'It could be the race of the year' - John Durkan Memorial Punchestown Chase preview
8 hours ago
NEWCASTLE (AW)
16 November 2024
Saturday 16th November
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
BetUK Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 1m 2f 42y
- Going: Standard
- Runners
- 10
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Tapeta
- Stalls
- Outside
- Weather
- Mostly cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
D
6 x Distance Winner - Won 6 times before at this distance
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 8 wins from 20 in the last 14 days (40%)
Readily won Kempton Listed race in April; Group 1 penalty this time but still one to beat
173172
Age: 6
Weight: 9-11
OR: 118
Days: 76
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sep 24 | Bad Baden-Baden | 12f Gd | G1 | 9-6 | 2/6 | Fantastic Moon (1¼L) | EvensF | - | 119 |
| 27 Jul 24 | Asc Ascot | 12f GF | G1 | 9-9 t | 7/9 | Goliath (16L) | 25/1 | 118 | 100 |
| 30 Jun 24 | Sai Saint-Cloud | 12f GS | G1 | 9-2 t | 1/7 | Feed The Flame (1¾L) | 73/10 | - | 119 |
| 2 Jun 24 | Cha Chantilly | 12f Hy | G2 | 9-0 t | 3/7 | Junko (1¼L) | 58/10 | - | 116 |
| 28 Apr 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 10f Y | G1 | 9-0 t | 7/11 | Romantic Warrior (4¼L) | 12/1 | - | 116 |
| 1 Apr 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 10f St/Slw | L | 9-3 t | 1/5 | Okeechobee (3L) | 4/6F | 120 | 119 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Fair fourth in Winter Derby but below that level in the spring; off six months (gelded)
-64764
Age: 5
Weight: 9-4
OR: 102
Days: 176
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 24 | Goo Goodwood | 10f Gd | L | 9-3 | 4/6 | Isle Of Jura (4¼L) | 11/2 | 103 | 104 |
| 17 Apr 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 9f Gd | G3 | 9-2 | 6/9 | Ottoman Fleet (6¼L) | 33/1 | 103 | 102 |
| 29 Mar 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St | 2Hc | 9-9 | 7/14 | Elegant Man (5¼L) | 33/1 | 105 | 104 |
| 24 Feb 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 11f St | G3 | 9-3 | 4/6 | Military Order (3L) | 25/1 | 103 | 109 |
| 25 Jan 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 11f St | 2 | 9-4 | 6/6 | Enemy (5L) | 10/1 | 106 | 104 |
| 28 Nov 23 | Dea Deauville | 9.5f St | L | 9-0 | 2/14 | Dawn Intello (¾L) | 81/10 | - | 104 |
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Distance Specialist - 2 wins from 3 starts at this distance (67%)
Soft ground an excuse last time and very solid record in handicaps otherwise; 2-2 on AW
-32410
Age: 4
Weight: 9-4
OR: 101
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 24 | Asc Ascot | 8f Sft | 2Hc | 9-3 p | 16/20 | Carrytheone (24L) | 9/1 | 101 | 56 |
| 14 Sep 24 | Don Doncaster | 10f Gd | 2Hc | 9-1 p | 1/10 | Liberty Lane (nk) | 100/30F | 97 | 105 |
| 19 Jun 24 | Asc Ascot | 8f GF | 2Hc | 8-13 v1 | 4/29 | Wild Tiger (1½L) | 20/1 | 97 | 102 |
| 19 May 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 10f GF | 3Hc | 9-9 p | 2/7 | Mythical Guest (1¾L) | 7/2 | 94 | 103 |
| 16 Apr 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 8f Gd | 2Hc | 9-2 p | 3/17 | Hafeet Alain (¼L) | 18/1 | 93 | 98 |
