Market mover: handicap debutant backed into 5/1 from 16/1 at Wolverhampton
4 hours ago
WOLVERHAMPTON (AW)
8 July 2024
Monday 8th July
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
Get Raceday Ready Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) (Class 5) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 1m 142y
- Going: Standard
- Runners
- 10
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Tapeta
- Stalls
- Inside
- Weather
- Light rain
Selection
Selection
Selected At
Sustained
Selected at:
9/4
Plenty went wrong on Sustained’s debut in a course and distance maiden last month but he was strong at the finish to get off the mark nonetheless. He would have learnt plenty from that experience and can follow up here.
Bookmaker
Offer
Best Odds
Bet Here
9/4
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Defied 50-1 SP when making all over 7f on Lingfield AW in late 2022; off since; new yard
1/
Age: 4
Weight: 10-5
OR: -
Days: 555
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 22 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 7f St | 52yNv | 9-7 | 1/14 | Gwendolina (½L) | 50/1 | - | 69 |
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 6 wins from 16 in the last 14 days (38%)
Speedy pedigree but won 7f debut here with something to spare; worth a try over further
1
Age: 3
Weight: 9-11
OR: -
Days: 18
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 5Md | 9-7 | 1/11 | Thanks Dad (1L) | 10/1 | - | 75 |
5-1 for debut in a recent 1m Thirsk maiden, showing little after a slow start
6
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 31
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jun 24 | Thi Thirsk | 8f GF | 5Md | 9-5 | 6/9 | Ebt's Guard (14L) | 5/1 | - | 48 |
Shown ability at 1m on Polytrack and turf; lesser effort latest; chance on earlier runs
652-26
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: 73
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun 24 | Goo Goodwood | 8f Gd | 43yHc | 8-13 | 6/7 | Christian David (7¾L) | 7/2 | 74 | 64 |
| 23 Apr 24 | Eps Epsom | 8.5f Gd | 43yHc | 9-2 | 2/11 | Portsmouth (3¼L) | 14/1 | 73 | 77 |
| 5 Dec 23 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 8f St | 52yMd | 9-7 | 2/11 | Dashing Darcey (4L) | 16/1 | - | 70 |
| 8 Nov 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 8f St/Slw | 52yMd | 9-7 | 5/14 | Into Battle (3L) | 80/1 | - | 68 |
| 18 Oct 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 8f St/Slw | 22yNv | 9-4 | 6/9 | Dr Foster (9¾L) | 40/1 | - | 52 |
Polytrack and Tapeta winners close up in pedigree; yard 15% here; worth market check
Form:
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: -
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 18 in the last 14 days (0%)
Handy pedigree but left behind in Sustained's race here 18 days ago; tongue-tie discarded
8
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 18
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 5Md | 9-7 t1 | 8/11 | Sustained (8½L) | 20/1 | - | 50 |
Always well back after slow start behind Sustained here on debut; extra distance can suit
Age: 3
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: 18
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 5Md | 8-12 | 10/11 | Sustained (14L) | 16/1 | - | 32 |
Useful 1m debut; lesser effort when last seen in January but good chance if back to best
35
Age: 3
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: 167
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 8f St | 5Md | 8-6 | 5/9 | Swordstick (3L) | 4/1 | - | 63 |
| 4 Jan 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 8f St | 5Nv | 8-6 | 3/8 | Lavender Hill Mob (1½L) | 18/1 | - | 69 |
Well beaten in 2 turf starts, over 7f as 2yo and 1m last month; handicaps much more likely
0-8
Age: 3
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: 25
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun 24 | Not Nottingham | 8.5f Gd | 5Md | 9-5 | 8/10 | Indemnity (13½L) | 150/1 | - | 45 |
| 8 Aug 23 | Ffo Ffos Las | 7.5f Sft | 42yMd | 9-2 | 10/10 | Devil's Point (51L) | 40/1 | - | - |
Has shown ability at 7f and 1m2f on turf but handicaps more her line after this
43
Age: 3
Weight: 8-11
OR: -
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun 24 | Chp Chepstow | 10f GF | 5Nv | 8-11 | 3/8 | Pack Ice (8¾L) | 4/1 | - | 54 |
| 10 Jun 24 | Lin Lingfield | 7.5f Gd | 5Nv | 8-11 | 4/10 | Due To Henry (3¼L) | 25/1 | - | 66 |
Verdict
Sustained did well to shrug off interference to make a winning debut here but in receipt of weight THORNTONLEDALE MAX is preferred.
Thorntonledale Max
Betting Forecast:
2/1 Sustained,
5/2 Dashinwhitesargent,
4/1 Thorntonledale Max,
8/1 Miss Dandylion,
12/1 Captain Cisco,
Izzy Skint,
16/1 Arazzo,
33/1 Pasea Grande,
50/1 Hunters Run,
100/1 Woof
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