Market mover: handicap debutant backed into 5/1 from 16/1 at Wolverhampton
4 hours ago
WOLVERHAMPTON (AW)
8 July 2024
Monday 8th July
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
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- Distance: 6f 20y
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Selection
Selection
Selected At
Carmarthen
Selected at:
11/4
Carmarthen is a five-race maiden and there have been clear signs of improvement since switching to handicaps. He came within a neck of getting off the mark at Ffos Las recently and should be winning races sooner rather than later.
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11/4
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 4 wins from 14 in the last 14 days (29%)
Much better since dropped to 6f and handicapping and goes on the shortlist
807-32
Age: 3
Weight: 9-11
OR: 57
Days: 12
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 6f Gd | 63yHc | 9-5 p1 | 2/6 | Mullins Beach (nk) | 9/2 | 56 | 64 |
| 13 Jun 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 6f Sft | 63yHc | 9-10 | 3/9 | Piper's Fort (2½L) | 6/1 | 56 | 62 |
| 23 Sep 23 | Nby Newbury | 7f Hy | 42yNv | 9-2 | 7/7 | Feigning Madness (18½L) | 100/1 | - | 33 |
| 13 Sep 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 52yMdF | 9-2 | 11/14 | Star Music (17½L) | 14/1 | - | 35 |
| 7 Jun 23 | Nby Newbury | 6.5f GF | 42yMd | 9-2 | 8/10 | Rosallion (7¾L) | 25/1 | - | 50 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Just a single win to go with eight defeats at 5-1 or shorter; has the ability though
-42324
Age: 3
Weight: 9-8
OR: 54
Days: 25
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 6f Sft | 63yHc | 9-4 t | 4/9 | Piper's Fort (6L) | 7/1 | 55 | 49 |
| 23 May 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 6f St | 63yHc | 9-9 t | 2/9 | Katie G (1L) | 100/30C | 55 | 59 |
| 2 May 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St | 63yHc | 9-8 t | 3/11 | Cogsworth (1¾L) | 9/4F | 54 | 58 |
| 23 Apr 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 63yHc | 9-8 t | 2/9 | Interestnpenalties (1L) | 2/1F | 54 | 58 |
| 11 Jan 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 6f St | 63yHc | 9-9 | 4/12 | Badosa (2¾L) | 17/2 | 55 | 54 |
| 29 Dec 23 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 6f St | 6 | 8-9 t | 9/11 | Rusheen Boy (7¼L) | 8/1 | 55 | 26 |
Should be up to winning at this level but she'll want to settle better from a wide stall
002-63
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
OR: 53
Days: 34
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jun 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 7f St | 63yHc | 9-9 | 3/10 | Tronido (5¼L) | 5/1 | 54 | 52 |
| 8 May 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 63yHc | 8-13 | 6/10 | Tennessee Gold (4¼L) | 22/1 | 55 | 53 |
| 18 Oct 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 62yHc | 9-2 | 2/11 | Super Schwartz (1¼L) | 33/1 | 53 | 57 |
| 5 Aug 23 | Don Doncaster | 6f Sft | 62yHc | 9-0 h1 | 10/10 | Tiora (41L) | 28/1 | 56 | - |
| 12 Jul 23 | Yar Yarmouth | 5f GF | 52yNvF | 9-0 t1 | 10/10 | Harvanna (14L) | 33/1 | - | 24 |
| 24 May 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 52yNvF | 8-13 | 6/10 | Lincoln Legacy (6¼L) | 12/1 | - | 47 |
Worth monitoring in the market having pulled hard in three runs over further
967
Age: 3
Weight: 9-6
OR: 52
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun 24 | Lin Lingfield | 7.5f Gd | 5Nv | 8-13 | 7/10 | Due To Henry (15½L) | 50/1 | - | 39 |
| 22 May 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 5Nv | 9-0 h1 | 6/11 | Bengurion (7¾L) | 28/1 | - | 52 |
| 25 Apr 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St | 5Md | 9-1 | 9/12 | Miss Sunset Strip (8¾L) | 18/1 | - | 42 |
Off since below market expectations on her nursery debut (made most) seven months ago
9080-
