'He looks massively overpriced' - Liam's 20/1 Dublin Racing Festival best bet
17 hours ago
CHELMSFORD (AW)
30 January 2025
bet365 Handicap (GBB Plus Race) (Class 4) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 1m 2f
- Going: Standard To Slow
- Runners
- 9
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Polytrack
- Stalls
- Inside
- Weather
- Mostly cloudy
Selection
Selection
Selected At
Samra Star
Selected at:
7/2
Samra Star won a Wolverhampton novice over an extended 1m1f back in August and she remains unexposed. Her last two starts in handicap company have been reasonable enough and the return to 1m2f could facilitate some improvement.
Bookmaker
Offer
Best Odds
Bet Here
7/2
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Could do with settling better but not beaten far in first two handicaps and not ruled out
4176-3
Age: 4
Weight: 9-12
OR: 81
Days: 24
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jan 25 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 8.5f St | 4HcF | 9-13 h1 | 3/5 | Radiant Beauty (2½L) | 9/4 | 82 | 85 |
| 7 Nov 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 8f St | 4Hc | 9-10 | 6/9 | Hat Toss (2¼L) | 11/2 | 83 | 86 |
| 3 Sep 24 | Goo Goodwood | 10f Gd | 4Nv | 9-6 | 7/10 | Sir Lowry's Pass (16½L) | 17/2 | - | 56 |
| 16 Aug 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f St | 5NvF | 9-2 | 1/11 | Islanova (2L) | 12/1 | - | 86 |
| 15 Jul 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 5MdF | 9-2 | 4/12 | Dubai Treasure (5¾L) | 40/1 | - | 65 |
In good form over 1m the last twice; can play a leading role if seeing out the trip
15-434
Age: 5
Weight: 9-11
OR: 79
Days: 12
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 25 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 8f St | 3Hc | 9-0 p | 4/12 | Dembe (1¼L) | 7/1 | 79 | 86 |
| 11 Jan 25 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 8f St/Slw | 3Hc | 8-12 p | 3/16 | Apiarist (1L) | 4/1 | 79 | 86 |
| 4 Jan 25 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 8.5f St | 4Hc | 9-7 p | 4/7 | Smart Hero (3L) | 11/2 | 80 | 84 |
| 21 Oct 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 8f St | 4Hc | 9-12 p | 5/11 | Glam Squad (3¼L) | 15/2 | 80 | 84 |
| 7 Oct 24 | Pon Pontefract | 8f Sft | 5Hc | 9-11 p | 1/9 | Style Of Life (nk) | 9/2 | 77 | 86 |
| 1 Oct 24 | Ayr Ayr | 8f Gd | 5Hc | 9-11 p | 2/9 | Gracious Leader (hd) | 6/1 | 77 | 86 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Went close at Wolverhampton two starts ago and had wide trip when fifth there last time
09725-
Age: 7
Weight: 9-11
OR: 79
Days: 41
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f St | 4Hc | 9-7 | 5/10 | Eagle Day (5L) | 17/2 | 80 | 79 |
| 19 Oct 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f St | 4Hc | 9-13 | 2/11 | Beylerbeyi (¾L) | 8/1 | 77 | 86 |
| 21 Sep 24 | Chs Chester | 10.5f GS | 4Hc | 9-13 | 7/11 | Qitaal (21L) | 100/1 | 79 | 51 |
| 1 Aug 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f St | 3Hc | 9-3 | 9/12 | Bint Al Daar (6¾L) | 33/1 | 81 | 76 |
| 15 Apr 24 | Wdr Windsor | 8f Gd | 4Hc | 9-4 | 11/12 | Perseverants (12½L) | 16/1 | 82 | 65 |
| 29 Mar 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 10f St | 3Hc | 9-1 | 5/14 | Inspiritus (3¼L) | 25/1 | 82 | 85 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 26 in the last 14 days (4%)
Step back in right direction last month and latest run can be excused; not discounted
0R94-9
Age: 5
Weight: 9-10
OR: 78
Days: 12
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 25 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 10f St | 2HcF | 8-12 | 9/12 | Charlotte's Web (5¼L) | 40/1 | 80 | 78 |
| 26 Dec 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f St | 3Hc | 9-3 | 4/7 | King's Code (2¾L) | 50/1 | 82 | 84 |
| 3 Dec 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 8f St | 4Hc | 9-11 | 9/12 | Bravo Zulu (7¾L) | 50/1 | 84 | 75 |
| 21 Sep 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 10f GF | 4HcF | 10-0 | RR/7 | Mrs Twig () | 40/1 | 84 | - |
| 1 Mar 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 10f St | 2Hc | 8-5 | 11/12 | Penzance (14½L) | 25/1 | 85 | 66 |
| 20 Jan 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 10f St | 2HcF | 9-7 | 3/8 | Oh So Grand (4¼L) | 33/1 | 85 | 89 |
w1
Wind Op - First run after wind operation
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
One to watch in the betting after break and wind surgery but a major turnaround is needed
14870-
Age: 5
Weight: 9-4
OR: 72
Days: 196
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 24 | Eps Epsom | 12f Gd | 5Hc | 10-9 t | 11/11 | Gordon Grey (45L) | 33/1 | 75 | 16 |
| 21 Jun 24 | Goo Goodwood | 12f Gd | 4Hc | 9-7 t | 7/7 | Mr Freedom (9¼L) | 16/1 | 78 | 72 |