| 7 Nov 23 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 10f St/Slw | 3Hc | 9-11 p | 1/7 | Queen Regent (½L) | 5/2 | 89 | 97 |
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Distance Specialist - 3 wins from 5 starts at this distance (60%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 5 wins from 19 in the last 14 days (26%)
Placed in Group 3/Listed since reappearing this autumn; will go well again is in same form
111-32
Age: 5
Weight: 9-4
OR: 111
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 10f Sft | L | 9-6 | 2/5 | Bolster (nse) | 4/1 | 107 | 113 |
| 12 Oct 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 9f GS | G3 | 9-5 | 3/8 | Lead Artist (3¾L) | 20/1 | 102 | 110 |
| 30 Jun 23 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 10f Gd | 3Hc | 10-2 | 1/10 | Queen Of The Skies (2¾L) | 4/1 | 93 | 110 |
| 29 May 23 | Wdr Windsor | 10f GF | 3Hc | 9-5 | 1/7 | Paradias (3L) | 11/4F | 86 | 102 |
| 8 May 23 | Wdr Windsor | 10f Sft | 5Md | 9-13 | 1/8 | Lunatick (1¼L) | 14/1 | - | 85 |
| 17 Apr 23 | Red Redcar | 10f Sft | 5Nv | 9-13 | 4/6 | Dubai Crystal (6L) | 100/30 | - | 74 |
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 28 in the last 14 days (4%)
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (0%)
Good second in Sandown Listed race in July but below par since, including AW latest
256765
Age: 5
Weight: 9-4
OR: 100
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 8f St | 2Hc | 9-12 p1 | 5/6 | Sardinian Warrior (6¾L) | 33/1 | 103 | 102 |
| 12 Oct 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 9f GS | G3 | 9-5 | 6/8 | Lead Artist (13½L) | 40/1 | 105 | 90 |
| 25 Sep 24 | Goo Goodwood | 10f Hy | L | 9-4 | 7/9 | Novus (12½L) | 9/1 | 106 | 93 |
| 24 Aug 24 | Wdr Windsor | 10f Sft | G3 | 9-7 | 6/7 | My Prospero (6L) | 18/1 | 107 | 104 |
| 20 Jul 24 | Nby Newbury | 10f GF | L | 9-8 | 5/5 | Phantom Flight (4½L) | 13/2 | 109 | 102 |
| 5 Jul 24 | San Sandown | 10f Gd | L | 9-9 | 2/6 | Al Mubhir (1¾L) | 100/30 | 109 | 112 |
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Still smart at 8 but probably not quite so good on AW as turf
654140
Age: 8
Weight: 9-4
OR: 101
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 24 | Asc Ascot | 8f Sft | 2Hc | 9-9 p | 14/20 | Carrytheone (17L) | 50/1 | 110 | 82 |
| 21 Sep 24 | Ayr Ayr | 10f GF | L | 9-5 p | 4/9 | Persica (2¼L) | 8/1 | 110 | 111 |
| 24 Aug 24 | Yor York | 10.5f GF | 2Hc | 9-7 p | 1/17 | Dual Identity (1L) | 14/1 | 105 | 116 |
| 2 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 9f GF | 2 | 9-7 p1 | 4/7 | Haunted Dream (1½L) | 28/1 | 105 | 106 |
| 29 Mar 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St | 2Hc | 9-6 v | 5/14 | Elegant Man (5L) | 16/1 | 102 | 102 |
| 9 Mar 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 8.5f St | 2Hc | 9-5 v | 6/11 | Kingdom Come (3½L) | 12/1 | 103 | 103 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 18 in the last 14 days (0%)
Group 3 winner at Jebel Ali in February but twice below par at Meydan in March; off since
1-1158
Age: 4
Weight: 9-4
OR: 107
Days: 231
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar 24 | Mey Meydan | 8f Fs | G2 | 9-0 tv | 8/13 | Two Rivers Over (10½L) | 11/1 | 107 | 86 |