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: 50
Days: 214
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 23 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 6f St | 62yHc | 9-7 | 12/12 | Lady In Havana (10½L) | 17/2 | 53 | 25 |
| 1 Nov 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 42yNvF | 9-2 | 8/10 | Topanga (11½L) | 125/1 | - | 49 |
| 24 May 23 | Yar Yarmouth | 5f GF | 22yMdF | 9-2 | 11/12 | Born To Rock (10L) | 66/1 | - | 50 |
| 24 Apr 23 | Wdr Windsor | 5f Sft | 52yNvF | 9-2 | 9/11 | Relief Rally (16L) | 14/1 | - | 26 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
Tail flasher who didn't go on for Richard Hughes; well held in two runs for this yard
628856
Age: 3
Weight: 9-2
OR: 48
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun 24 | Wdr Windsor | 5f GF | 63yHc | 8-13 | 6/7 | So Obsessed (6¼L) | 16/1 | 50 | 36 |
| 7 Jun 24 | Bri Brighton | 6f GF | 63yHc | 9-1 | 5/7 | Yiengaa (5¾L) | 40/1 | 52 | 44 |
| 23 May 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 6f St | 63yHc | 9-9 | 8/9 | Katie G (5¼L) | 8/1 | 55 | 45 |
| 2 May 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St | 63yHc | 9-10 | 8/11 | Cogsworth (6¾L) | 7/1 | 56 | 45 |
| 11 Apr 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 5f St | 5Md | 8-7 | 2/4 | Miss Anya (3¼L) | 12/1 | - | 55 |
| 22 Mar 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 6f St | 43yMd | 9-2 | 6/8 | No Half Measures (6¾L) | 14/1 | - | 53 |
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 16 in the last 14 days (0%)
Bit to prove but could do better down 2lb if able to lead again from a handy draw
666307
Age: 3
Weight: 9-1
OR: 47
Days: 10
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 6Hc | 8-10 | 7/12 | Fircombe Hall (5½L) | 11/1 | 49 | 39 |
| 18 Jun 24 | Bev Beverley | 7.5f GS | 6Hc | 8-6 | 10/11 | Sunny Orange (19½L) | 2/1F | 49 | 10 |
| 8 Jun 24 | Bev Beverley | 7.5f GF | 63yHc | 9-0 | 3/10 | This Years Love (1½L) | 9/1 | 49 | 51 |
| 31 May 24 | Cat Catterick | 5f GS | 63yHc | 8-12 | 6/8 | Dandy Fitz (7L) | 7/2J | 52 | 37 |
| 12 May 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St | 3Md | 9-1 | 6/9 | Storm Star (12L) | 100/1 | - | 43 |
| 5 May 24 | Ham Hamilton | 5f GS | 2Nv | 8-13 | 6/7 | Airman (8¾L) | 33/1 | - | 49 |
One of three to come away at Newcastle ten days ago; same mark and high on the shortlist
6590-2
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 46
Days: 10
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 6Hc | 8-7 | 2/12 | Fircombe Hall (¾L) | 28/1 | 46 | 52 |
| 12 Jul 23 | Cat Catterick | 5f Gd | 62yHc | 8-3 | 11/14 | Travel Candy (8L) | 33/1 | 45 | 19 |
| 16 Jun 23 | Yor York | 6f GF | 32ySl | 9-4 | 9/14 | Celestial Flight (9¼L) | 40/1 | - | 35 |
| 14 Jun 23 | Ham Hamilton | 5f GF | 52yMd | 9-7 | 5/5 | Scoops Ahoy (9¾L) | 10/1 | - | 29 |
| 26 May 23 | Pon Pontefract | 6f GF | 22yNv | 9-1 | 6/6 | Muqtahem (17L) | 22/1 | - | 23 |
Again pulled hard last time and perhaps the first-time hood will help but it will need to
40-408
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 45
Days: 12
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 63yHc | 8-7 | 8/10 | Viridian (15L) | 150/1 | 46 | 14 |
| 30 May 24 | Lin Lingfield | 6f GF | 63yHc | 9-0 p1 | 11/12 | Moreginplease (21L) | 66/1 | 46 | - |
| 9 Mar 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 5f St | 63yHc | 9-0 | 4/5 | So Obsessed (8L) | 10/1 | 47 | 27 |
| 13 Nov 23 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f St | 52yMd | 9-2 | 11/12 | Graceful Mary (9L) | 250/1 | - | 38 |
| 23 Oct 23 | Wdr Windsor | 5f Hy | 52yNv | 8-7 | 4/4 | Solar Aclaim (7¼L) | 28/1 | - | 45 |
| 13 Sep 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 52yMdF | 9-2 | 9/12 | Fair Angellica (10½L) | 150/1 | - | 38 |
Big prices all runs and is yet to finish placed; would be a surprise to see her involved
7-7696
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 45