| 2 Mar 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 12f St/Slw | 4Hc | 9-8 t | 8/9 | True Courage (9L) | 9/1 | 79 | 75 |
| 31 Jan 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 12f St/Slw | 4Hc | 9-13 t | 4/9 | Ocean Heights (2¼L) | 15/2 | 80 | 83 |
| 10 Jan 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 11f St/Slw | 5Nv | 9-4 t | 1/8 | Birthday Angel (1¾L) | 9/1 | 80 | 76 |
| 16 Dec 23 | Don Doncaster | 16.5f GS | 43yMdH | 11-1 t | 4/8 | Whispering Royal (31L) | 8/1 | - | 71 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 15 in the last 14 days (0%)
Continues to tumble down the weights but he's failed to beat a rival the last twice
6879-6
Age: 5
Weight: 9-2
OR: 70
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jan 25 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 8f St/Slw | 4Hc | 9-3 ht1 | 6/6 | Invincible Aura (15L) | 80/1 | 74 | 48 |
| 7 Nov 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 8f St | 4Hc | 9-6 | 9/9 | Hat Toss (9½L) | 66/1 | 77 | 63 |
| 13 Sep 24 | San Sandown | 10f Sft | 4Hc | 10-2 | 7/9 | Tipsy Tiger (10L) | 50/1 | 80 | 67 |
| 7 Jul 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 10f St | 3Hc | 9-4 | 8/9 | Wadacre Gomez (5¾L) | 8/1 | 83 | 80 |
| 29 Jun 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St/Slw | 3Hc | 9-0 | 6/10 | Bystander (6½L) | 18/1 | 86 | 83 |
| 16 Feb 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f St | 3Hc | 9-7 | 6/10 | Wadacre Gomez (6¾L) | 15/2 | 88 | 83 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 4 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (36%)
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 14 in the last 14 days (0%)
Won off 2lb higher at Kempton last June but not at the same level more recently
0465-5
Age: 6
Weight: 9-2
OR: 70
Days: 16
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 25 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 11f St | 5HcF | 9-10 h | 5/7 | Caramay (5L) | 7/2 | 72 | 71 |
| 28 Dec 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 12f St | 5HcF | 9-13 | 5/6 | Alpine Oasis (11L) | 9/4F | 74 | 68 |
| 4 Sep 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 12f St/Slw | 4Hc | 9-6 h | 6/7 | Goblet Of Fire (6½L) | 9/2 | 76 | 72 |
| 13 Aug 24 | Lin Lingfield | 9f GF | 3HcF | 9-7 h | 4/7 | Shemozzle (5¼L) | 10/1 | 77 | 77 |
| 19 Jul 24 | Nby Newbury | 13.5f Gd | 3HcF | 8-11 h | 10/11 | Attila The Honey (11½L) | 10/1 | 78 | 73 |
| 29 Jun 24 | Wdr Windsor | 11.5f GF | 2Hc | 8-1 h | 3/5 | To Catch A Thief (2L) | 9/1 | 80 | 82 |
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
Won over C&D last month; fair fourth at Southwell latest; firmly in calculations back here
4816-4
Age: 4
Weight: 8-13
OR: 68
Days: 15
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 25 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 11f St | 5Hc | 9-11 v | 4/11 | The Bay Warrior (4½L) | 11/1 | 69 | 68 |
| 27 Dec 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f St | 5Hc | 9-4 v | 6/12 | Finn Russell (7L) | 7/1 | 69 | 62 |
| 5 Dec 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 10f St/Slw | 6Hc | 9-11 v1 | 1/12 | Rainwater (2L) | 9/1 | 64 | 74 |
| 23 Nov 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St | 6Hc | 9-9 | 8/11 | Prince Achille (12L) | 12/1 | 65 | 50 |
| 7 Nov 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 10f St | 6Hc | 9-9 | 4/9 | Switchel (2¾L) | 13/2 | 66 | 69 |
| 26 Oct 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 8f St | 5Hc | 9-9 | 9/14 | Etretat (6½L) | 10/1 | 68 | 64 |
Won at Wolverhampton in November and has continued in good form (including C&D); player
1423-2
Age: 4
Weight: 8-11
OR: 66
Days: 9
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 25 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St | 5Hc | 9-7 | 2/9 | Joolianoss (½L) | 9/1 | 66 | 74 |
| 28 Dec 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St | 5Hc | 9-1 | 3/8 | Humble Spark (1¾L) | 5/1 | 66 | 71 |
| 5 Dec 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 10f St/Slw | 6Hc | 9-9 | 2/12 | Palazzo Persico (2L) | 7/2F | 65 | 71 |
| 23 Nov 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St | 6Hc | 9-9 | 4/11 | Prince Achille (3½L) | 3/1F | 65 | 66 |
| 15 Nov 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f St | 6Hc | 9-8 | 1/11 | Have You A Minute (nk) | 10/1 | 60 | 73 |
| 29 Oct 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 63yHc | 9-6 p | 5/12 | Barnaby (6½L) | 25/1 | 62 | 55 |
Verdict
Chelmsford brings out the best in PALAZZO PERSICO and he is taken to post his third C&D win. Rainwater can pose the main threat.
Palazzo Persico
Betting Forecast:
7/2 Rainwater,
4/1 Urban Sprawl,
Palazzo Persico,
11/2 Samra Star,
6/1 Aiming High,
8/1 Arcadian Nights,
12/1 Dayzee,
Running The Game,
50/1 Forca Timao
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