| 2 Mar 24 | Mey Meydan | 8f Fs | G3 | 9-0 t | 5/16 | Laurel River (12L) | 7/4F | 107 | 86 |
| 10 Feb 24 | Jeb Jebel Ali | 8f Fs | G3 | 9-0 t | 1/13 | Down On Da Bayou (3¾L) | 2/5F | 102 | 100 |
| 20 Jan 24 | Jeb Jebel Ali | 8f Fs | 9-0 t | 1/9 | In Crowd (4L) | 5/4F | 102 | 103 | |
| 30 Dec 23 | Jeb Jebel Ali | 8f Fs | Hc | 9-7 t | 1/8 | Tenbury Wells (hd) | 9/2 | 98 | 102 |
| 6 Jul 23 | Lon Longchamp | 10f Sft | 3yHc | 9-6 | 9/9 | Kovanof (6¼L) | 17/5 | - | 88 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 1 wins from 31 in the last 14 days (3%)
Smart form when third on AW in February but below par on turf since; bounce back needed
4-3095
Age: 4
Weight: 9-4
OR: 108
Days: 35
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 9f GS | G3 | 9-5 | 5/8 | Lead Artist (9L) | 10/1 | 111 | 99 |
| 17 Apr 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 9f Gd | G3 | 9-2 | 9/9 | Ottoman Fleet (39L) | 17/2 | 112 | 30 |
| 24 Feb 24 | Jan Riyadh | 10.5f GF | G2 | 9-0 | 13/13 | Spirit Dancer (9¼L) | 6/1 | - | 101 |
| 25 Jan 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 11f St | 2 | 9-2 | 3/6 | Enemy (2L) | 3/1 | 113 | 109 |
| 23 Aug 23 | Yor York | 10.5f GF | G1 | 9-1 | 4/4 | Mostahdaf (7¼L) | 11/1 | 113 | 112 |
| 8 Jul 23 | Blm Belmont Park | 10f Fm | 3yG1 | 8-10 | 2/11 | Far Bridge (1L) | 43/20F | - | 114 |
C
3 x Course Winner - Won 3 times before at this course
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Course Specialist - 3 wins from 4 starts here (75%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 5 wins from 15 in the last 14 days (33%)
Really smart AW performer, including a Listed win; off since February but still respected
7021-3
Age: 6
Weight: 9-4
OR: 108
Days: 266
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 11f St | G3 | 9-3 | 3/6 | Military Order (2¾L) | 9/2 | 108 | 110 |
| 31 Dec 23 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 10f St | L | 9-10 | 1/8 | Base Note (¾L) | 5/4F | 105 | 106 |
| 18 Nov 23 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 10f St | L | 9-4 | 2/7 | Blue Trail (hd) | 6/1 | 103 | 110 |
| 30 Sep 23 | Nmk Newmarket | 9f GF | 2Hc | 9-7 | 27/34 | Astro King (12L) | 66/1 | 105 | 88 |
| 1 Apr 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 10f St/Slw | L | 9-3 | 7/7 | Foxes Tales (127L) | 7/1 | 105 | - |
| 25 Feb 23 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 10f St | G3 | 9-2 | 2/8 | Lord North (3¼L) | 9/2 | 103 | 111 |
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Third in AW Listed on second run but since allowed to leave Aidan O'Brien for 18,000gns
13
Age: 3
Weight: 9-1
OR: 105
Days: 50
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 24 | Dun Dundalk (AW) | 10.5f St | L | 9-2 | 3/9 | Bellezza (1L) | 9/4F | - | 99 |
| 22 Aug 24 | Leo Leopardstown | 8f Gd | Md | 9-1 | 1/11 | Touch The Sound (½L) | 11/4 | - | 87 |
Verdict
Three-time Group 1 winner DUBAI HONOUR (nap) is a potential cut above here, even with a 7lb penalty. Peace Man may follow him home.
Dubai Honour
Betting Forecast:
2/1 Dubai Honour,
11/4 Peace Man,
9/2 Tyrrhenian Sea,
15/2 The Foxes,
9/1 Swing Vote,
14/1 Daysofourlives,
16/1 Sir Busker,
20/1 Claymore,
33/1 Savvy Victory,
50/1 Platoon
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
