16/1 | 57 | 62 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 16 in the last 14 days (0%)
AW wins include one here but he's easy enough to oppose in current form; tries cheekpieces
05-988
Age: 7
Weight: 8-12
OR: 56
Days: 6
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 25 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-3 b | 8/8 | Rich Rhythm (7¼L) | 40/1 | 59 | 48 |
| 13 Jan 25 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-3 b | 8/9 | River Wharfe (10½L) | 33/1 | 59 | 36 |
| 3 Jan 25 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 8f St | 6Hc | 9-6 b | 9/10 | Tea Sea (22L) | 40/1 | 62 | 20 |
| 10 Dec 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-3 b | 5/12 | Wilde And Dandy (6L) | 40/1 | 64 | 57 |
| 2 Dec 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-8 b | 10/10 | Yoshimi (8¼L) | 16/1 | 64 | 47 |
| 2 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 9-12 b | 7/8 | King Of Ithaca (8¾L) | 12/1 | 65 | 50 |
Inconsistent but ran one of her better races to hit the frame over C&D last week
9795-3
Age: 4
Weight: 8-4
OR: 45
Days: 7
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 25 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 8-8 | 3/8 | Reginald Charles (2L) | 18/1 | 46 | 48 |
| 4 Nov 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 6Hc | 8-8 | 5/8 | Harbour Vision (2½L) | 80/1 | 46 | 46 |
| 18 Oct 24 | Red Redcar | 7f Sft | 6Hc | 8-5 | 9/10 | Temper Trap (40L) | 100/1 | 46 | - |
| 29 Jul 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 6Hc | 8-11 | 7/8 | Amroon (14½L) | 40/1 | 50 | 20 |
| 1 Jul 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f St | 6Hc | 9-2 | 9/9 | Magic Gem (8¼L) | 66/1 | 55 | 38 |
| 23 May 24 | Cat Catterick | 6f Sft | 63yHc | 9-2 | 7/7 | Wichahpi (18½L) | 11/1 | 58 | 10 |
Verdict
Not many in here arrive in much form but that's not the case with TEA SEA (nap) who has every chance of completing a hat-trick.
Tea Sea
Betting Forecast:
10/11 Tea Sea,
9/2 Reputation,
8/1 Fistral Beach,
10/1 Shaw Park,
No Saint,
12/1 Kodi Red,
16/1 Woodleigh,
20/1 Embarked
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