Days: 41
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May 24 | Lei Leicester | 7f Hy | 63yHc | 9-0 | 6/13 | Tres Chic (10½L) | 40/1 | 46 | 26 |
| 2 Mar 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 63yHc | 9-0 | 9/12 | Sunblock (9½L) | 80/1 | 46 | 27 |
| 16 Feb 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f St | 63yHc | 9-0 | 6/10 | Southbank (3¼L) | 80/1 | 46 | 40 |
| 6 Jan 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 6f St | 53yNv | 9-2 | 7/8 | Cuban Tiger (11½L) | 200/1 | - | 35 |
| 22 Dec 23 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f St | 52yMd | 8-11 | 7/9 | El Bufalo (12L) | 250/1 | - | 30 |
| 16 Dec 23 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f St | 52yNv | 8-9 | 8/9 | Out Of The Stars (8¾L) | 150/1 | - | 41 |
2
(7)
D
She Is A Keeper b
J: Hollie Doyle
T: Gay Kelleway
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
-47958
Age: 3
Weight: 9-11
OR: 57
Days: 26
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 7f Sft | 63yHc | 9-11 b | 8/9 | Organic (15½L) | 11/1 | 60 | 26 |
| 28 May 24 | Lei Leicester | 7f Hy | 53yCl | 8-4 v1 | 5/8 | Indication Court (14½L) | 3/1 | 64 | 21 |
| 8 May 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 63yHc | 9-11 b | 9/10 | Tennessee Gold (9¼L) | 66/1 | 67 | 49 |
| 23 Apr 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 6f GF | 53yHcF | 9-10 b | 7/7 | Unico (4¾L) | 100/30F | 69 | 59 |
| 5 Feb 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 6f St | 53yHcF | 9-9 b | 4/8 | Free As A Bird (2½L) | 9/2 | 70 | 66 |
| 27 Oct 23 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 52yHc | 9-6 b | 4/10 | Mart (½L) | 7/1 | 70 | 71 |
3
(13)
Merrimack tv
1
J: Marco Ghiani
T: Stuart Williams
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 23 in the last 14 days (4%)
76-989
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
OR: 55
Days: 25
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 8f Sft | 63yHc | 8-13 tp1 | 9/9 | Atlantic Gamble (46L) | 125/1 | 60 | - |
| 28 May 24 | Lei Leicester | 7f Hy | 53yCl | 8-12 t | 8/8 | Indication Court (29L) | 50/1 | 65 | - |
| 30 Apr 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 8f Gd | 63yHc | 9-11 t | 9/9 | Born A Rebel (17L) | 12/1 | 67 | 36 |
| 25 Jul 23 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 52yNv | 9-4 t1 | 6/13 | Commander Of Life (3¼L) | 66/1 | - | 67 |
| 28 Jun 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 42yMd | 9-4 | 7/11 | Inishfallen (5¼L) | 14/1 | - | 58 |
| 15 Jun 23 | Not Nottingham | 6f GF | 52yNv | 9-7 | 8/8 | Rich Glory (15½L) | 4/1 | - | 29 |
12
(12)
Dashing Willie p
1
T: William Stone
-70968
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 45
Days: 10
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 6f GF | 6 | 8-13 | 8/8 | Bluebells Boy (8L) | 12/1 | 41 | 35 |
| 13 Jun 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 6f Sft | 6 | 8-12 | 6/9 | Porfin (5¼L) | 14/1 | 41 | 40 |
| 23 Apr 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 8f GF | 63yHc | 9-0 | 9/10 | Amerigo Vespucci (20L) | 33/1 | 46 | 7 |
| 3 Apr 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 5Md | 9-2 | 10/12 | Celtic Warrior (16L) | 250/1 | - | 43 |
| 20 Mar 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 5Nv | 9-1 | 7/7 | Night Raider (30L) | 150/1 | - | 6 |
| 25 Nov 23 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 6f St | 52yMd | 9-7 | 11/12 | Morning Suit (18L) | 20/1 | - | 11 |
Verdict
The vote goes to EVOLUIR (nap) whose Newcastle effort can probably be upgraded a touch. Second choice is Carmarthen.
Evoluir
Betting Forecast:
5/2 Carmarthen,
Evoluir,
5/1 Amroon,
6/1 Willowbank,
12/1 Port And Starburd,
16/1 She Is A Keeper,
Guildford,
25/1 Merrimack,
Pickled Pepper,
Little White Dove,
33/1 Queen For Adaay,
50/1 Pearl Of Rowdown
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